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BlogKLM Open Preview and Picks

KLM Open

September 12 – 15, 2013

Kennemer G. & C.C.

Zandvoort, Netherlands

Par: 70 / Yardage:

Purse: $2.35 Million

with $391,710 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Peter Hanson

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 12 of the top 100 in the latest Official World Rankings, with the highest rank player in the field being #30 Matteo Manassero, #46 Thorbjorn Olesen and #49 Miguel Angel Jimenez.  Here are the other top-100 players in the field: , #51 Nicolas Colsaerts, #63 Chris Wood, #67 Mikko Ilonen, #73 Alex Noren, #81 Joost Luiten, #85 Kiradech Aphibarnrat, #92 Padraig Harrington, #96Marcus Fraser and #97 Paul Casey.

The field includes 22 of the Top 50 on this year’s Race to Dubai money list.  Those players include #5 Matteo Manassero, #14 Mikko Ilonen, #19 Thorbjorn Olesen, #21 Miguel Angel Jimenez, #22 Marc Warren, #23 Joost Luiten, #24 Chris Wood, #25 Kiradech Aphibarnrat, #26 Scott Jamieson, #27 Paul Casey, #31 Nicolas Colsaerts, #32 Tommy Fleetwood, #34 Thomas Aiken, #37 Simon Kham, #38 Alex Noren,  #40 Felipe Aguilar, #44 Pablo Larrazabal, #45 Rafa Cabrera-Bello, #46 Shane Lowry,  #48 Darren Fichardt and #50 Marcus Fraser.

The field includes 9 past champions: Simon Dyson (2011, ’09 & ’06), Ross Fisher (2007), Maarten Lafeber (2003),  Sven Struver (1997), Miguel Angel Jimenez (1994) and Jose Maria Olazabal (1989).

The field includes 12 players that have won on the European Tour this year: Scott Jamieson (Nelson Mandela), Chris Wood (Qatar Masters), Darren Fichardt (Africa Open), Thomas Aiken (Avantha Masters), Kiradech Aphibarnrat (Malaysian Open), Raphael Jacquelin (Spanish Open), Matteo Manassero (BMW PGA Championship), Mikko Ilonen (Nordea Masters), Joost Luiten (Lyoness Open), Simon Thornton (Najeti Hotels Golf Open), Paul Casey (Irish Open) and Tommy Fleeetwood (Johnnie Walker Gleneagles).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the KLM Open field is our performance chart listed by average finish. One last way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the KLM Open  in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the KLM Open.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

 

 

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the KLM Open

Player Omega European Masters Wales Open Johnnie Walker Gleneagles PGA Championship Russian Open WGC-Bridgestone British Open Scottish Open French Open Irish Open BMW International Najeti Hotels Open U.S. Open
Miguel A. Jimenez
(197.33 pts)
T5
(70)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T29
(28)
DNP
 
T4
(80)
T13
(24.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
58
(0)
DNP
 
T26
(8)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Tommy Fleetwood
(179.33 pts)
T9
(45)
CUT
(-10)
Win
(132)
DNP
 
T65
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T17
(11)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T26
(8)
DNP
 
DNP
 
John Parry
(145 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T4
(80)
T23
(27)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T5
(23.33)
T52
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
T10
(13.33)
DNP
 
T28
(14.67)
Craig Lee
(141.67 pts)
2
(100)
T31
(19)
T14
(36)
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
68
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Ross Fisher
(137 pts)
T5
(70)
T62
(0)
T17
(33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T24
(8.67)
T34
(5.33)
T22
(9.33)
T18
(10.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Paul Casey
(136.67 pts)
T15
(35)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T33
(22.67)
DNP
 
T27
(23)
DNP
 
T24
(8.67)
DNP
 
Win
(44)
T53
(0)
DNP
 
T45
(3.33)
Rafael Cabrera-Bello
(132.33 pts)
DNP
 
T15
(35)
T35
(15)
T29
(28)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T21
(19.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T29
(7)
T5
(23.33)
T26
(8)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Brooks Koepka
(128.33 pts)
T7
(55)
T18
(32)
T28
(22)
T70
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
T12
(12.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T10
(13.33)
DNP
 
Simon Dyson
(123 pts)
T22
(28)
T18
(32)
T28
(22)
DNP
 
9
(15)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T12
(12.67)
5
(23.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
Seve Benson
(119.67 pts)
T26
(24)
T8
(50)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T17
(11)
T18
(10.67)
T42
(2.67)
T46
(1.33)
3
(30)
DNP
 
Joost Luiten
(119.67 pts)
T44
(6)
T4
(80)
DNP
 
CUT
(-13.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T49
(0.33)
T2
(33.33)
T10
(13.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Mikko Korhonen
(119.67 pts)
T34
(16)
T8
(50)
T10
(40)
DNP
 
T10
(13.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T68
(0)
T49
(0.33)
DNP
 
Scott Henry
(112.67 pts)
T34
(16)
CUT
(-10)
T4
(80)
DNP
 
T44
(2)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T57
(0)
T29
(7)
T22
(9.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T15
(11.67)
DNP
 
Soren Kjeldsen
(110.33 pts)
T54
(0)
3
(90)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T31
(6.33)
T8
(16.67)
T18
(10.67)
T68
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Shane Lowry
(93 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T10
(40)
T57
(0)
DNP
 
T48
(2)
T32
(12)
T31
(6.33)
DNP
 
T5
(23.33)
T22
(9.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Ricardo Gonzalez
(89.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DQ
(-5)
T2
(100)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T17
(11)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T53
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Eduardo De La Riva
(88.67 pts)
T57
(0)
T15
(35)
T49
(1)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T15
(23.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T3
(30)
T32
(6)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Paul Waring
(87 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T18
(32)
T6
(60)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
WD
(-1.67)
T10
(13.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Gregory Havret
(85 pts)
T7
(55)
CUT
(-10)
T35
(15)
DNP
 
T5
(23.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T15
(11.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Anders Hansen
(83 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T8
(50)
T17
(33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T38
(4)
T22
(9.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Alejandro Canizares
(72.67 pts)
4
(80)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T57
(0)
T42
(2.67)
T10
(13.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Emiliano Grillo
(72 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T18
(32)
T6
(60)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T53
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Danny Willett
(71.33 pts)
T26
(24)
CUT
(-10)
T63
(0)
T40
(13.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T15
(23.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
T10
(13.33)
T18
(10.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Graeme Storm
(69.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T6
(60)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
T3
(30)
T32
(6)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
David Howell
(68 pts)
T26
(24)
WD
(-5)
T17
(33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T42
(2.67)
T8
(16.67)
T71
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
T65
(0)

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the KLM Open

Player Omega European Masters Wales Open Johnnie Walker Gleneagles PGA Championship Russian Open WGC-Bridgestone British Open Scottish Open French Open Irish Open BMW International Najeti Hotels Open U.S. Open
Bjorn Akesson
(-50 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
Phillip Price
(-46.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Jeev Milkha Singh
(-40.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T42
(2.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Estanislao Goya
(-40 pts)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
T52
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
T74
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
Fabrizio Zanotti
(-37.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
T42
(2.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Gary Lockerbie
(-37.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T32
(6)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Niclas Fasth
(-36.67 pts)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
T57
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Moritz Lampert
(-35 pts)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
WD
(-1.67)
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
Jbe Kruger
(-33.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
Ignacio Garrido
(-30 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
T58
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
T59
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

Fresh from the Walker Cup, Irish amateur Kevin Phelan has turned professional and will make his debut this week in Netherlands.  The 22 year-old who won two out of three points last week in New York, has made his home in Florida and attended the University of North Florida.

Many may wonder what about defending champion Peter Hanson, he isn’t able to defend his title due to a back injury which has hampered him for most of the year.

One person in the field that has had a special experience in the KLM Open is Simon Dyson, who has won the title three times including the last time that the KLM was played at Kennemar in 2009.  Dyson’s KLM win in 2011 was his last, he has struggle since as his best finish was 5th at the French Open three months ago.  Since then in five starts have finished T28th Johnnie Walker, his worst finish as he was T12th at the Scottish Open, 9th at the Russian Open, T18th at the Wales Open and T22nd last week at the Omega European Masters.

A number of Dutch players are in the field, but the one with the best shot is Joost Luiten.  He came close to winning this title in 2007 at Kennemer when he finished 2nd to Ross Fisher, he also finished 6th in 2011.  The year has been a success for Luiten with a win at the Lyoness Open, he also was runner-up at the Irish Open.  For the year he has six top-tens, last week in Switzerland he finished T44th.  The last Dutch player to win his national championship was Maarten Lafeber in 2003.

What about Kennemer Golf & Country Club:

The course is located in Zandvoort, a popular Dutch seaside town about 30 miles outside of Amsterdam.  This is a gem of a course, a links course that was founded in 1910.  The original nine was moved to it’s present location in 1927 when Harry Colt laid out a 18 hole course in towering dunes. In 1985 Frank Pennink was hired to add another nine holes and today Kennemer is 27 links holes in which a composite course is used for the tournament.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the KLM Open:

Key stat for the winner:

Look for the player that can control his game in windy, wet conditions.  The weather has been poor the last couple of day with rain and will be that way until Saturday when sunshine will take over for the weekend.  So look for a player that will be able to drive it in the fairway and be able to bump and run it on the green.  Now with the course being a links nature that means slow, flat greens so those that aren’t great putters have a bit of a edge.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

  • So what does Simon Dyson, Darren Clarke and Ross Fisher have in common?  They have won the last four KLM’s played at Kennemer and they are all from Great Britain who learned to play their golf on seaside courses.  So look for someone that does have lots of links experience as a player that will do well this week.
  • There are five events left before the four tournament playoff series so this will be a perfect week for many to pick up more race to Dubai money.
  • The weather will play a part so look for a poor weather player.  Also length will help with soft fairways so the winner will be above average in hitting it long.

 

Who to watch for at the KLM Open

Best Bets:

Joost Luiten

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT T6 T57 CUT CUT 2 CUT CUT

He should be the consensus favorite this week and it makes sense. The Dutchman, who grew up near the course has had a great year since he overcame his injury problems. Was runner-up on this course in 2007, these are some of the facts that makes him the favorite.

Alex Noren

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT T10 T12 T3

Great record at Kennemer, was T10th in 2009, T12th in 2008 and T3rd in 2007. Only problem, hasn’t made a check in his last four starts but before that was fourth two straight weeks.

Ross Fisher

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT T6 T11 T20 Win T47 T52

Good memories of Kennemer with win in 2007, finished T5th last week in Switzerland.

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
First time playing in this event

Best of the rest:

Miguel A. Jimenez

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT T9 3

You know he will always give you a good show, look for him to contend.

Simon Dyson

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T46 Win CUT Win T12 T27 Win T60 T15 CUT

Seems to control this event, despite not playing that well this week could make another run.

Paul Casey

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T46

Another of those guys that you think can win at any time.

Matteo Manassero

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T58 T26

Game coming into shape, should be watched.

Solid contenders

Tommy Fleetwood

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T17

Has played well in his last two events, coming to this event with some experience in playing links courses.

Brooks Koepka

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
First time playing in this event

Another week for him to continue his good run of play in Europe, was T7th last week in Switzerland.

Gregory Havret

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
CUT CUT CUT CUT CUT T45

Looking to finally break his streak of missed cuts, his game is sharp now.

Richie Ramsay

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T2 T16 T64 T26

Has lot’s of links experience, did finish T10th at Gleneagles.

Long shots that could come through:

Mikko Korhonen

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T16

Still playing great golf, has done that for his last 4 starts.

Damien McGrane

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T26 CUT T26 4 T20 CUT 3 T9 T43

Another of those lads that learn to play on links course, was T6th in Wales and 4th at Kennemer in 2009.

Craig Lee

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02 ’01
T46 CUT

Was runner-up last week, could continue the good play this week.

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