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Commercialbank Qatar Masters

January 21 – 24, 2015

Doha G.C.

Doha, Qatar

Par: 72 / Yardage:

Purse: $3.2 million

with $305,232 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Sergio Garcia

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 7 of the top-50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with three top-10 in the field: #3 Henrik Stenson, #5 Justin Rose and #6 Sergio Garcia. The other top-50 in the field are  #25 Charl Schwartzel, #33 Stephen Gallacher, #38 Thongchai Jaidee and #48 Mikko Ilonen.

Last year the event had 10 top-50 players.

The field includes 15 of the Top-25 on the Race to Dubai standings for 2015.  Those players are #2 Ross Fisher, #3 Gary Stal, #6 Branden Grace, #7 Marcel Siem, #8 Charl Schwartzel, #10 Kiradech Aphibarnrat, #13 Andy Sullivan, #14 Thomas Pieters, #15 Thongchai Jaidee, #17 Andrew Johnston, #20 Dawie Van Der Walt, #21 Stephen Gallacher, #22 George Coetzee, #23 Alexander Levy, and 24 James Morrison.

The field includes seven past champions: Sergio Garcis – 2014, Paul Lawrie – 2012 & 1999, Robert Karlsson – 2010, Alvaro Quiros – 2009, Henrik Stenson – 2006, Ernie Els – 2005 and Darren Fichardt – 2003.

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the CommercialBank Qatar Masters field is our performance chart listed by average finish. One last way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the CommercialBank Qatar Masters  in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the CommercialBank Qatar Masters.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

 

 

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Commercialbank Qatar Masters

Player Abu Dhabi South African Open Dunhill Championship Nedbank Challenge DP World Dubai Turkish Airlines HSBC Champions BMW Masters Handa Perth Hong Kong
Gary Stal
(204.33 pts)
Win
(132)
T5
(70)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T23
(9)
DNP
Branden Grace
(197.17 pts)
T20
(30)
T15
(35)
Win
(88)
DNP T9
(22.5)
T19
(10.33)
DNP T16
(11.33)
DNP DNP
Charl Schwartzel
(186.17 pts)
T9
(45)
2
(100)
T26
(16)
T14
(12)
T47
(1.5)
DNP DNP DNP T15
(11.67)
DNP
Andy Sullivan
(166.5 pts)
T57
(0)
Win
(132)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T21
(14.5)
T4
(26.67)
DNP T67
(0)
DNP DNP
Ross Fisher
(124 pts)
T9
(45)
DNP DNP 2
(33.33)
T42
(4)
T25
(8.33)
DNP T2
(33.33)
DNP DNP
James Morrison
(121.67 pts)
T6
(60)
T15
(35)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T4
(26.67)
T56
(0)
Justin Rose
(114.67 pts)
T12
(38)
DNP DNP DNP T2
(50)
DNP DNP T4
(26.67)
DNP DNP
Thomas Pieters
(110 pts)
T4
(80)
DNP T8
(33.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Tyrrell Hatton
(107.67 pts)
T6
(60)
DNP DNP DNP T6
(30)
T19
(10.33)
DNP T28
(7.33)
DNP DNP
Ernie Els
(104.83 pts)
T12
(38)
T20
(30)
DNP DNP T39
(5.5)
DNP DNP T26
(8)
DNP T5
(23.33)
David Drysdale
(102.33 pts)
T66
(0)
T11
(39)
T6
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T4
(26.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
Alexander Levy
(98 pts)
T20
(30)
DNP DNP T21
(9.67)
T26
(12)
T11
(13)
DNP T2
(33.33)
DNP DNP
Thomas Aiken
(93.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T5
(70)
T16
(22.67)
DNP T36
(7)
T64
(0)
DNP T39
(3.67)
DNP DNP
Marcel Siem
(92.83 pts)
DNP DNP DNP 4
(26.67)
T39
(5.5)
T8
(16.67)
DNP Win
(44)
DNP DNP
Bernd Wiesberger
(89.33 pts)
T6
(60)
DNP DNP DNP T16
(17)
T52
(0)
DNP T13
(12.33)
DNP DNP
Henrik Stenson
(86 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP Win
(66)
3
(30)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Thorbjorn Olesen
(71.33 pts)
T50
(1)
DNP DNP DNP T12
(19)
72
(0)
DNP T28
(7.33)
Win
(44)
DNP
Morten Orum Madsen
(69.67 pts)
T12
(38)
T41
(9)
T16
(22.67)
DNP DNP 73
(0)
DNP T61
(0)
DNP DNP
Raphael Jacquelin
(67.67 pts)
T31
(19)
T13
(37)
DNP DNP DNP T55
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T9
(15)
Andrew Johnston
(65 pts)
T45
(5)
DNP 3
(60)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Scott Hend
(63 pts)
T31
(19)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP Win
(44)
Eddie Pepperell
(57.33 pts)
T26
(24)
DNP DNP DNP T26
(12)
10
(13.33)
DNP T26
(8)
DNP DNP
Byeong-Hun An
(56.67 pts)
T12
(38)
DNP T22
(18.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Oliver Fisher
(54 pts)
T12
(38)
DNP DNP DNP T26
(12)
T60
(0)
DNP T28
(7.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Marcus Fraser
(54 pts)
T31
(19)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T15
(11.67)
T5
(23.33)

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Commercialbank Qatar Masters

Player Abu Dhabi South African Open Dunhill Championship Nedbank Challenge DP World Dubai Turkish Airlines HSBC Champions BMW Masters Handa Perth Hong Kong
Garth Mulroy
(-26.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Richard Finch
(-26.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Peter Lawrie
(-23.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Sam Hutsby
(-20 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Oliver Farr
(-16.67 pts)
T57
(0)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Edouard Espana
(-16.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Gregory Havret
(-13.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Jin Jeong
(-13.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Soren Kjeldsen
(-13 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T48
(0.67)
T41
(3)
Chris Doak
(-13 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP T19
(10.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

My goodness how ugly was the Martin Kaymer’s finish at Abu Dhabi.  Kaymer had the reputation as one of golf’s best front-runners and he proved it last year with his wins at the Players and U.S. Open, both with big leads in the final round.  So when Kaymer stepped on the sixth tee on Sunday with a ten shot lead it was just a matter of getting it to the house.  In a span of eight holes and about 90 minutes Kaymer dropped six shots and with pars on his final five holes it was all over.  Frenchman Gary Stal shot a final round 65, playing the back nine in 3 under to hold on and win by a shot over Rory McIlroy and two over Kaymer.

When he finished he was asked what happened: “A little shocked, surprised,” said Kaymer. “I don’t know how to put it into words.”  It’s very hard to put it into words because this shouldn’t of never happened.  After a bogey at six, he made double bogey on 9 and then a triple=bogey on 13.  On the back nine he did make eight pars, but with a triple on the 13th hole things went down hill.

You have to wonder if this collapse will have any long term problems for Kaymer.  It’s really hard to fight back, just look at Arnold Palmer. Many say he wasn’t the same in his debacle at Olympic Golf Course in the 1966 U.S. Open.  How long will it take to see if any scars are left on this, Kaymer returns next week at Dubai.

Tournament Information:

The second oldest of the three Desert Swing events, the Qatar Masters debuted in 1998 Andrew Coltart became it’s first champion.  Over the years with the growth of appearance money being given the event gained more prestige with marquee winners like Adam Scott, Retief Goosen, Henrik Stenson, Thomas Bjorn and Sergio Garcia.  One oddity of the three Desert Swing eventsit has never been won by an American or even had an American runner-up.  In recent years this event has moved up past Dubai in being able to draw marquee names.

Course Information :

  • Played at the Doha Golf Club
  • Doha, Qatar – Par:  72 / Yardage: 7,400

Doha Golf Club is the only grass course in Qatar.  Millions of gallons of water are needed to keep the fairways and greens alive.  Course was built and opened 1996, Peter Harradine designed it.  He also built the Abu Dhabi Golf Course were last week’s event was held at.  It measures  7,388 yards, has eight artificial lakes weaving their way along most of the holes but coming into play on six hole. With the addition of a punishing rough made up of desert sand, rocks, trees, shrubs and long grass and cleverly bunkered fairways that twist and turn, the utmost accuracy will be of crucial importance.  To complete the transformation from desert to golf course, 1 300 palm trees, 10 000 trees and 5 000 shrubs were planted together with 65 cacti imported from the Arizona desert.

The key to playing the course is to have windless conditions.  If by chance the area is hit by the Shamal winds it makes the course very tough.  Back in 2012 the event was hit by these winds and the tournament had to be reduced.  The good news, the weather forecast is calling for great weather all four days with no rain and minimal winds. In looking again, wind could be a factor on Sunday, again hard to look six days in the future so check on the link when the tournament begins.

The Qatar Masters was first staged in 1998, it will be the second year in a row that the contest has a Wednesday start.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the CommercialBank Qatar Masters:

Key stat for the winner:

Seems that hitting lot’s of greens is very important.  Of the six winners back to 2009 five of the six were in the top-six in that stat

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

  • The Qatar Masters has been known as a tournament that produces low scores as the winner has had an average score of 16 under par.  Again watch the winds, that has a lot to do with the scoring.
  • You can’t call this course a long hitters paradise.  Yes Alvaro Quiros won in 2009 averaging the best of those in the field but since then the winners have been in the middle in hitting it long.
  • Mastering the par 4s is key, four of the last five winners have lower under totals on 4s than on the par 5s.
  • Henrik Stenson had an excellent run in this event between 2005 and 2009, winning it once and finishing runner-up on three occasions. But with the advent of all his problems, personally, financially and with his game his next four visits to Qatar only produced on top-twenty finish.  So which direction will the winner of the 2013 Race to Dubai go?  He did miss the cut last week in Abu Dhabi so we will see if things get better this week.

Who to watch for at the Commercialbank Qatar Masters

Best Bets:

Sergio Garcia

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
Win T2 T5 T9 T24 T7 T7 T19

Over the years has proven to be the best in this event. In the last four times he has played at Qatar, has four top-tens and played the 12 rounds in 46 under par.

Charl Schwartzel

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T14 T21 3 T24 T16 T18 CUT

Returns after a four year absence, he is playing great with T9th in Abu Dhabi and 2nd in South Africa.

George Coetzee

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T5 T2 T35

Good track record at Qatar with aT-5th last year and runner-up in 2013.

Best of the rest:

Justin Rose

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T16 CUT

Seem to get better each round last week, was T16th at Qatar in 2013.

Branden Grace

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T13 T6 T47

Plays his best early in the season,at Qatar he was T6th last year.

Henrik Stenson

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T28 T16 CUT CUT T64 T2 2 T7 Win 2 CUT T30

Missed cut last week but he has seen some good times on this course.

Ernie Els

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T37 73 T31 3 T13 Win

Past champion his game has improved in his last two starts.

Solid contenders

Mikko Ilonen

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
2 T9 T35 T49 T37 CUT CUT CUT CUT

No reason for him not improving upon his runner-up finish last week.

Thorbjonrn Olessen

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Looking to improve on his T3rd finish from last year.

Thongchai Jaidee

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T33 T9 T20 T19 T32 CUT T25 T9 T24 T39 T12

This is a guy that can suprise you when you least expect it.

Rafael Cabrera-Bello

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T3 T22 T35 T3 CUT

Has two third place finished in last four years.

Long shots that could come through:

Andy Sullivan

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
CUT T9

Coming off his win from two weeks ago.

Peter Uihlein

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T16 CUT

Still looking for his game, was T16th here last year.

James Morrison

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T63 CUT CUT

Has played great last two weeks.

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