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BlogPGA Championship Preview and Picks

PGA Championship

August 8 – 11, 2013

Oak Hill C.C. (East Course)

Rochester, N.Y.

Par: 70 / Yardage: 7,163

Purse: $8 million

with $1,445,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Rory McIlroy

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

99 of the top 100 in the latest Official World Golf Rankings are in the field.   The only one not in the field is #16 Louis Oosthuizen who is injured and has shut things down for a couple of months.  This event and the Players Championship routinely get the most top-100 players every year.

The field includes 25 of the Top 25 on this year’s PGA Tour money list.  Matter of fact you have to go down to the 69th rank player before you see someone no in the field so 68 of the top-68 on the money list are in Rochester.

The field includes 13 past champions: Rory McIlroy (2012), Keegan Bradley (2011), Martin Kaymer (2010), Y.E. Yang (2009), Padraig Harrington (2008), Tiger Woods (2007, ’06, ’00 & 1999),  Phil Mickelson (2005), Vijay Singh (2004 & 1998), Shaun Micheel (2003), Rick Beem (2002), David Toms (2001), Davis Love III (1997) and Mark Brooks (1996).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the PGA Championship field is our performance chart listed by average finish. One last way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at PGA Championship in the last five years or check out our brand new and sortable 8-year glance at the PGA Championship.

A a good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the PGA Championship

Player WGC-Bridgestone Reno-Tahoe Open Canadian Open British Open Sanderson Farms John Deere Classic Scottish Open Greenbrier French Open AT&T National Irish Open Travelers Championship U.S. Open
Phil Mickelson
(455.5 pts)
T21
(43.5)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Win
(264)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Win
(88)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T2
(66.67)
Henrik Stenson
(429.33 pts)
T2
(150)
DNP
 
DNP
 
2
(200)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T3
(60)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T21
(19.33)
Tiger Woods
(330 pts)
Win
(198)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T6
(120)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T32
(12)
Zach Johnson
(300 pts)
T4
(120)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T6
(120)
DNP
 
T2
(66.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T58
(0)
CUT
(-6.67)
Brandt Snedeker
(290.83 pts)
T33
(25.5)
DNP
 
Win
(132)
T11
(78)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T8
(33.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T17
(22)
Ian Poulter
(264.83 pts)
T19
(46.5)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T3
(180)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T25
(16.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T43
(2.33)
T21
(19.33)
Adam Scott
(237.33 pts)
T14
(54)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T3
(180)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T57
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T45
(3.33)
Hideki Matsuyama
(224.17 pts)
T21
(43.5)
DNP
 
T16
(34)
T6
(120)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T10
(26.67)
Keegan Bradley
(224 pts)
T2
(150)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T15
(70)
DNP
 
T61
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T18
(10.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
Richard Sterne
(223.5 pts)
T9
(67.5)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T21
(58)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T31
(12.67)
DNP
 
2
(66.67)
DNP
 
T22
(18.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Matt Kuchar
(219.83 pts)
T27
(34.5)
DNP
 
T2
(100)
T15
(70)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T49
(0.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T28
(14.67)
Lee Westwood
(218.33 pts)
T40
(15)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T3
(180)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
74
(0)
T15
(23.33)
Jason Dufner
(218 pts)
T4
(120)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T26
(48)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
T4
(53.33)
Miguel A. Jimenez
(187.33 pts)
T4
(120)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T13
(74)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
58
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Bill Haas
(173.83 pts)
T7
(82.5)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-20)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T9
(30)
DNP
 
Win
(88)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
Jamie Donaldson
(164.17 pts)
T17
(49.5)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T32
(36)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T6
(40)
DNP
 
T10
(26.67)
DNP
 
T32
(12)
Dustin Johnson
(161.5 pts)
T33
(25.5)
DNP
 
T2
(100)
T32
(36)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
55
(0)
Harris English
(160.33 pts)
T14
(54)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T15
(70)
DNP
 
T15
(23.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T34
(10.67)
DNP
 
T43
(2.33)
DNP
 
Charl Schwartzel
(159.5 pts)
T21
(43.5)
DNP
 
T28
(22)
T15
(70)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
14
(24)
Gary Woodland
(154.33 pts)
DNP
 
Win
(132)
T61
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T48
(1.33)
DNP
 
T62
(0)
DNP
 
T16
(22.67)
DNP
 
WD
(-1.67)
DNP
 
Bubba Watson
(151.5 pts)
T27
(34.5)
DNP
 
T21
(29)
T32
(36)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T30
(13.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
4
(26.67)
T32
(12)
Jordan Spieth
(151.33 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T44
(12)
DNP
 
Win
(88)
DNP
 
T23
(18)
DNP
 
6
(40)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
Paul Casey
(143.17 pts)
T27
(34.5)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T24
(17.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Win
(88)
DNP
 
T45
(3.33)
Woody Austin
(142.33 pts)
DNP
 
T23
(27)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
Win
(132)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Hunter Mahan
(140.33 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
WD
(-5)
T9
(90)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
T24
(8.67)
T4
(53.33)

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the PGA Championship

Player WGC-Bridgestone Reno-Tahoe Open Canadian Open British Open Sanderson Farms John Deere Classic Scottish Open Greenbrier French Open AT&T National Irish Open Travelers Championship U.S. Open
Robert Garrigus
(-36.67 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-20)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T64
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
WD
(-3.33)
D.A. Points
(-33.33 pts)
T59
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-20)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
T54
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
Scott Piercy
(-33.33 pts)
T59
(0)
DNP
 
T52
(0)
CUT
(-20)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
Scott Jamieson
(-33.33 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-20)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
T59
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Luke Guthrie
(-30.67 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-20)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
T21
(19.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
Thorbjorn Olesen
(-30.33 pts)
T48
(3)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-20)
DNP
 
DNP
 
67
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
Marcus Fraser
(-30 pts)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T54
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
Marc Leishman
(-26.67 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-20)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
T30
(6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
Hiroyuki Fujita
(-26.67 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-20)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
Shaun Micheel
(-26.67 pts)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

Tiger:

What a weird year for Tiger Woods.  Since his last major victory at the 2008 U.S. Open he has won 14 times on the PGA Tour but is zero for 17 tries in majors.  Last week at the Bridgestone he had an impressive seven shot win.  Woods has been nothing but spectacular in regular tour events chalking up five victories in 2013 but in the majors he has been close but can’t seem to close one out.  A couple of stats really show the reason, first look at a comparison of Tiger round by round in the majors:

Between the 1997 Masters & 2008 U.S. Open                                                Since the 2009 Masters

-1                                              Totals for the 1st round                -10

-62                                              Totals for the 2nd round                  -3

-41                                              Totals for the 3rd round                  +4

-18                                               Totals for the final round                    +1

 

Tiger just hasn’t been able to get the job done over the weekend.  All you have to do is look at this chart of Tiger in the majors.

You can see that Tiger hasn’t been in the 60s on the final day of a major since the 2011 Masters.  At Muirfield last month he shot 74 on the final day, at Merion two months ago he also shot 74.  These are not Tiger numbers in the majors and it shows that he is having issues in the final round.  Of course we can think of a dozen different reasons for this, but I don’t want to bore you to death, you get the point plus have enough of an imagination to figure his problem.

So will things be different for Woods at Oak Hill?  Probably not, in 2003 he was in the mist of changing his swing so it’s a bad example but he finished T39th at the PGA at Oak Hill that year.  It was his worst finish in a major between the time he turned pro in 1997 and the 2006 U.S. Open in which he missed the cut.  The fact is, Oak Hill may not be Tiger’s cup of tea.  Taking it a step further, in looking at Tiger’s wins he has never won on a Donald Ross course.  Woods has very few wins on old style courses like Oak Hill, frankly you can count on one hand the number of old style, Northeastern type of courses he has won on, which is one of the black marks in Woods great career.

So which way to go on this?  I don’t think Tiger is a good fit for this week, his game is not set up to play a Oak Hill type of course.  But if you look at the fact that Tiger is one of the greatest players in the world and could change his game to fit any course, when Tiger first came out on tour he didn’t play well at Muirfield Village, site of the Memorial tournament.  But Tiger learned to adapt to that course and has five victories there so maybe he can adapt this week.

One other thing about Tiger, this is the 10th time Tiger Woods has come to the PGA Championship looking for his first major of the year. He only avoided a shutout in 1999 and 2007. A failure to win this week would mean his fifth straight season without a major and his advantage over Jack Nicklaus would be gone and he would be at the same pace as Nicklaus in winning majors at next year’s Masters.

Phil:

The hottest player right now is Phil Mickelson and he too doesn’t have a stellar record on Oak Hill type of courses.  He also hasn’t won on a Donald Ross course (did win the Travelers on a course design by Donald’s cousin Robert but he also has issues on courses that are tight with think rough).  Mickelson did better than Tiger in the 2003 PGA at Oak Hill finishing T23rd.  One piece of good news, in that PGA he shot an opening round of 66 and led after the first day, so he does know how to play tough courses.  Look for him to be great this week and remember this stat, three of the last 13 British Open winners also added the PGA Championship for multiple wins in that year (Tiger Woods in 2000, ’06, Padraig Harrington in 2008) so anything is possible for Phil.

Rory:

Last but not least we have to talk about the basket case of the year for Rory McIlroy.  He is the defending champion and you could probably get very good odds against him winning this week.  I don’t think he will win, but I can see his game coming around.  After missing the cut at the Irish Open and the British Open he did finish T27th at Firestone so maybe his game is getting better.  Still don’t look for him to defend.

 

A little bit about the history of Oak Hill:

In the middle 1920s, Donald Ross was hired to build two golf courses on 350 barren, treeless acres.  While building the course, Ross inspired a local lad, Robert Trent Jones, to become an architect.  At 18 years old, Jones was the leading golfer in the Rochester area.  His dream was to be the best golfer in the world and it was shattered when a doctor told him he had developed an ulcer and had to give up competitive golf.  Not knowing what to do with his life he thought it would be nice to design golf courses.  At about this time he heard of the two course under construction at Oak Hill and decided to see what was happening.  Jones meet Ross and after convincing him that Jones was serious showed him the course.  Ross took the time to explain what he was doing and with this meeting Jones decided to make it his life’s work.

He returned to Rochester in the 1950s and made extensive changes on every hole except the 14th hole.  Jones also extended the length of the course by amost 400 hundred yards and reduced the par from 72 to 70.

In 1975 the club brought in George and Tom Fazio for further alterations. They revised several of the holes, most notably the fifth and six holes.

One thing that Oak Hill is famous for is its trees.  When Ross built the course, the land was treeless.  Member Dr. John Williams was a botanist and made it his personal project to cover the property with trees.  In his backyard, Williams planted seeds and raised them to saplings.  He then transplanted them to the course.  As the project became better known, people began sending him seeds and acorns from all over the world.  Williams even got one from a tree planted by George Washington at Mount Vernon.  With his hard work Williams transplanted the barren landscape into a forest with over 80,000 trees on the Oak Hill property.  Today more than 34,000 of those trees are on the East Course of Oak Hill.

Championships held at Oak Hill:

  • 1949 U.S. Amateur won by Charles Coe
  • 1956 U.S. Open won by Cary Middlecoff
  • 1968 U.S. Open won by Lee Trevino
  • 1980 PGA Championship won by Jack Nicklaus
  • 1984 Senior Open won by Miller Barber
  • 1989 U.S. Open won by Curtis Strange
  • 1995 Ryder Cup won by Europe
  • 1998 U.S. Amateur won by Hank Kuehne
  • 2003 PGA Championship won by Shaun Micheel

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the PGA Championship:

Key stat for the winner:

Important to see who is the best total driver of the ball going into the week and then checking to see who hits the most greens on the PGA Tour.

Scrambling will be at a premium , look for good chippers like Phil Mickelson or a Steve Stricker to have a great advantage here. On this year’s scrambling list, Matt Kuchar is 8th with Lee Westwood 13th and Justin Rose 15th, these are folks to watch this week.

Funny that the number one player in both stats is Graham Delaet so the thought is that he should be the favorite.  Now that theory could work, Shaun Micheel was in the same boat in 2003 and won, but these are different times.  As good as Delaet hits the ball he is a very average putter, but still if you are looking for a dark horse it could be him.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

  • The condition of the greens.  Yes they had a wet summer and several of the greens got flooded.  One green even had a tree fallen on it.  Tiger played Oak Hill on Tuesday and talked about the greens and how there was a lot of work to get them not only up to speed but also with some grass.  I doubt that they will be an issue, there are a lot of ways to address those problems and there was enough time to get the greens the way the PGA of America think they should be.
  • Since the greens are small it will also be tough hitting greens.  So with tight fairways, we may have a PGA in which shotmakers are on top.  We have seen in the last decade of PGAs winners as diverse as Rory McIlroy, Martin Kaymer, Y.E. Yang, Rich Beem, Shaun Micheel, Vijay Singh, Phil Mickelson, Padraig Harrington and Tiger Woods so anything can happen. The key is to be peaking about Wedneday right before the start of the championship. That’s what happened to Beem, Micheel, Singh, Mickelson, Harrington and Woods so look for someone that is playing well.  It also happen to McIlroy last year, who found some magic on the weeks leading into the PGA
  • Need for patience.  This is one of those courses that par is your friend, so don’t look for low scoring.
  • There is also the unknown factor in which the course could yield low scores to an unknown player. In 15 of the last 24 PGAs, the winner has claimed his first major in the PGA Championship like Keegan Bradley in 2011, Martin Kaymer in 2010 and Y.E. Yang the year before.  So this could be a good omen for a Lee Westwood, Luke Donald, Steve Stricker or Sergio Garcia. Rich Beem and Shaun Micheel weren’t household names when they won, so you never know if that will get repeated.
  • The last three PGA winner were all in their 20s; Rory McIlroy (23), Keegan Bradley (25) and Martin Kaymer (27). That hasn’t happened at any major in nearly 50 years since Gary Player (25), Jack Nicklaus (23) and Bobby Nichols (28) won the PGA from 1962-64.
  • Also another little nuggett, 11 players from the top 20 in the world ranking have yet to win a tournament this year, a list that includes Rory McIlroy, Luke Donald, Keegan Bradley, Henrik Stenson, Steve Stricker, Charl Schwartzel, Ian Poulter, Serigo Garcia, Bubba Watson, Jason Day and Lee Westwood.
  • So at the end of the day, who is the favorite this week?  Of course everyone likes Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson.  But we tend to forget Brandt Snedeker, Steve Stricker, Matt Kucahr, Hunter Mahan or even Zach Johnson.  Now I have heard that Phil Mickelson says he is playing well, same with Tiger but the fact is the PGA Championship has seen it’s fair share of unexpected winners.

 

Who to watch for at the PGA Championship

Best Bets:

Brandt Snedeker

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT CUT T39 CUT T24 T18

It’s his turn to step up and become the newest major winner. Has the game, Oak Hill will suit his game it’s a pretty easy pick.

Phil Mickelson

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T36 T19 T12 73 T7 T32 T16 Win T6 T23 T34 2

You have to like Phil even though he finished T21st at Bridgestone. He has all the confidence in the world right now plus he is playing well and has some good memories of past rounds at Oak Hill.

Matt Kuchar

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT T19 T10 CUT CUT

Oak Hill is another of those courses that favor Kuchar. I see from his T2nd at the Canadian Open he is back on the horse and playing well again, it’s also time for him to step up and win a major.

Best of the rest:

Henrik Stenson

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT T6 T4 CUT T14 T47

Watch out for him, he has been runner-up at both the WGC-Bridgestone and British Open and T3rd at the Scottish Open. Only Mickelson has played better than him and Stenson will probably contend this week, despite his poor putting.

Tiger Woods

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T11 CUT T28 2 Win Win T4 T24 T39 2 T29

What a great win at Firestone, but he also had great wins at Torrey, Doral and Bay Hill, other courses he loves. The question will be can he pull off what he did at the Players and conquer a course that doesn’t suit him. That will be the big question for this week, can he overlook a course that really doesn’t suit his game and can Tiger pull things together on the weekend to win.

Lee Westwood

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT T8 T3 CUT T32 T29 T17 CUT CUT CUT T44

In the past this would of been considered a good course for Westwood, but his game wasn’t that sharp at the British it was his putting and scrambling that was sharp, those can also help him this week at Oak Hill.

Zach Johnson

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
70 T59 T3 T10 CUT CUT CUT T17 T37

Solid play this month including a T2nd at John Deere, T6th at the British and T4th at Firestone. He is due and the course could suit him.

Adam Scott

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T11 7 T39 CUT CUT T12 T3 T40 T9 T23 T23 CUT

Has the game but will it be firing on all 16 cylinders this week?

Solid contenders

Justin Rose

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T3 CUT CUT CUT T9 T12 T41 CUT CUT T23

When we talk about Phil winning multiple majors this year, we should also talk about Justin. He has the game for this course and could be another surprise like he was at the U.S. Open.

Hunter Mahan

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT T19 T39 T16 CUT T18 CUT

Has had some great time with the newborn and wife but it’s time for him to continue the same great golf he was playing before having to take care of family business.

Steve Stricker

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T7 T12 T18 CUT T39 T23 T7 CUT T66

Probably won’t win but you know he will contend this week.

Jim Furyk

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T42 T39 T24 T63 T29 CUT T29 T34 CUT T18 9 T7

His game is coming around and he could be peaking at the right time.

Long shots that could come through:

Miguel A. Jimenez

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T27 T64 CUT T36 CUT CUT T65 T40 T31 CUT

Watch him, he has been playing great of late and you never know if he could have a solid 72 holes to win.

Hideki Matsuyama

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
First time playing in this event

You know how I feel about him, he hasn’t slipped up in any event he has played this summer.

Nicholas Thompson

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T24

Kind of guy that can surprise you, playing great but that was at the Sanderson Farms so the question is can he play at Oak Hill like he did in Mississippi?

Major Question marks:

Rory McIlroy

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
Win T64 T3 T3

His game is getting better but that doesn’t mean he will contend this week. At this point making the cut would be an accomplishment.

Luke Donald

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T32 T8 CUT T43 T32 T3 T66 T24 T23

His game has gone downhill since his terrible finish at Merion, don’t think he will find his game this week.

Sergio Garcia

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT T12 CUT CUT T2 WD T3 T23 CUT CUT T10 CUT

He is still not ready to win a major, he has been up and down all year.

Comments

  1. Brad Sendlak says:

    What are your thoughts on Dufner and Bill Haas this week Sal?

  2. alex munro says:

    Hideki may get a place at 100/1 worth a wager but really Woods has to take all the beating. In saying that same with Keegan Bradley. Delaet is 150/1 !

  3. I wouldn’t touch Dufner with a ten foot pole. You see him at Bridgestone, anything outside of a foot is a struggle, has a bad case of the yips and I can’t remember the last player to win a major with the yips (maybe Orville Moody, 1969 U.S. Open).

    To answer Alex’s question, if you can find a betting house that will pay off for six spots, a couple of pounds for Delaet could be money well spent.
    As for Hideki, I am hearing he is a bit beat up with travel and playing so may want to shy away from him.

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