Welcome to GOLFstats.com! You are currently viewing a special post on GOLFstats.com .
For the best experience and full access to GOLFstats.com, CLICK HERE to sign up for a $15 one month GOLFstats Ultimate account!

BlogMayakoba Preview and Picks

OHL Classic at Mayakoba

November 13 – 16, 2014

El Camaleon

Playa Del Carmen,, Mexico

Par: 71 / Yardage: 6,987

Purse: $6.1 Million

with $1,098,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Harris English

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes nobody from the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with the highest rank player being #60 Angel Cabrera.  There is a total of 13 top-100 players in the field, after Cabrera it’s #62 Ben Martin,  #64 Kevin Stadler, #66 Harris English, #76 Cameron Tringale, #79 Brian Harman, #85 Freddie Jacobson, #86 Erik Compton, #87 Robert Streb, #89 Gonzalo Fdez-Castano, #90 Charley Hoffman, #92 Russell Knox and #100 CHris Stroud.  Last year there was two top-50 players and a total of 16 players in the top-100, so for this year there are less marquee players.

The field includes 7 of the Top 25 on the FedEx point standings for 2015.  Those players are Those players are #1 Robert Streb, #3 Ben Martin, #10 Nick Taylor, #12 Will MacKenzie, #16 Russell Knox, #17 Tony Finau, #18 Jason Bohn and #20 Hudson Swafford.

The field includes 7 players in the top 25 on this year’s PGA Tour money list.  Those players are #4 Robert Streb, #5 Ben Martin, #8 Nick Taylor, #15 Will MacKenzie, #16 Russell Knox, #17 Jason Bohn, #19 Tony Finau and #24 Hudson Swafford.

The field includes all 6 of the 7 past champions: Harris English (2014), John Huh (2012), Johnson Wagner (2011), Cameron Beckman (2010), Mark Wilson (2009) and Fred Funk (2007).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the OHL Classic at Mayakoba field is our performance chart listed by average finish.  Another way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the  OHL Classic at Mayakoba in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the  OHL Classic at Mayakoba.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the OHL Classic at Mayakoba

Player WGC HSBC Sanderson Farms CIMB Classic BMW Masters McGladrey Classic Shriners Hospitals Volvo Match Play Hong Kong Frys.com Open Portugal Masters Dunhill Links Tour Champ. BMW Champ.
Robert Streb
(221.33 pts)
DNP 8
(50)
DNP DNP Win
(132)
T10
(26.67)
DNP DNP T31
(12.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Ben Martin
(135.33 pts)
DNP T29
(21)
DNP DNP T17
(33)
Win
(88)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Nick Taylor
(125.33 pts)
DNP Win
(132)
DNP DNP T86
(0)
T56
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Jason Bohn
(114.67 pts)
DNP T2
(100)
DNP DNP T54
(0)
T18
(21.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP 66
(0)
Will MacKenzie
(100 pts)
DNP DNP T52
(0)
DNP T2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T59
(0)
Cameron Smith
(90 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
T5
(70)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T9
(30)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Tony Finau
(88 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T14
(36)
T7
(36.67)
DNP DNP T12
(25.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Fabian Gomez
(86 pts)
DNP T14
(36)
DNP DNP T8
(50)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Hudson Swafford
(82.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T12
(38)
T18
(21.33)
DNP DNP T8
(33.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Mark Wilson
(81.67 pts)
DNP T9
(45)
DNP DNP T8
(50)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
William McGirt
(81 pts)
DNP 7
(55)
DNP DNP T32
(18)
T33
(11.33)
DNP DNP WD
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP 65
(0)
Russell Knox
(78.5 pts)
DNP T35
(15)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
3
(60)
DNP DNP T68
(0)
DNP DNP DNP T23
(13.5)
John Rollins
(73.33 pts)
DNP T4
(80)
DNP DNP T73
(0)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
David Hearn
(72.67 pts)
DNP T14
(36)
DNP DNP DNP T7
(36.67)
DNP DNP T68
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Rory Sabbatini
(71.33 pts)
DNP DNP T8
(50)
DNP T22
(28)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Retief Goosen
(70.33 pts)
DNP DNP T33
(17)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T3
(60)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Justin Thomas
(66.67 pts)
DNP T4
(80)
DNP DNP 71
(0)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Charles Howell III
(64.33 pts)
DNP T14
(36)
DNP DNP T73
(0)
T18
(21.33)
DNP DNP T71
(0)
DNP DNP DNP T36
(7)
Cameron Tringale
(64.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T22
(28)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T26
(16)
DNP DNP 15
(17.5)
T31
(9.5)
Ken Duke
(63.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T4
(80)
T67
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
David Lingmerth
(62.33 pts)
DNP DNP T39
(11)
DNP T14
(36)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T17
(22)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Nicholas Thompson
(58.67 pts)
DNP T35
(15)
T21
(29)
DNP T22
(28)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Andrew Svoboda
(54.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T8
(50)
T18
(21.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Scott Piercy
(53 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T17
(33)
T7
(36.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Davis Love III
(52.33 pts)
DNP DNP T8
(50)
DNP T41
(9)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Daniel Summerhays
(52.17 pts)
DNP T29
(21)
DNP DNP T32
(18)
T54
(0)
DNP DNP T46
(2.67)
DNP DNP DNP T29
(10.5)
Andrew Putnam
(49.67 pts)
DNP T43
(7)
DNP DNP T12
(38)
T33
(11.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Carl Pettersson
(47.83 pts)
DNP T51
(0)
DNP DNP T17
(33)
T42
(5.33)
DNP DNP T57
(0)
DNP DNP DNP T31
(9.5)
Spencer Levin
(46 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T10
(26.67)
DNP DNP T21
(19.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Jerry Kelly
(45.83 pts)
DNP T22
(28)
DNP DNP T63
(0)
DNP DNP DNP T39
(7.33)
DNP DNP DNP T29
(10.5)
Garrett Osborn
(45 pts)
DNP T9
(45)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Kyle Reifers
(43.33 pts)
DNP T14
(36)
DNP DNP T54
(0)
T56
(0)
DNP DNP T39
(7.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
John Peterson
(42.33 pts)
DNP T43
(7)
DNP DNP T22
(28)
T75
(0)
DNP DNP T39
(7.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Billy Hurley III
(36.67 pts)
DNP DNP T8
(50)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Robert Allenby
(35.67 pts)
DNP DNP T63
(0)
DNP T41
(9)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T8
(33.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the OHL Classic at Mayakoba

Player WGC HSBC Sanderson Farms CIMB Classic BMW Masters McGladrey Classic Shriners Hospitals Volvo Match Play Hong Kong Frys.com Open Portugal Masters Dunhill Links Tour Champ. BMW Champ.
Zack Sucher
(-33.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Tyrone Van Aswegen
(-26.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T73
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Ryan Armour
(-23.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T81
(0)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Justin Hicks
(-23.33 pts)
DNP T61
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
John Merrick
(-21.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
T42
(5.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Jason Gore
(-20 pts)
DNP T61
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
WD
(-3.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Roger Sloan
(-20 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Scott Verplank
(-16.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Martin Flores
(-16.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T69
(0)
T56
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Whee Kim
(-16 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T86
(0)
T49
(0.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

  • The last of the seven fall events in the new wrap-around schedule for 2015.
  • For many these six weeks has become a God send because for some it’s almost guaranteed their 2016 tour cards before the end of 2014.  Example of that, for winners Sang-Moon Bae, Ben Martin Robert Streb and Nick Taylor they have gone from obscurity to instant fame and in most cases (Taylor has reached that point yet) they have won over a million dollars before the calendar rolls over to 2015.  Thanks to there wins all of them have secured spots in the first round of the FedEx playoffs and for Bae, Martin and Streb they will play in the Masters.
  • Yes, Graham Delaet is #48 on the rankings and vulnerable on staying on the list, he isn’t playing this week because he is hurt, so he may miss out on a way to get into the Masters.  For some of the others like #49 John Senden, #50 Brendon Todd and #52 Russell Henley, they qualified by playing in the Tour Championship.  So there isn’t anyone on the PGA Tour really affected with this.  That is probably one of the reasons that the top player in the field is #60 Angel Cabrera.
  • So with this week is golf finished on the PGA Tour?  No, we still have the Hero World Challenge the first week of December followed by the Franklin Templeton Shootout.  We may also see a player or two venture to South Africa for the Nedbank and of course the three biggest events in Australia is happening in the coming weeks.  So golf is still being played, just not for FedEx Cup points.

Course information:

El Camaleon was built by Greg Norman and opened in 2004. The course wines through three distinct landscapes tropical jungle, dense mangroves and sand-lined oceanfront. The design even incorporates a cenote – an underground cavern common to the area – into the heart of the first fairway. The PGA Tour made its first stop in 2007, spending six years opposite the World Golf Championships-Accenture Match Play Championship until getting its own fall date this year. In 2016, El Camaleón will serve as one of two hosts for the World Amateur Team Championships.

Located 45 minutes south of Cancun, in the heart of the Riviera Maya, Camaleon is aptly named for its diverse layout and ever changing landscape, always in total harmony with the region’s natural beauty.

For those that think that this is a resort course and is a pushover, that’s not the case.  The last time the Tour played there last year the course played under par at 70.019 and ranked 39th toughest.  Now that is quite a drop and shows what happens when the wind blows in off the Gulf of Mexico and doesn’t.  In 2014 conditions were mild, thus a easy scoring average.  But in February of 2012 the course played over par at 71.65 and ranked 17th toughest, so it’s not a pushover. In looking at it’s characteristics it’s in the middle of the pack compared to other courses that held events in 2012.  Driving accuracy it was the 20th hardest, in greens hit the 21st hardest.  Same with putting, the overall putting average placed it T19th so it has it’s challenges.

Looking at how the course did in 2014, driving accuracy it was the 29th hardest, in greens hit the 36th hardest.  Same with putting, the overall putting average placed it T25th so it has it’s challenges.

Players will be challenge by conditions of wind on holes that get close to the sea, the par 3 7th and 15th are on the beach.  On course water hazards comes into play on six of the holes and there are 36 bunkers to avoid.  The greens average 7,000 square feet with the grass being a special blend called Sea Isle 1 Paspalum which is unique because you can use a seawater blend in irrigating the fairways, tees and greens.  The course has a rating of 73.8 from the back tees with a slope of 137.

The weather will be perfect and ocean breezes will not only challenge the players but keep the temperature perfect.  Nothing like having your office at a great resort for the week.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the OHL Mayakoba Classic:

Key stat for the winner:

In a tournament that has a history of younger players participating, older more experience players have done well.  In it’s first year in 2007, 50 year-old Fred Funk took the title and since Champion Tour standouts John Cook and Michael Allen have contended and finished in the top-ten.  Of it’s other five champions only John Huh and Brian Gay were first time winners so experience players tend to do well. Last year Harris English won for the second time, six months before he was a first time winner in the FedEx St. Jude Classic, so maybe that is a trend to look for, those that have won before.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

Tournament has only had limited stats once as in 2012 John Huh led the greens hit category missing only 13 of the 72 greens. while last year’s winner Harris English was T-10th hitting 55 of 72 greens.  One other oddity that I noticed of the winners, they did very well on the par 3s, don’t know if that means anything.

 

Who to watch for at the OHL Classic at Mayakoba

Best Bets:

Brian Stuard

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
2 T2

Is two for two in finishing runner-up, despite missing the cut three times he was T13th at CIMB so look for him to be the next surprise of the 2015 season.

Chris Stroud

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T3 T5 4 T40 T60 T12 CUT

Seems to own this place, has been in the top-five in his last three starts.

Will MacKenzie

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T12 T49 T56

Played well last year in this event, has been good this year.

Best of the rest:

Jason Bohn

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T3 T19

Another of those that have shown a liking to El Camaleon and is playing well.

Ben Martin

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T31

Playing well he made the cut in last year’s Mayakoba.

Charles Howell III

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T6 T16 T13 T20 T38

What’s another of these fall events without a Charles Howell watch.

Mark Wilson

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
CUT T28 Win T66

A past champion that coming off a pair of top-tens of late.

Solid contenders

Robert Streb

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
First time playing in this event

Has had a great fall swing, could top it with another win this week.

Rory Sabbatini

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T3 CUT T5

Was T-8th at CIMB, has played well at Mayakoba so watch him.

Russell Knox

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T31 T30

Another of those players to watch this week.

John Huh

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T23 Win

Past Champion that could make some noise.

Long shots that could come through:

Fabian Gomez

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
T50

Could be the surprise of the week, playing well of late.

Justin Thomas

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
First time playing in this event

Another first timer in this event that could surprise all.

Nick Taylor

2014 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03 ’02
First time playing in this event

Could lightning strike twice in two weeks?

Speak Your Mind