Welcome to GOLFstats.com! You are currently viewing a special post on GOLFstats.com .
For the best experience and full access to GOLFstats.com, CLICK HERE to sign up for a $15 one month GOLFstats Ultimate account!

BlogMcGladrey Classic Preview and Picks

McGladrey Classic

November 7 – 10, 2013

Seaside Course

Sea Island, Ga.

Par: 70 / Yardage: 7,055

Purse: $5.5 Million

with $990,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Tommy Gainey

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 5 of the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with the highest rank player being #8 Matt Kuchar. The other top 50 players are #13 Zach Johnson, #19 Webb Simpson, #45 Scott Piercy and #50 Boo Weekley

The field includes 12 of the Top 25 on the FedEx point standings for 2014. Those players are $4 Webb Simpson, #5 Vijay Singh, #9 Jason Bohn, #10 Charles Howell III, #14 Jeff Overton, #16 Chris Stroud, #17 Charley Hoffman, #19 Scott Brown, #20 Kevin Na, #21 Will MacKenzie, #22 Luke Guthrie and #24 Harris English.

The field includes 12 players in the top 25 on this year’s PGA Tour money list. Those players are #4 Webb Simpson, #8 Vijay Singh, #9 Jason Bohn, #12 Charles Howell III, #14 Chris Stroud, #15 Jeff Overton, #17 Charley Hoffman, #20 Aaron Baddeley, #21 Scott Brown, #22 Harris English, #23 Kevin Na and #25 Luke Guthrie.

The field includes all 3 of the 3 past champions: Tommy Gainey (2012), Ben Crane (2011) and Heath Slocum (2010).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the McGladrey Classic field is our performance chart listed by average finish.  Another way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at McGladrey Classic in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the McGladrey Classic.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

 

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the McGladrey Classic

Player WGC HSBC CIMB Classic BMW Masters Shriners Hospitals Handa Perth Frys.com Open Portugal Masters Dunhill Links Tour Champ. Open D’Italia Lindt BMW Champ. Deutsche Bank Barclays Classic
Webb Simpson
(202.5 pts)
DNP DNP DNP Win
(132)
DNP DNP DNP DNP 4
(40)
DNP T24
(13)
T53
(0)
T15
(17.5)
Charles Howell III
(150.33 pts)
DNP T7
(55)
DNP T5
(70)
DNP T33
(11.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T39
(5.5)
T53
(0)
T33
(8.5)
Luke Guthrie
(146.67 pts)
DNP DNP 4
(80)
T5
(70)
DNP T40
(6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
Zach Johnson
(115 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T40
(10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T7
(27.5)
DNP Win
(66)
T27
(11.5)
DNP
Kevin Stadler
(103 pts)
DNP T19
(31)
DNP T30
(20)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T33
(8.5)
T4
(40)
T43
(3.5)
Jeff Overton
(101.67 pts)
DNP T16
(34)
DNP T9
(45)
DNP T16
(22.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T66
(0)
Jason Bohn
(101.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T2
(100)
DNP T40
(6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
Chris Stroud
(99.33 pts)
DNP T3
(90)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T51
(0)
T35
(7.5)
T33
(8.5)
Charley Hoffman
(91.5 pts)
DNP T53
(0)
DNP 4
(80)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP 68
(0)
T27
(11.5)
70
(0)
Vijay Singh
(87 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T23
(27)
DNP 2
(66.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Matt Kuchar
(80.5 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T26
(12)
DNP T24
(13)
T4
(40)
T19
(15.5)
Daniel Summerhays
(76.17 pts)
DNP T53
(0)
DNP T23
(27)
DNP T40
(6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T28
(11)
T22
(14)
T15
(17.5)
Boo Weekley
(73.5 pts)
T11
(39)
T33
(17)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP 30
(10)
DNP T54
(0)
T35
(7.5)
T58
(0)
Harris English
(72 pts)
DNP T7
(55)
DNP T40
(10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP 50
(0.5)
T27
(11.5)
CUT
(-5)
Chesson Hadley
(70 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T5
(70)
DNP T72
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Aaron Baddeley
(66.83 pts)
DNP 5
(70)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T43
(3.5)
Brian Davis
(66.83 pts)
DNP T75
(0)
DNP T23
(27)
DNP T33
(11.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T33
(8.5)
8
(25)
CUT
(-5)
Will MacKenzie
(65 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T15
(35)
DNP T9
(30)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Chris Kirk
(64 pts)
DNP T25
(25)
DNP T36
(14)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T24
(13)
T16
(17)
CUT
(-5)
Troy Matteson
(63.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T5
(70)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Brendon De Jonge
(60 pts)
DNP T53
(0)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T18
(16)
DNP T18
(16)
T9
(22.5)
T19
(15.5)
Kevin Chappell
(59.17 pts)
DNP T25
(25)
DNP DNP DNP T46
(2.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T62
(0)
T22
(14)
T15
(17.5)
Brendon Todd
(54 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T12
(38)
DNP T26
(16)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
J.J. Henry
(52.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T15
(35)
DNP T16
(22.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
Sean O’Hair
(51 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T15
(35)
DNP T26
(16)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the McGladrey Classic

Player WGC HSBC CIMB Classic BMW Masters Shriners Hospitals Handa Perth Frys.com Open Portugal Masters Dunhill Links Tour Champ. Open D’Italia Lindt BMW Champ. Deutsche Bank Barclays Classic
David Duval
(-20 pts)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP
Lucas Glover
(-19.17 pts)
DNP T64
(0)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP WD
(-2.5)
Erik Compton
(-18.17 pts)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
T43
(3.5)
Tommy Gainey
(-16.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Edward Loar
(-16.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Scott Gardiner
(-16.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Paul Goydos
(-16.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Mark Wilson
(-15 pts)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
Pat Perez
(-15 pts)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T58
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T70
(0)
CUT
(-5)
James Hahn
(-15 pts)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

So the PGA Tour is back in the United States, next week they move to Mexico for the final tournament of fall golf.  The McGladrey is an event in a small resort town or should we say island in Georgia which has been well received since it started in 2010.  Davis Love III got behind it and his charities are the benefactors of this event.  Love also gets behind the tournament to get his friends and fellow players to attend.  The event also has a great sponsor in McGladrey who is a tax and consulting firm.

The Asian swing seemed like a big success other than an item in Geoffshackelford.com on the poor TV ratings that the CIMB Classic got.  It was super low with only 128,000 viewers but that is probably to be expected for golf played at midnight and during football season.  The true gauge of the success is what the sponsors think, if they feel the growth is there then they will continue spending the money for the events.  People tend to think of things as just a product for the United States but that isn’t true. There are a lot of other regions in play, Asia, Europe and Australia and those are the places that golf is growing. The two events in Asia was popular and brought a lot of attention to Malaysia and China around the world so ratings in this country is not the complete story and shouldn’t be because golf has to grow globally and is with these events.

Lastly Brandt Snedeker was planning of playing this week but he injured his left knee in China and on returning underwent an MRI.  He is waiting for the results from the MRI and he is able to walk without the use of crutches, which is a good side.  A shame, last year he had a great run between the British Open and his win at the AT&T Pebble Beach, but they had a cracked rib which put him on the DL for six weeks.  It took him months afterwards to get his game back and now this, oh well.

Course information:

The Seaside course is part of the three courses at Sea Island Golf Club.  The Seaside course which is the venue of the McGladreys is a classic Harry Colt and Charles Alison design dating from 1929. Tom Fazio completed a renovation in 1999. It’s another of those hidden gems that not many people know about, it’s a true Scottish links course near the Atlantic with ocean views that plays fast and firm.

The main challenges could be in the greens, which are nearly impossible to read. The layout features other notable challenges like the bunkering which is old fashion and truly memorable. They offer a variety in size and shape but they are all strategically placed to deliver a formidable test for even the most experienced players.

The first nine goes out and back in a counterclockwise fashion, while the second nine follows a clockwise direction. Each of the four par-3s faces its own unique direction which is unique for any course so players get a different feel on each par 3 when it’s windy which is always the case at Sea Island.

The course meanders through marsh lands and lakes with water or marshes coming in play on most of the holes.  There are only 40 sand bunkers on the course but they are all in strategic spots to catch drives and wayward shots to the greens which are average size of 7,000 square feet.  The course has bermudagrass all through it with a 72.3 rating and a slope of 137.

It’s been the venue for some significant amateur competitions over the years including the US Senior Amateur and the US Senior Women’s Amateur.

 

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at The McGladrey Classic:

Key stat for the winner:

This is a true links course so players will have to be able to play firm fast fairways and be good in the wind.  Hitting into the greens tend to be very tricky and for those that miss the greens getting it up and down is a key.  In looking at the three winners they aren’t among the leaders in scrambling, Slocum in 2010 was T20th, Crane in 2011 was T41st and Gainey was T35th last year.  But the three have one big stat in common and that is they all led the scrambling for the fringe stat.  In looking at the leaders of that stat in 2013 that are playing this week look at Ted Potter, Jr. who was 2nd, Ben Curtis that was T4th, Troy Matteson who was 8th and Matt Kuchar who was 12th.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

One of two stats is key, you either have to hit a lot of greens or putt real well.  Look at the three winners, Slocum in 2010 was T7th in greens hit and 39th in strokes gained putting.  Crane in 2011 was T26th in greens hit but 2nd in Strokes gained putting while Gainey last year was T23rd in greens hit but 3rd in strokes gained putting.

All three winners had one thing in common and that was the ability of playing the par 4s.  In 2010 Slocum was 11 under on them, the next closest player was 9 under.  In 2011 Crane was 12 under, the next closet was 11 under and last year Gainey was 12 under the next closet was 11 under.  So if it’s Sunday and your looking for someone with the edge look at that stat.

Driving accuracy really means nothing on this course which makes sense since it’s a resort course.  Last year it was 44th in driving accuracy, while it was T43rd in 2011 and 38th in 2010 so poor drivers could do well this week

Most people disregard putts per round but this is something of importance on this course.  As you don’t have to drive the ball straight on this course to succeed, you do have to take the least amount of putts.  In the putts per round category Seaside has been 2nd last year and 2011, 3rd in 2010.  In a way this is because it’s a resort course but still putting is important.

Look for a good mix of players from Sea Island, Jacksonville and Ponte Vedre to be in the field, a bit of local knowledge.  Also it may not be in your best interest to pick someone that played in China, with the 12 hour time change and the 24 hour of flying their could be a good amount of jet lag.  Hey, this isn’t stitched in stone, I said the same thing for the CIMB Classic and Ryan Moore won it after playing in Las Vegas the week before.

Lastly we find a course that is completely Bermuda and that is important because it takes a special player to win on Bermuda grass.  Both Gainey (born and lives in South Carolina) and Slocum (born in Louisiana and lives in Georgia) are both southern boys that have been around Bermuda all of their lives.  Ben Crane was born in Portland and went to school in Portland, Oregon which isn’t a place to learn Bermuda, but look at Crane’s wins, three of the four have come on courses with Bermuda and he does live in Texas today.  The point is, look for a player that does well on Bermuda courses.  This will be the trend this week and again next week in Mexico.

Who to watch for at the McGladrey Classic

Best Bets:

Webb Simpson

2012 ’11 ’10
2 T12

He is a cliche pick I know but his record at this event is good and playing well.

Charles Howell III

2012 ’11 ’10
T7 T32 T6

A good place for him to shine, has had top-fives in last two starts at CIMB and Las Vegas. Also a pair of top-tens at McGladrey so it’s his turn.

Zach Johnson

2012 ’11 ’10
T49 CUT T12

Has struggled on this course in past but this place is a lot like Colonial so you would think that he would do well.

Best of the rest:

Matt Kuchar

2012 ’11 ’10
T20 T25

Always tough playing at home but he is well rested and should be ready to go.

Heath Slocum

2012 ’11 ’10
T61 T15 Win

Past champion that could rear up and win it again.

Aaron Baddeley

2012 ’11 ’10
T64

A master on the greens and around them, finished 5th in Malaysia.

Brendon de Jonge

2012 ’11 ’10
T4 T60 T15

Another person to watch, finished T4th last year.

Solid contenders

Davis Love III

2012 ’11 ’10
T4 CUT T33

Tough to win a tournament that you have so much responsibility at but if Nicklaus can win at Memorial and Tiger wins the AT&T and his Tiger Challenge, Davis can also win. Made a great run last year.

Vijay Singh

2012 ’11 ’10
T27 CUT

Another of those that haven’t shined in this event, but playing well right now. A win at 50 would be a great accomplishment for him and one we thought was in his wheel-house.

Boo Weekley

2012 ’11 ’10
T27 T44 CUT

He owns the Heritage event which is played on a course similar to this so watch him this week.

Harris English

2012 ’11 ’10
T15

Played well in Malaysia, we will see if he can continue the good play. Did finish T12th in this event last year.

Long shots that could come through:

David Toms

2012 ’11 ’10
2 CUT T3

A one time winner hasn’t really had a satisfying event in a while, this could be a great place for that to finally happen.

Luke Guthrie

2012 ’11 ’10
First time playing in this event

Been very impressive last two starts with 4th at BMW and T5th at Las Vegas. Playing for the first time, we can see if he can handle the fast conditions.

Chris Stroud

2012 ’11 ’10
CUT CUT T66

Played well in Malaysia, we will see if the good play continues, doesn’t have a stellar record in this event.