Welcome to GOLFstats.com! You are currently viewing a special post on GOLFstats.com .
For the best experience and full access to GOLFstats.com, CLICK HERE to sign up for a $15 one month GOLFstats Ultimate account!

BlogHumana Challenge Preview and Picks

Humana Challenge

January 17 – 19, 2014

PGA West/Palmer

La Quinta, Ca.

Home course

Par: 72 / Yardage: 6,950

Purse: $5.7 Million

with $1,026,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Brian Gay

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 9 of the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with one player #6 Zach Johnson from the top-ten. The other top 50 players are #14 Brandt Snedeker, #20 Webb Simpson, #22 Keegan Bradley, #31 Bill Haas, #40 Billy Horschel, #44 Jonas Blixt, #47 Harris English and #48 Rickie Fowler.

The field includes 17 of the top 25 on the FedEx point standings for 2014.  Those players are #3 Harris English, #4 Webb Simpson, #6 Zach Johnson, #8 Brian Stuard, #9 Jason Bohn, #10 Charles Howell III, #11 Gary Woodland, #13 Chris Stroud, #14 Scott Brown,  #16 Briny Baird, #17 Jeff Overton, #18 Tim Clark, #20 Ryo Ishikaw, #21 Brian Gay, #22 Jerry Kelly, #23 Boo Weekley and #25 Charley Hoffman.

The field includes 15 players in the top 25 on this year’s PGA Tour money list.  Those players are #2 Harris English, #5 Webb Simpson, #7 Zach Johnson, #8 Brian Stuard, #9 Gary Woodland, #10 Jason Bohn, #12 Charles Howell III, #13 Chris Stroud, #15 Scott Brown, #16 Ryo Ishikawa, #18 Jeff Overton, #19 Tim Clark, #20 Briny Baird, #24 Brian Gay and #25 Jerry Kelly.

The field includes 14 past champions: Brian Gay – 2013, Mark Wilson – 2012, Jhonattan Vegas – 2011, Bill Haas – 2010, Pat Perez – 2009, D.J. Trahan – 2008, Charley Hoffman – 2007, Chad Campbell – 2006, Justin Leonard – 2005, Mike Weir – 2003, Joe Durant – 2001, Jesper Parnevik – 2000,  Mark Brooks – 1996 and  Peter Jacobsen – 1990

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the Humana Challenge field is our performance chart listed by average finish.  Another way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the Humana Challenge  in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the Humana Challenge .

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

 

Check out our video preview and picks for the Humana and a recap of the Sony.

This video will help you better understand how to utilize the power of Golfstats in looking to see who should do well in the coming week.

 

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Humana Challenge

Player Sony Open in Hawaii Hyundai Tournament of Champions Nedbank Golf Challenge OHL Classic at Mayakoba McGladrey Classic WGC-HSBC Champions CIMB Classic Shriners Hospitals for Children Open Frys.com Open
Zach Johnson
(196.67 pts)
T8
(50)
Win
(132)
DNP DNP T16
(11.33)
DNP DNP T40
(3.33)
DNP
Harris English
(192.33 pts)
4
(80)
T11
(39)
DNP Win
(44)
T27
(7.67)
DNP T7
(18.33)
T40
(3.33)
DNP
Webb Simpson
(152.33 pts)
DNP T3
(90)
DNP DNP T7
(18.33)
DNP DNP Win
(44)
DNP
Charles Howell III
(125 pts)
T8
(50)
DNP DNP T6
(20)
T27
(7.67)
DNP T7
(18.33)
T5
(23.33)
T33
(5.67)
Brian Stuard
(101.67 pts)
6
(60)
DNP DNP 2
(33.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP T15
(11.67)
T58
(0)
Jeff Overton
(98.33 pts)
7
(55)
DNP DNP T23
(9)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T16
(11.33)
T9
(15)
T16
(11.33)
Jerry Kelly
(95.33 pts)
3
(90)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
WD
(-1.67)
DNP T19
(10.33)
DNP 57
(0)
Scott Brown
(90.67 pts)
T68
(0)
T24
(26)
DNP T16
(11.33)
T4
(26.67)
DNP 72
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
T3
(30)
Gary Woodland
(85.67 pts)
DNP T13
(37)
T22
(18.67)
DNP DNP DNP 2
(33.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Chris Stroud
(83.33 pts)
T20
(30)
DNP DNP T3
(30)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T3
(30)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Brian Gay
(82.33 pts)
T32
(18)
T13
(37)
DNP T45
(1.67)
T4
(26.67)
T46
(1.33)
T47
(1)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Kevin Na
(78 pts)
T8
(50)
DNP DNP T36
(4.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T3
(30)
Billy Horschel
(75 pts)
DNP T6
(60)
DNP DNP DNP T34
(5.33)
T11
(13)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Matt Every
(74 pts)
T8
(50)
DNP DNP T36
(4.67)
T7
(18.33)
DNP T47
(1)
DNP DNP
Boo Weekley
(73 pts)
T29
(21)
26
(24)
DNP DNP T22
(9.33)
T11
(13)
T33
(5.67)
DNP DNP
Jason Bohn
(63.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T3
(30)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP T2
(33.33)
T40
(3.33)
Brendon Todd
(62.33 pts)
T20
(30)
DNP DNP T49
(0.33)
T16
(11.33)
DNP DNP T12
(12.67)
T26
(8)
Pat Perez
(58.67 pts)
T8
(50)
DNP DNP T16
(11.33)
T48
(0.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T58
(0)
Brendon De Jonge
(54.67 pts)
T51
(0)
DNP 5
(46.67)
DNP T16
(11.33)
DNP T53
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Jason Kokrak
(52.67 pts)
T20
(30)
DNP DNP DNP T10
(13.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T12
(12.67)
Will Wilcox
(50 pts)
T8
(50)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Retief Goosen
(47.67 pts)
T8
(50)
DNP DNP DNP T65
(0)
DNP T47
(1)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Bill Haas
(47 pts)
DNP T24
(26)
DNP DNP DNP T21
(9.67)
T16
(11.33)
DNP DNP
Sang-Moon Bae
(47 pts)
T32
(18)
T21
(29)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T68
(0)
DNP DNP
Brian Harman
(47 pts)
T32
(18)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T10
(13.33)
DNP DNP T48
(0.67)
T7
(18.33)

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Humana Challenge

Player Sony Open in Hawaii Hyundai Tournament of Champions Nedbank Golf Challenge OHL Classic at Mayakoba McGladrey Classic WGC-HSBC Champions CIMB Classic Shriners Hospitals for Children Open Frys.com Open
Edward Loar
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Bud Cauley
(-20 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
71
(0)
Bobby Gates
(-16.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Alex Aragon
(-16.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T77
(0)
David Lingmerth
(-16.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP T64
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Andrew Loupe
(-16.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Johnson Wagner
(-16.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP T58
(0)
Troy Merritt
(-16.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Scott Gardiner
(-15.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T36
(4.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Brad Fritsch
(-15 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP WD
(-1.67)

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

A couple of negatives that will start making news in the coming weeks, just after Adam Scott announced that he wasn’t going to play in the Accenture Match Play Championship, the event was hit with even worst news as Accenture announced that they would pull out of the tournament when the contract expires after this year’s event.  This wasn’t unexpected news, they have been the events only sponsor since the WGC’s were born in 1999 but they haven’t had the same enthusiasm they had in past years.  The event has lost a bit of it’s luster when marquee names like Phil Mickelson and Adam Scott decide not to play.  The site was never special, it was played on two courses in Dove Mountain and both aren’t memorable for an event of this magnitude.  Still many did like the Ritz Carlton which was right now the road, but the course never lived up to the hotel.  Weather was always a factor, since the course was at 3,000 feet in elevation there have been several delays due to frost and last year snow covered the ground before the first round.  No need to worry, the always powerful PGA Tour seems to pluck sponsors out of thin air and I wouldn’t be surprise to see a new sponsor name before the end of this year’s event.  Also there is a very good chance that the event will be on the move out of the Tucson area, there is also talk of a change of date.  Wouldn’t be surprised to see this event move into the date of the Wells Fargo in May, it’s a plumb date and the future of the event is sketchy after this year to accommodate the PGA Championship being played there in 2016.

The good news is the health of the Humana Challenge.  This event was on life support, after the 2011 event the odds on it being played another year was 50/50/.  The folks that ran the event was running it into the ground, insisting keeping the event at 90 holes and trying to make it a memorial for Bob Hope who died in 2003.  They also tried to save some money by moving to a course they owned, a course that had high winds and one not popular by the players.  Need we say that players weren’t happy and it became hard getting marquee names as in 2010 the best ranked player in the field was #37 Mike Weir.  After Chrysler left in 2009 the event wasn’t sponsored in 2010 or 2011.  Demographically the event didn’t offer companies the ingredients to buy in because the event and the community caters to older folks.  Since most companies are looking for folks under 40 that spend a lot, this was a problem.  For most the task looked bad as Hope officials couldn’t find a sponsor on their own but Finchem realized that the location and weather could offer different opportunities for the right company.  That company was Humana who gives the message of better living habits, but in the first try to get Humana, they passed.  But when Finchem was able to get President Bill Clinton and his foundation involved, it was like magic as Humana went from not being interested to signing a eight year deal with the tournament.  Now the event has purpose as it can identify itself with the former president and Humana can use the perfect location and weather to pass on their message of healthy living as they are upgrading the look and atmosphere of the event.  If anyone is not a Tim Finchem fan they would be after seeing how he turned a bad situation into magic, this is why the tour is very successful.

Course information:

This is a very unique event as three courses are used.

Arnold Palmer Private Course at PGA West is the home course, will hold one round during the first three days and host Sunday action:

6,950 yards     Par 36-36–72

Course has a 74.6 rating and slope rating of 140 from the championship tees

Course is private and not open to the public.

Course was designed by Arnold Palmer and was opened in 1987

Course has been a part of the Humana since 1988 (wasn’t used in 1995, ’96 & ’97) and has been the host club 13 of the last 23 years that it’s been on the rota.  This will be the sixth straight year it’s the host course. The Palmer Course at PGA West will go down in history as the site of the lowest final round in golf.  David Duval shot 59 to win the Hope in 1999 and even though many may think that the course is easy, it isn’t.  Duval’s round was probably one of the greatest rounds because he accomplished it on a course that shouldn’t have a sub-60 round.  If there is a weakness to this course, its the par 5s, but the heart of the course is it’s par 4s which are long and play tough with five of them having water hazards on them.

The average green size at the Palmer course is 5,500 square feet and the course has 97 bunkers.  Water comes in play on ten of the 18 holes.

Scoring average of the Palmer private compared to other courses that hold events on the PGA Tour:

  • 2013 – 68.924 average, 2nd easiest of 43 courses used for year
  • 2012 – 69.876 average, 4th easiest of 49 courses used for year
  • 2011 – 69.090 average, 2nd easiest of 51 courses used for year
  • 2010 – 69.299 average, 3rd easiest of 52 courses used for year
  • 2009 – 68.496 average, 3rd easiest of 51 courses used for year

Other courses used in the rota:

La Quinta C.C.

La Quinta, Calif.

7,060 yards     Par 36-36–72

Course has a 74.2 rating and slope rating of 136 fron the championship tees

Course is private and not open to the public

Course was designed by Billy Bell and Lawrence Hughes and was opened in 1959.  In 1999 Robert Muir Graves and Damian Pascuzzo came in, rebuilt all of the greens, bunkers and tees.  He has also taken all of the water hazards on the course and made them all come into play. The flagpole at the first tee is the official flagpole from the 1960 Winter Olympics at Squaw Valley. It was given to La Quinta Country Club by the Novotny family in memory of Frank Capra.

The average green size at La Quinta is 5,500 square feet and the course has 101 bunkers.  There are five water hazards on the course with 8 holes being effected.  The course was first used as a Humana course in 1964 and has been a part of 40 of the 52 Humana’s and historically been the hardest of the courses used.  It was the host course in 1970, 1977,1980 and 1983.<P>

Scoring average of the La Quinta course compared to other courses that hold events on the PGA Tour:

  • 2013 – 69.487 average, 3rd easiest of 43 courses used for year
  • 2012 – 70.678 average, 41st hardest of 49 courses used for year
  • 2011 – 70.024 average, 43rd hardest of 51 courses used for year
  • 2010 – 69.969 average, 47th hardest of 52 courses used for year

 

PGA West Jack Nicklaus Private

La Quinta, Calif.

6,924 yards     Par 36-36–72

Course has a 74.3 rating and slope rating of 146 from the championship tees

Course is private and not open to the public.

Course first went on the rota in 2009. PGA West Jack Nicklaus Private, designed to host the 1991 Ryder Cup, the event was ultimately moved to The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island.  From back tees course is only 6,951 but still tough with water coming into play on 7 holes.

Scoring average of the Nicklaus private compared to other courses that hold events on the PGA Tour:

  • 2012 – 68.000 average, easiest of the 43 courses used for year
  • 2012 – 69.193 avearge, easiest of the 49 courses used for year
  • 2011 – 69.214 average, 3rd easiest of 51 courses used for year
  • 2010 – 68.992 average, 2nd easiest of 52 courses used for year
  • 2009 – 66.984 average, easiest of 51 courses used for year

 

Golf’s DL injury report

Playing this week:

  • Dudley Hart hasn’t played on the PGA Tour since missing the cut at the AT&T Pebble Beach pro-am in 2012 but will return to action at the Humana Challenge.  He has had a long history of injuries and heartbreaking problem including his wife Suzanne almost losing her life due to a tumor in her lungs in 2007.  Along with that had been suffering back problems since 2003 and despite a comeback in 2008, had back surgery in 2009.  Was playing another comeback in 2012 but after his start at the AT&T discovered original back fusion did not work and had another procedure. Planned to return in 2013, but never did and will make his first start this week.  Need we say that his odds are long and he wouldn’t be a very good choice, even at 1,000 to one odds.
  • John Mallinger returns to action after recovering from a left-shoulder injury last year.  Hurt it in April, he last played at the RBC Heritage and had surgery to repair his shoulder.  He will play in the same tournament he got his best finish at, a T2nd at the 2012 Humana.  Again not a very good choice for this week.
  • Tim Clark is playing this week at the Humana but I would be very weary.  He withdrew from the Sony during the second round after his left elbow was ailing him.  In 2011 Clark also had problems at the Sony, this time with tendinitis in his right arm which played havoc to his game and he wasn’t right for another year.  Another player to watch if this is a problem or not.
  • Update as of Wednesday the 15th – Clark’s injury must be worst than first thought as he has withdrawn from the Humana

Problems last week, future play unknown:

  • Justin Rose has a mild case of tendinitis in his right shoulder.  Many thought it was weird that Rose didn’t play at Kapalua and was suppose to play at Abu Dhabi but withdrew from that event and the Farmers Insurance Open.  It’s unknown on when the U.S. Open champion will play next, rumors have him not playing in the Accenture Match Play but we will have to wait for further news.
  • Russell Henley was looking forward to defending his championship but had a case of flu and some food poisoning causing him to withdraw after 12 holes in the pro-am and shot 73 in the first round.  Did bounce back with 65 to make the cut and finished with 69-69 to finish T49th.  It was thought that he would play in the Humana, but he isn’t in that field and not committed to the Farmers so we have to wait and see what the deal is.
  • Hideki Matsuyama, who won the order of merit leader in Japan and has a PGA Tour card for 2014 decided at the last minute to withdraw from the Sony Open due to a wrist injury.  This is something to worry about, the injury first surfaced in Las Vegas in October a tournament he withdrew from along with the WGC-HSBC.  Matsuyama isn’t playing at Humana but has committed to play the Farmers next week.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the Humana Challenge

Key stat for the winner:

Most important stat is how many birdies are allowed on the three courses.  Last year players teed it up on two of the four rounds at PGA West/Palmer and 1,219 birdies and 42 eagles were made.  That is quite a bit and if you add up the other two courses that were used a total of 2,820 birdies and 111 eagles were made, most of any event on tour.  Going a step further, of the winners of the last five years, they have played 38.4% of their holes under par (154 birdies, 5 eagles over 414 holes) which means that the winners birdied almost 4 holes for every 10 played at the Humana.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

  • This week the pros will play over three courses in four days, quite a learning scale with very little time to prepare.  Making it even harder for those coming from Hawaii unless they took red-eyes on Sunday Night or missed the cut, they won’t get to start practicing until Tuesday.  Still it’s better than the days when this event was played over five days.
  • Another problem for the pros, the first three days they will be played with amateurs, so patient is needed to tolerate those five plus hour rounds.  So look for experience players to do well, those with a long track record at the Humana should be your favorites. Since 1984 the champion has averaged winning in his 7th start. Last year Brian Gay won on his 12th Humana start while 2012 winner Mark Wilson was making his fourth start when he won.  Experience is a must in this event, yes Jhonathan Vegas won the first time around in 2011 and Charley Hoffman in 2007 was the first player to make his Hope debut a victory since Donnie Hammond did it in 1986.  Still consider Hoffman and Vegas exceptions to the rule.
  • As we said before the winner will have to make lots of birdies and eagles to win. When it was played over 90 holes, Phil Mickelson made 37 birdies in 2004 while Justin Leonard made 33 in 2005 and D.J. Trahan made 35 in 2008 along with Pat Perez in 2009,  Bill Haas made 34 in 2010 and Jhonathan Vegas made 34 in 2011.  When the event changed to 72 holes in 2012 Mark Wilson made 24 birdies while Brian Gay made 27 last year. So to win they will have to birdie at least 3 out of every 10 holes played.
  • Look at someone that destroys the par 5s.  The last 14 winners have averaged 15 under on them with Phil Mickelson playing them in 14 under in 2002, Mike Weir playing them in 15 under in 2003 and Phil Mickelson playing them in 12 under in 2004, Justin Leonard played them in 10 under in 2005, Chad Campbell played them in 18 under in 2006, Charley Hoffman played them in 15 under in 2007 while D.J. Trahan was 13 under on them with Pat Perez setting the record for playing them in 19 under in 2009, Bill Haas played them in 16 under in 2010 while Jhonathan Vegas was 11 under the last year it was held at 90 holes.  In 2012 Mark Wilson was 15 under while Brian Gay was 10 under last year.
  • Look for scores to go even lower this year.  That’s because the weather is going to be picture perfect, in the 80s each day and hardy any wind.  Pros love that and with pins in more assessable positions because of the amateurs playing, scores will go low.

Who to watch for at the Humana Challenge

Best Bets:

Zach Johnson

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T23 T8 T20

Playing for a third week in a row, he has the patients to play in pro-ams, in 12 rounds in this event has never shot higher than 71 with 10 rounds in the 60s and six of them 66 or better.

Gary Woodland

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
CUT T2 CUT

Guy has the length to do well in this event, showed it in 2011 when he finished T2nd losing in the playoff.

Harris English

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T65 T19

Just like Jimmy Walker, this guy seems to get better week by week. Not only did he end the year well winning at Mayakoba but continued the good play with a T11th at Kapalua and 4th at the Sony. He could be our best pick of the week.

Best of the rest:

Webb Simpson

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
CUT T13 T33 T5

Could go crazy this week, finished T3rd at Kapalua but what I like is not the fact that in four Humana’s has only been in the top-ten once but the fact that in 18 rounds has shot 68 or lower 12 times including a 65 last year while missing the cut.

Charles Howell III

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T2 T49 T13 T26 T65 CUT CUT T6

Last week is a perfect example of why Howell wins a lot of money but rarely contends. Finished strong to finish T8th and pick up a good check, just think he is close and this is a great place for him to win a third time on the PGA Tour. Yes he only has two top-tens in eight starts, but he is 75 under in his last four rounds, numbers that show he could win if he puts it all together over 72 holes.

Brandt Snedeker

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T23 T8 CUT T10 T60

Has only shot over par since his first year in 2007 but over his last four starts is 69 under par with ten rounds shot at 68 or under.

Kevin Na

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
CUT T30 T5 T8 CUT T66 73 WD T47

Showed some promise when he finished T5th in 2011 and T8th in 2010. Fits the mold of one of those outside winners, he is fighting back from a nagging back injury last year and showed some promise with a T8th at the Sony.

Solid contenders

Keegan Bradley

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T7

Hard to believe that he played in 2011 and finished T7th and never came back. Playing for the first time since Northwestern, his previous official start was T11th in China in the WGC-HSBC. He wasn’t in the winners circle in 2013 and you know he wants to erase that with a win.

Billy Horschel

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T10 CUT CUT

Finished T10th in this event last year along with a T6th at Kapalua means a good week at the Humana.

Bill Haas

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
CUT T64 T2 Win T25 T16 T27 T19 T34

Past Champion who getting into the winners circle when you least expect it, I think he will surprise us this week.

Rickie Fowler

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
CUT

May not have much going for him with past performances, but he is now working with Butch Harmon and players have a big boost in the weeks that they start with Butch, so look for him to contend this week.

Long shots that could come through:

Brian Stuard

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T10

Good combination of finishing T10th last year, in last two starts was 6th at Sony and 2nd at Mayakoba.

Robert Garrigus

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T16 T2 T14 CUT T19

A perfect long shot, was 2nd in 2012 and is 63 under in his last three starts

David Toms

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T79 T6 T33 T42 T25 T29 T51 T31

We will see if he has any gas in the tank left, good course for him because he always finds a way of making the cut and playing all rounds.

Worst Bets:

David Lingmerth

2013 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T2

May of finished 2nd last year but in his last 8 starts only has finished 72 holes once and that was at the CIMB which didn’t have a cut. Did miss cut last week at Sony so you can scratch him off your list.