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BlogTrue South Classic Preview and Picks

True South Classic

July 18 – 21, 2013

Annandale G.C.

Madison, Miss.

Par: 72 / Yardage: 7,202

Purse: $3 million

with $540,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Scott Stallings

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 1 of the top 75 in the latest Official World Rankings, #75 Charles Howell III.

The field includes 1 of the Top 25 on this year’s PGA Tour money list, #23 Charles Howell.

The field includes 6 past champions: Chris Kirk (2011); Chad Campbell (2007); D.J. Trahan (2006); Heath Slocum (2005); Cameron Beckman (2001); Steve Lowery (2000).

The field includes one player that have won on the PGA Tour this year: Sang-Moon Bae (HP Byron Nelson Championship).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the Sanderson Farms field is our performance chart listed by average finish. One last way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at Sanderson Farms in the last five years or check out our brand new and sortable 8-year glance at the Sanderson Farms.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the True South Classic

Player John Deere Scottish Open Greenbrier Classic French Open AT&T National Irish Open Travelers BMW International U.S. Open FedEx St. Jude Classic Memorial Tournament Nordea Masters Lyoness Open
Steven Bowditch
(124.67 pts)
T12
(38)
DNP
 
T2
(100)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
D.H. Lee
(118.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T9
(45)
DNP
 
T3
(90)
DNP
 
T51
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Daniel Summerhays
(105 pts)
T4
(80)
DNP
 
T9
(45)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Martin Flores
(104.33 pts)
T4
(80)
DNP
 
T54
(0)
DNP
 
T21
(29)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T47
(2)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Chris Stroud
(88.67 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T28
(22)
DNP
 
2
(66.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T53
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Chez Reavie
(84 pts)
T15
(35)
DNP
 
T62
(0)
DNP
 
T21
(29)
DNP
 
T43
(4.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T27
(15.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Jim Herman
(83.33 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP
 
T30
(20)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T18
(21.33)
DNP
 
T67
(0)
T47
(2)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Nicholas Thompson
(79.33 pts)
T12
(38)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T28
(22)
DNP
 
T24
(17.33)
DNP
 
T56
(0)
T27
(15.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Chad Campbell
(78 pts)
T15
(35)
DNP
 
T41
(9)
DNP
 
T16
(34)
DNP
 
T70
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T75
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Kevin Sutherland
(59.33 pts)
T12
(38)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T18
(21.33)
DNP
 
T67
(0)
T71
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Brendon Todd
(48.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T13
(37)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T18
(21.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Rory Sabbatini
(46.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T9
(45)
DNP
 
WD
(-5)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
CUT
(-13.33)
T7
(36.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Tim Petrovic
(45 pts)
T54
(0)
DNP
 
T9
(45)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T63
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T56
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Tag Ridings
(45 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T9
(45)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T43
(4.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T27
(15.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Shawn Stefani
(42.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T59
(0)
DNP
 
T34
(16)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T59
(0)
T7
(36.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Jason Bohn
(38.67 pts)
T22
(28)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T44
(6)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T18
(21.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Mike Weir
(35.67 pts)
T27
(23)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
T28
(29.33)
DNP
 
T53
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Robert Streb
(34.33 pts)
T22
(28)
DNP
 
T41
(9)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T58
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T39
(7.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Stuart Appleby
(34.33 pts)
T33
(17)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T9
(30)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T39
(7.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Brendon De Jonge
(27 pts)
T54
(0)
DNP
 
T17
(33)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T63
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T39
(7.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Steve LeBrun
(24.33 pts)
T15
(35)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T44
(6)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Russell Knox
(21.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T13
(24.67)
DNP
 
T45
(6.67)
74
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Troy Matteson
(18.67 pts)
T27
(23)
DNP
 
T41
(9)
DNP
 
T52
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Cameron Percy
(16.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T30
(20)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T30
(13.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Ricky Barnes
(16.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T28
(22)
DNP
 
T13
(24.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the True South Classic

Player John Deere Scottish Open Greenbrier Classic French Open AT&T National Irish Open Travelers BMW International U.S. Open FedEx St. Jude Classic Memorial Tournament Nordea Masters Lyoness Open
Casey Wittenberg
(-53.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T72
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-13.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Justin Bolli
(-46.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Will Claxton
(-43.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Colt Knost
(-43.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Greg Chalmers
(-40 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Trevor Immelman
(-39 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
T37
(4.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Bobby Gates
(-38.33 pts)
WD
(-5)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Seung-Yul Noh
(-38.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T58
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DQ
(-1.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Andrew Svoboda
(-36.67 pts)
T61
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
CUT
(-13.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Charlie Beljan
(-35 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
WD
(-5)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

So while the bulk of marquee players are in Muirfield, those that couldn’t get into the Open Championship are in Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Championship.  It’s a good week to earn of few dollars more and add up some FedEx Cup points to your total.  In 2011 Chris Kirk was able to elevate him from No. 46 to 21. He later qualified in three FedExCup events.  So there is a lot of opportunities for those in the bottom of the standings.

Another thing for players to consider, there are five weeks left on the regular PGA Tour before we find out who plays in the FedEx Cup playoffs or those that have to endure the Nationwide playoffs.  With the PGA Championship being close to most of those on the bubble, you can see that the remaining events will be important for those that are between 100 and 200 on the FedEx Cup point list.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the Sanderson Farms Championship:

Annandale is a relatively short 7,202 par 72, so expect low numbers. The weather looks to feature a chance of thunderstorms each day with temps in the low 90s. A typical summer day in the South.

The tournament first started in 1968 and it’s been an official-money event since it was first held at Annandale Golf Club in 1994. It was played the same week at the season’s third major during its first five years at Annandale before reclaiming this spot on the schedule in 2011. Since its return to mid-July, Annandale has played as the easiest par 72 on the PGA Tour (ranked 44 of 49 courses). Last year’s scoring average was 70.277. Scott Stallings posted 24-under 264 to establish low score, making lots of birdies which you need to do or find yourself going home on Friday.

Who to watch for at the True South Classic

Best Bets:

Chris Stroud

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T57 T59 T5 T56 CUT

Is the favorite in my book just because of the way he has played in the last couple of months and his T5th finish here in 2010.

Chris Kirk

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T10 Win CUT

T10th last year, win in 2011. Still looking to regain the form in which he was runner-up at the AT&T Pebble.

Charles Howell III

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T23 T45 T28

Amazing to see a player with career earnings of over $25 million in a field like this. Has never contended here before but always a first time.

Best of the rest:

D.H. Lee

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
First time playing in this event

Was T9th at Greenbrier and T3rd at AT&T National.

David Toms

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T11 T8

He can turn around a very disappointing season on a course he has done well on, breaking par 7 of his last 8 rounds played at Annandale.

D.J. Trahan

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT T9 T3 T49 Win T12

One of those players looking for that breakout performance of the year, this is a good venue for him.

Jonathan Byrd

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T5 T17 T8 T5

Returning from tendon surgery on his wrist last year, has struggled. Did have a T10th at FedEx Cup which makes us think that he could be good on a course like Annandale that he has done well in the past.

Solid contenders

Martin Flores

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T20

Having a consistent last couple of months, has played before at Sanderson and best finish was T20th in 2010.

Will Claxton

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T5

Was T5th last year, looking to improve on his year in which he only has made 5 cuts in 20 starts.

Ryuji Imada

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T10 CUT CUT T43 CUT

His game has gone off the tracks and with the limited chances he has on the PGA Tour has to do well. Was T10th last year.

Brendon De Jonge

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T31 T13 T3 T29

Watch him, has good record in this event and not playing that bad.

Long shots that could come through:

Daniel Summerhays

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT

Looking to improve upon his finish of last week in which he missed the playoff by a shot.

William McGirt

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T5 T27

Was T5th last year and T27th in 2011. Hasn’t been in the top-25 since Arnold Palmer maybe playing this course this week will get him going.

Marc Turnesa

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
WD CUT T2

Making his first start in 2013, been plagued with back problems for the last couple of years.

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