Welcome to GOLFstats.com! You are currently viewing a special post on GOLFstats.com .
For the best experience and full access to GOLFstats.com, CLICK HERE to sign up for a $15 one month GOLFstats Ultimate account!

BlogMayakoba Golf Classic Preview and Picks

Mayakoba Golf Classic

November 14 – 17, 2013

El Camaleon

Playa Del Carmen,, Mexico

Par: 71 / Yardage:

Purse: $6 Million

with $1,080,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
John Huh

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes only two of the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with the highest rank player being #31 Ryan Moore.   The other top 50 players is #47 Scott Piercy.  Now since there is a race to get into the top-50 of the world rankings at the end of the year, there are 14 players ranked between 51 and 100 in the field: #58 Angel Cabrera, #63 TIm Clark, #65 Roberto Castro, #67 Robert Garrigus, #68 Harris English, #74 Luke Guthrie, #77 Charles Howell III, #80 Russell Henley, #85 Fredrik Jacobson, #89 Chris Stroud, #92 Brooks Koepka, #93 Charley Hoffman, #95 John Huh and #96 Scott Stallings.

The field includes 13 of the Top 25 on the FedEx point standings for 2014.  Those players are #2 Ryan Moore, #7 Briny Baird, #11 Tim Clark #12 Jason Bohn, #13 Charles Howell III, #14 Scott Brown, #17 Charley Hoffman, #19 Jeff Overton, #21 Brian Harman, #22 Chris Stroud,  #23 Brian Gay, #20 Kevin Na, #21 Will MacKenzie, #22 Luke Guthrie and .

The field includes 11 players in the top 25 on this year’s PGA Tour money list.  Those players are #1 Ryan Moore, #10 Briny Baird, #11 Jason Bohn, #12 Tim Clark, #14 Charles Howell III, #15 Scott Brown, #18 Chris Stroud, #19 Charley Hoffman, #20 Jeff Overton, #24 Brian Harman and #25 Brian Gay.

The field includes all 6 of there 6 past champions: John Huh (2012), Johnson Wagner (2011), Cameron Beckman (2010), Mark Wilson (2009), Brian Gay (2008) and Fred Funk (2007).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the OHL Classic at Mayakoba field is our performance chart listed by average finish.  Another way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the  OHL Classic at Mayakoba in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the  OHL Classic at Mayakoba.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Mayakoba Golf Classic

Player McGladrey Classic WGC-HSBC CIMB Classic Handa Perth Shriners Hospitals Frys.com Open Tour Champ. BMW Champ. Deutsche Bank Barclays Classic Wyndham Champ. PGA Champ.
Ryan Moore
(195 pts)
DNP
 
T50
(1)
Win
(132)
DNP
 
T9
(30)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T11
(19.5)
75
(0)
T25
(12.5)
DNP
 
T55
(0)
Charles Howell III
(141.67 pts)
T27
(23)
DNP
 
T7
(55)
DNP
 
T5
(46.67)
T33
(11.33)
DNP
 
T39
(5.5)
T53
(0)
T33
(8.5)
DQ
(-1.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
Kevin Stadler
(126.33 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP
 
T19
(31)
DNP
 
T30
(13.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T33
(8.5)
T4
(40)
T43
(3.5)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
Briny Baird
(125.33 pts)
T2
(100)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T36
(9.33)
T26
(16)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Scott Brown
(121.67 pts)
T4
(80)
DNP
 
72
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
T3
(60)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
T62
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
Tim Clark
(110.33 pts)
T2
(100)
DNP
 
T31
(19)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
T72
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
T26
(8)
T68
(0)
Daniel Summerhays
(103.83 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP
 
T53
(0)
DNP
 
T23
(18)
T40
(6.67)
DNP
 
T28
(11)
T22
(14)
T15
(17.5)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
Matt Every
(102.67 pts)
T7
(55)
DNP
 
T47
(3)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T39
(5.5)
T62
(0)
T9
(22.5)
T5
(23.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
Charley Hoffman
(99.5 pts)
T22
(28)
DNP
 
T53
(0)
DNP
 
4
(53.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
68
(0)
T27
(11.5)
70
(0)
DNP
 
T40
(6.67)
Brian Harman
(98 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T48
(1.33)
T7
(36.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
T3
(30)
DNP
 
Harris English
(91.67 pts)
T27
(23)
DNP
 
T7
(55)
DNP
 
T40
(6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
50
(0.5)
T27
(11.5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
T61
(0)
Scott Piercy
(91 pts)
T63
(0)
T21
(29)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T69
(0)
T13
(18.5)
T43
(3.5)
DNP
 
T5
(46.67)
Robert Garrigus
(91 pts)
T22
(28)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T23
(18)
T12
(25.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
T11
(13)
T25
(16.67)
Brian Gay
(88.67 pts)
T4
(80)
T46
(4)
T47
(3)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
T65
(0)
T27
(11.5)
T43
(3.5)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
Chris Stroud
(87 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T3
(90)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
T51
(0)
T35
(7.5)
T33
(8.5)
T37
(4.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
Jeff Overton
(83.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T16
(34)
DNP
 
T9
(30)
T16
(22.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T66
(0)
T29
(7)
DNP
 
Brendon Todd
(83.33 pts)
T16
(34)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T12
(25.33)
T26
(16)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T26
(8)
DNP
 
John Senden
(80.33 pts)
T4
(80)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T53
(0)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T62
(0)
T29
(7)
T70
(0)
John Huh
(68.67 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T53
(0)
DNP
 
T30
(13.33)
70
(0)
DNP
 
49
(0.5)
T22
(14)
T15
(17.5)
T3
(30)
CUT
(-6.67)
George McNeill
(68.17 pts)
T22
(28)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T62
(0)
T7
(36.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T43
(3.5)
T60
(0)
DNP
 
Greg Chalmers
(64.83 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T15
(23.33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
T37
(6.5)
T52
(0)
DNP
 
Matt Jones
(61.83 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T40
(10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T8
(25)
CUT
(-5)
T33
(8.5)
T5
(23.33)
T40
(6.67)
Jason Bohn
(55 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T2
(66.67)
T40
(6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
Brooks Koepka
(53.33 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
T3
(60)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T70
(0)
J.J. Henry
(51.33 pts)
T48
(2)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T15
(23.33)
T16
(22.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
T45
(1.67)
T40
(6.67)

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Mayakoba Golf Classic

Player McGladrey Classic WGC-HSBC CIMB Classic Handa Perth Shriners Hospitals Frys.com Open Tour Champ. BMW Champ. Deutsche Bank Barclays Classic Wyndham Champ. PGA Champ.
Derek Ernst
(-33.33 pts)
DNP
 
T61
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
David Lingmerth
(-24.17 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T64
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
WD
(-2.5)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
Edward Loar
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Scott Gardiner
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T52
(0)
DNP
 
Tommy Gainey
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T52
(0)
T61
(0)
Davis Love III
(-20 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T62
(0)
T62
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
Bud Cauley
(-20 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
71
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
Robert Allenby
(-20 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
T62
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
Scott Verplank
(-20 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 
Stephen Ames
(-18.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T48
(1.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
 

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

The last of the six fall events in the new wrap-around schedule for 2014.  This event gets the biggest face-lift because it’s moves away from the Accenture Match Play Championship.  So for pros that want to play in this event they can since it’s the only event of the week on the PGA Tour schedule.

For many these six weeks have become a God send because for some it’s almost guaranteed their 2015 tour cards before the end of 2013.  Example of that, in 2014 the top-125 off the FedEx Cup point list will get a tour card for 2015.  Last year Ben Crane was 125th with 369 points after the Wyndham Championship.  If you look at this year’s FedEx Cup point list the five winners of the year are over the 369 list but for those 6th, Vijay Singh he is at 346 points which isn’t at the 369 point but the fact is that he has done all the hard work already.  Vijay along with six others have between 274 points (Jason Bohn) and Briny Baird (346 points).  There are 16 players with 200 or more points so you can see that for them playing well in these six events have either secured their cards for 2015 or made a drastic push toward that goal.  It’s also interesting to note that last year Jimmy Walker missed getting into the Tour Championship by just 80 points.  Of course he didn’t play well enough in the first three Playoff events to get him into the Tour Championship but the point is today he is at 684 points, if he would of had those points added to his 2013 totals he would of qualified at 1,682 points which would of placed him 5th when they redid the points which would of guaranteed him a spot in the Tour Championship.

So it has proved out that for those playing these first six weeks it’s been very lucrative.

Course information:

El Camaleon was built by Greg Norman and opened in 2004. The course wines through three distinct landscapes tropical jungle, dense mangroves and sand-lined oceanfront. The design even incorporates a cenote – an underground cavern common to the area – into the heart of the first fairway. The PGA Tour made its first stop in 2007, spending six years opposite the World Golf Championships-Accenture Match Play Championship until getting its own fall date this year. In 2016, El Camaleón will serve as one of two hosts for the World Amateur Team Championships.

Located 45 minutes south of Cancun, in the heart of the Riviera Maya, Camaleon is aptly named for its diverse layout and ever changing landscape, always in total harmony with the region’s natural beauty.

For those that think that this is a resort course and is a pushover, that’s not the case.  The last time the Tour played there in February of 2012 the course played over par at 71.65 and ranked 17th toughest, so it’s not a pushover. In looking at it’s characteristics it’s in the middle of the pack compared to other courses that held events in 2012.  Driving accuracy it was the 20th hardest, in greens hit the 21st hardest.  Same with putting, the overall putting average placed it T19th so it has it’s challenges.

Players will be challenge by conditions of wind on holes that get close to the sea, the par 3 7th and 15th are on the beach.  On course water hazards comes into play on six of the holes and there are 36 bunkers to avoid.  The greens average 7,000 square feet with the grass being a special blend called Sea Isle 1 Paspalum which is unique because you can use a seawater blend in irrigating the fairways, tees and greens.  The course has a rating of 73.8 from the back tees with a slope of 137.

The weather will be perfect and ocean breezes will not only challenge the players but keep the temperature perfect.  Nothing like having your office at a great resort for the week.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the OHL Mayakoba Classic:

Key stat for the winner:

In a tournament that has a history of younger players participating, older more experience players have done well.  In it’s first year in 2007, 50 year-old Fred Funk took the title and since Champion Tour standouts John Cook and Michael Allen have contended and finished in the top-ten.  Of it’s other five champions only John Huh and Brian Gay were first time winners so experience players tend to do well.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

Tournament has only had limited stats once and that was last year as John Huh led the greens hit category missing only 13 of the 72 greens.

 

Who to watch for at the Mayakoba Golf Classic

Best Bets:

Tim Clark

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
First time playing in this event

Game has come around after years of injuries, this could be a place for his comeback.

Briny Baird

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T12 T5 T4 T6 T12 T63

Only problem with this choice is he could be down after his close call at McGladrey but on paper he is a great choice just because of his three top-ten finishes at Mayakoba.

Ryan Moore

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
First time playing in this event

Our Cliche choice of the week, yes he is playing the best of all the players in the field but coming into an event he has never played at before.

Best of the rest:

Charles Howell III

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T16 T13 T20 T38

You just have to think it’s only a matter of time before he wins again, could come on this course

Kevin Stadler

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T16 T74 T9 T20 T48 T13

Good combination of playing good last couple of weeks and coming to a course he has done well on.

Brian Gay

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T55 T5 T20 Win T41

Watch this past champion, finished T4th last week which could be a great sign of things coming together.

John Senden

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
First time playing in this event

A good choice due to him playing well last week and coming to a course that suits his game.

Solid contenders

J.J. Henry

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T9 T19 T48 2

Good track record on this course, he can come up anytime and do well.

Luke Guthrie

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
First time playing in this event

Another of those that have been playing good in fall swing.

Matt Every

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T3 DQ

Watch him, was T3rd last year and T7th at Sea Island.

Brian Harman

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T26

Another solid choice, could surprise us all.

Long shots that could come through:

Brooks Koepka

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
First time playing in this event

He is going to be one that plays well on the PGA Tour, could start it up this week.

Jamie Lovemark

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
First time playing in this event

Always felt that he would break out and play well on tour.

Spencer Levin

2012 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T34 2 T28 CUT

Looking to piece together his PGA Tour career after a year on the Web.Com Tour.

Speak Your Mind