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BlogArnold Palmer Preview and Picks

Arnold Palmer Invitational

March 19 – 22, 2015

Bay Hill Club

Orlando, Fla.

Par: 72 / Yardage:

Purse: $6.2

with $1,116,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Matt Every

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 25 of the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with fiour players from the top-ten: #1 Rory McIlroy, #3 Henrik Stenson, #4 Adam Scott and #5 Jason Day. The other top 50 players are #11 Rickie Fowler, #16 Hideki Matsuyama, #17 Billy Horschel, #18 Brooks Koepka, #20 J.B. Holmes, #22 Graeme McDowell, #24 Chris Kirk, #25 Kevin Na, #27 Zach Johnson, #31 Hunter Mahan, #32 Ian Poulter, #35 Brandt Snedeker, #36 Keegan Bradley, #38 Louis Oosthuizen, #40 Bernd Wiesberger, #42 Branden Grace, #43 Webb Simpson, #44 Shane Lowry, #45 Danny Willett, #46 Paul Casey and #49 Gary Woodland.

Last year 21 top-50 players were in the field.

Bubba Watson was forced to withdrew late Wednesday afternoon due to the death of a childhood friend.

The field includes 12 of the top 25 on the FedEx point standings for 2015.  Those players are #5 Robert Streb, #8 Sang-Moon Bae, #9 Jason Day, #10 Brandt Snedeker, #12 Brooks Koepka, #13 Hideki Matsuyama, #15 J.B. Holmes, #16 Ben Martin, #18 Shawn Stefani, #19 Daniel Berger, #20 Harris English and #25 Russell Knox.

The field includes 14 players in the top 25 on this year’s PGA Tour money list.  Those players are #7 Jason Day, #8 Brandt Snedeker, #9 Sang-Moon Bae, #10 Robert Streb, #11 J.B. Holmes, #12 Hideki Matsuyama, #13 Brooks Koepka, #16 Ben Martin, #19 Daniel Berger, #20 Padraig Harrington, #20 Harris English, #22 Shawn Stefani, #23 Russell Knox and #25 Paul Casey.

The field includes 8 past champions: Matt Every (2014), Martin Laird (2011), Ernie Els (2010 & 1998), Vijay Singh (2007), Rod Pampling (2006), Chad Campbell (2004), Tim Herron (1999) and Robert Gamez (1990).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the Arnold Palmer Invitational field is our performance chart listed by average finish.  Another way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the Arnold Palmer Invitational in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in North America, Vovada.  They give winning odds plus top-five and first round leader odds.

**NOTE**

We have made a lot of changes in Golfstats and one of the biggest is that every on-going event gets updated every hour.  It’s not real time scoring, but after each day you will see our database change.  This will help look at things like good scores in a row and how each player does after every round.

Another change is our new feature, “Who will win on Sunday”.  Just like our previews, this will not only preview the final round but also look at players who shoud win.  All of these will enhance GOLFstats and encourage you to check our stuff over the weekend and during play.

Another thing to look for is 24/7 Golf which is now in the Apple App Store.  This is a new app that you can get with your Iphone so that you can take a lot of GOLFstats with you when your away from your computer.  Try it out, you will love it.

So join us a couple of hours after play on Saturday night or Sunday morning for our “Who will win on Sunday” feature in which you can see who shall win during the final nine.

 

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Arnold Palmer Invitational

Player Valspar Tshwane Open WGC Cadillac Puerto Rico Africa Open Honda Classic Joburg Open Northern Trust Indian Open AT&T Pebble True Thailand Farmers Phoenix Open
J.B. Holmes
(262 pts)
DNP DNP 2
(150)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T22
(18.67)
DNP T10
(26.67)
DNP T2
(66.67)
T66
(0)
Henrik Stenson
(200 pts)
4
(80)
DNP T4
(120)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Bubba Watson
(192.33 pts)
DNP DNP 3
(135)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T14
(24)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T2
(33.33)
Brandt Snedeker
(171.5 pts)
T53
(0)
DNP T17
(49.5)
DNP DNP DNP DNP 74
(0)
DNP Win
(88)
DNP T19
(20.67)
T10
(13.33)
Jason Day
(169.83 pts)
DNP DNP T31
(28.5)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T4
(53.33)
DNP Win
(88)
DNP
Paul Casey
(168 pts)
DNP DNP T38
(18)
DNP DNP T3
(90)
DNP T2
(66.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
Daniel Berger
(147.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP 2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP T10
(26.67)
DNP T24
(17.33)
T10
(13.33)
Sean O’Hair
(139 pts)
T2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T25
(25)
DNP DNP DNP T29
(14)
DNP T69
(0)
DNP
Ian Poulter
(131.5 pts)
T24
(26)
DNP T49
(1.5)
DNP DNP T3
(90)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T19
(20.67)
DNP
Hideki Matsuyama
(120.5 pts)
DNP DNP T23
(40.5)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T4
(53.33)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
T2
(33.33)
Harris English
(113.33 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T30
(13.33)
DNP DNP DNP T2
(66.67)
T40
(3.33)
Sam Saunders
(112.67 pts)
T24
(26)
DNP DNP T2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
Russell Knox
(112 pts)
T33
(17)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T3
(90)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
T15
(11.67)
Adam Scott
(110 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T4
(120)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Kevin Na
(108.83 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP T9
(67.5)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T61
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T26
(8)
Shane Lowry
(105.5 pts)
DNP DNP T17
(49.5)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T21
(19.33)
DNP T7
(36.67)
DNP
Padraig Harrington
(105.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP Win
(132)
DNP T56
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
Brooks Koepka
(99.5 pts)
DNP DNP T17
(49.5)
DNP DNP T51
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T41
(6)
Win
(44)
Charles Howell III
(92.67 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T44
(6)
DNP T61
(0)
DNP DNP DNP T5
(46.67)
T71
(0)
Daniel Summerhays
(86.33 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T17
(33)
DNP T30
(13.33)
DNP T45
(3.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Louis Oosthuizen
(80 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP 6
(90)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Keegan Bradley
(78.33 pts)
DNP DNP T38
(18)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T4
(53.33)
DNP DNP DNP T41
(6)
T17
(11)
Martin Laird
(77 pts)
T33
(17)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T7
(36.67)
T5
(23.33)
Webb Simpson
(75.83 pts)
DNP DNP T7
(82.5)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Brendan Steele
(74.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T11
(39)
DNP T14
(24)
DNP DNP DNP T45
(3.33)
T26
(8)

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Arnold Palmer Invitational

Player Valspar Tshwane Open WGC Cadillac Puerto Rico Africa Open Honda Classic Joburg Open Northern Trust Indian Open AT&T Pebble True Thailand Farmers Phoenix Open
Erik Compton
(-36.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
Ernie Els
(-33.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP
Trevor Immelman
(-33.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
Steven Bowditch
(-26.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Hudson Swafford
(-22.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T34
(10.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
Ben Crane
(-20 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T68
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
Richard Sterne
(-19.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T46
(4)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
Ben Curtis
(-16.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP
Davis Love III
(-13.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T65
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
Matt Every
(-12.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T63
(0)
DNP T49
(0.67)
DNP DNP DNP T69
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

Hard to believe that there are 18 events in the books already in this 2015 season.  Can’t complain over the winners, we have seen some vets like Bubba Watson, Ryan Moore, Jimmy Walker, Bill Haas, Brandt Snedeker, Padraig Harrington and Dustin Johnson win.  On the other side, lots of talented young players like Sang Moon Bae, Patrick Reed, Brooks Koepka, Jason Day, James Hahan and now Jordan Spieth.  His victory at Valspar was pretty exciting and already we can possibly see players like Spieth and Reed go mano-a-mano.  Not many know it but this was the second time Reed and Spieth have faced off in overtime, in 2013 Reed beat Spieth in a playoff at the Wyndham Championship.  This list of champions for this year is pretty good and is created some buzz.  Of course we all miss the old Tiger Woods in his heyday and hope he will return, just like in basketball with Michael Jordan there is nobody that can replace them.

Talking about Tiger 

A lot of debate on if Woods is going to make it to the Masters.  His manager says he is working very hard on his game, he is also been following his girlfriend Lindsey Vonn around in spots that they don’t play golf this time of year.  So it’s anyones guess on Tiger’s timetable.  Ego wise you know he wants to play at the Masters, but I have to think that if his game isn’t back to normal he won’t play.  Not being privy to Tiger’s practice routine I have to think that his game can’t be perfect in three weeks and we won’t see him again until the Players.  Tiger has fooled us before so if he does play at Augusta, that wouldn’t surprise me either.  One thing that all of us don’t want to see is his game in the shape it was in at Phoenix and San Diego.  If that happens at Augusta it will be a long time before we see Tiger on a course again.

Things you need to know about the Arnold Palmer Invitational

According to the PGA Tour, this will be the 50th Arnold Palmer Invitational, which got its start in 1966 as the Florida Citrus Open.  But if you look around there is no big splash, you can’t find anywhere in any of the material that the tournament puts out anything raving about it’s 50th anniversary.

There is a good reason for that.

If you ask Arnold Palmer, he will tell you that this is the 37th Bay Hill Invitational.  The actual event did start in 1966 as the Florida Citrus Open and it was barely surviving when Arnold Palmer and his associates took over in 1978.  They gave new life into the event by moving it to Bay Hill in 1979 and talking the elite of the PGA Tour to include Bay Hill onto their schedules.  In the 36 years since it changed to the Bay Hill Club, the tournament has elevated to a level that it’s considered one of the premier stops on tour, as voted by the players.

Course information:

Bay Hill Club & Lodge

  • Orlando, Fl.
  • 7,419 yards     Par 36-36–72
  • Course has a 73.9 rating and slope rating of 136 fron the championship tees. The course is part of a resort and is open to those that stay at the course and it’s members.
  • The average green size at Bay Hill is 6,500 square feet, which is a little over the average on the PGA Tour.  The course has 103 bunkers and water comes into play on nine of the 18 holes.
  • Last year Bay Hill was the 16th hardest course on the PGA Tour playing to a 72.473 average, which is close to a half a shot over par.
  • In 2013 the Bay Hill was the 12th hardest course on the PGA Tour playing to a 72.928 average playing .928 stroke over par.
  • The course was originally designed and built by Dick Wilson and Joe Lee in 1960.
  • It’s funny how Arnold Palmer got associated with it. In the early 1960s when Bay Hill was first opened, Palmer and Jack Nicklaus played an exhibition tournament at the course and the King was so attracted to Bay Hill that he got together a group of investors and leased the club with an option to buy it.  In January of 1976, the group bought the course and ever since Palmer spends most of the winter in a condo behind the course.  Palmer loves to tinker with the course. Since Palmer left the Champions tour and had more time on his hands around 2000, he has spent a lot of time making changes, probably the biggest coming in 2007 when he took the par 5, 4th and 16th holes and convert them into par 4s, thus reducing the par of the course to 70.  That didn’t last long a Palmer changed his mind again in 2010 and went back to a par 72.
  • Until about two years ago Palmer would always tinker with something on the course, making small changes here and there, but there hasn’t been any changes in three years now.  Despite Palmer not tinkering with the course anymore there is always one thing that is consisted each year and that is the rough which is very high and helps bring scores up each year.  One thing that we can see a bit of a trend on, scores have been high with the winners the last three years being at 13 under par.  So maybe the fact that Palmer and the tournament aren’t making changes means that scoring could be going down.  Oh there have been some subtle changes to the course this year.  All of the bunkers have been upgraded with new G-Angle sand and they have been on an aggressive tree cutting program, taking out limbs that had grown into the line of play.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the Arnold Palmer Invitational:

Key stat for the winner:

It’s said that ball-striking is becoming a dinosaur on the PGA Tour, but that isn’t the case at Bay Hill in which hitting lots of greens is important. Between 1997 and 2008 there wasn’t a winner that didn’t finish in the top-20 of greens hit for the week.  In 2009 Tiger Woods changed that when he finished T50th, but since then four of the last five winners were in the top-20.

Here is a look at the winners of the Arnold Palmer Invitational that finished in the top-five in greens hit:

Year – Winner                  Greens hit – ranked    Rank of field comparing             # of those in top-ten finished 

                                                                             to other courses that year                   in top-ten in Greens hit

2014 – Matt Every                 52 of 72 – T7th                             23rd                                                    4

2013 – Tiger Woods             46 of 72 – T34th                           16th                                                     3

2012 – Tiger Woods               57 of 72 – 1st                              20th                                                     4

2011 – Martin Laird              49 of 72 – T20th                           15th                                                      3

2010 – Ernie Els                    50 of 72 – T9th                             9th                                                       5

2009 – Tiger Woods             39 of 72 – T50th                            1st                                                        4

2008 – Tiger Woods             50 of 72 – T14th                            17th                                                      6

2007 – Vijay Singh                52 of 72 – 2nd                              10th                                                       6

other top winners in the top-five

2005 – Kenny Perry              57 of 72 – 1st                               18th                                                       6

2003 – Tiger Woods              56 of 72 – 1st                              12th                                                        5

2001 – Tiger Woods              51 of 72 – T5th                             9th                                                         5

1997 – Phil Mickelson           61 of 72 – 1st                              28th                                                        5

 

Another key stat:

  • Now it’s easy to point out how the winners have been in greens hit but what has the trend been for everyone in the field?  The trend is that more folks are hitting more greens.  In 2009 Bay Hill had the hardest greens to hit.  In a way wind helped, the weekend saw high winds with gust up to 30 mph, but only 55.02 of the greens were hit that year.  The next year it jumped to 61.25% and was ranked 9th and the number has stayed about the same with it’s ranking going up, in 2011 it ranked 15th on the PGA Tour.  In 2012 it climbed to 20th and then 16th in 2013.  Last year it ranked 23rd and more players hit more greens with the average going up again to 64.00%.

The one key stat that shows what it takes to win:

  • “Proximity to hole” is a stat that measures how close to the hole you hit it from the fairway.  The last five years Bay Hill has ranked in the top-ten on the PGA Tour.  Since this is a shot-link stat that isn’t measured in the majors, you only find this in non-major courses.  The better the ranking means that it’s harder to get the ball close to the hole.  Last year players from the fairway got the ball to 37 feet, 8 inches of the hole, ranking 8th.  The year before it ranked 3rd as players averaged 38’8″.  So this means that getting the ball close is hard at Bay Hill.
  • Making Bay Hill even tougher is when players hit drives in the rough.  In looking at the stat “Rough Proximity”, over the last five years it ranked 3rd last year, 1st in 2013, 6th in 2012, 3rd in 2011 and 2nd in 2010.  So what does this mean?  That the rough is really hard to deal with and that there is a penalty for hitting drives into the rough because it’s hard to get your ball close to the hole.  So in looking for a player that does well at Bay Hill you want to find one that not only hits lot’s of greens and close to the hole, but also players that can handle rough by getting the ball closer to the holes than others.  So here are the results of two key stats from 2015, first “Proximity to Hole” and then ‘Rough Proximity”

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

  • Only three weeks before the Masters, for many this is there last go before the Masters.  Right now the Masters field is just about set, for those not in the field they will have to either win at Bay Hill, Valero and Houston.  The other way is to be in the top-50 of the world rankings after the Valero Texas Open.  For six players it’s going to be a wild scramble to make sure they are in the top-50 so that they get one of the last Masters invites.  Here are those on the bubble, #46 – Paul Casey, 51 – Marc Warren, 52 – Harris English, 53 – Alexander Levy, 58 – Andy Sullivan, 62 – Tommy Fleetwood, 63 – Graham Delaet, #64 – Francesco Molinari and #65 – Marcel Siem. Casey, Levy, English, Delaet and Molinari are playing this week.
  • Kenny Perry had a perfect combination of being ranked fourth in both driving distance and accuracy in 2005.  Look for accuracy to once again prevail and look for another player like Perry that combines straight driving with a bit of length.  So how do we determine a player like this?  Look at the total driving stat which combines but distance rank and accuracy rank to help determine your winner.
  • Unimportant stat: In eight of the last 15 years Tiger Woods has been the winner. So what does that mean?  In many tournaments, experience seems to be important, but not at Bay Hill.   Since 1979, 12 of the winners either became first-time winners or had only won once before, just like Matt Every winning for the first time at Bay Hill in 2014, Martin Laird in 2011, Rod Pampling in 2006 and Chad Campbell in 2004.  But on the other side of the coin, the tournament has had some great players winning like Vijay Singh, Ernie Els, Phil Mickelson, Ben Crenshaw, Fred Couples, Tom Kite, Paul Azinger, Payne Stewart, Fuzzy Zoeller and  Tiger Woods.
  • In the past, players that drove it long never seemed to win, but that trend has changed.  Just look at the last 14 winners: Phil Mickelson in ’97, Ernie Els in ’98, Tim Herron in ’99 and Tiger in 2000, 2001, 2002, 2003, 2008, 2009, 2012 & 2013. Chad Campbell in 2004, Vijay Singh in 2007 and Ernie again in 2010. They all can hit the ball a long way.
  • Birdies and patience are important at Bay Hill. On most courses the norm is making lots of birdies to keep pace, but at Bay Hill pars are just as important.
  • One thing for certain is that the odds are quite good that the winner will be from either Florida and the Orlando area.  Of the 120 in the field this week, 31 live in Florida with 14 having ties in the Orlando area.
  • Weather has been pretty good the last couple of days in Florida and looking at the long range forecast it shows that things will be great on Friday and Saturday, but rain on Thursday and really heavy rain on Sunday.  But the good news for the players, not much wind.
  • So it will be a perfect week for scoring, but with the rough being high, rains may make the rough impossible.  Accuracy could be important this week.

Who to watch for at the Arnold Palmer Invitational

Best Bets:

Bubba Watson – Withdrew due to death of a close friend

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
    WD WD T14 T4 T24 CUT CUT T8 CUT T34

You just have to go with him just because he hasn’t finished outside the top-25 in his last ten worldwide starts and in his 2015 starts beginning at the Hyundai has finished 10th, T2nd, T14th and 3rd at the Cadillac. If that isn’t enough for you just remember that in 2015 he was 5th in rough proximity, showing he is good when in the rough.

Henrik Stenson

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T5 T8 T15 T47 T52 T22

Top-tens in three of his last four Florida starts including a T5th last year at Bay Hill. Has knocked on the door of winning, just has to have someone open that door for him.

Keegan Bradley

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
2 T3 CUT

Very impressive in last two Bay Hill starts, the 3rd and then 2nd could go to a Win this week. Year hasn’t been very impressive other than his T4th at Northern Trust last month.

Best of the rest:

Brooks Koepka

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T26

Has calmed a bit since his Phoenix win, but this guy is perfect for Bay Hill. One stat that jumps out you is finishing 2nd in rough proximity in 2014, he also is a cool customer that can do the deed this week.

Jason Day

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T45 T25 WD CUT

Can’t forget about this kid, his game cooled down a bit at Doral but look for it to heat up again.

Adam Scott

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
3 CUT CUT T30 T3 T25

The third time is always the charm, has played indifferently in his first two starts. But comes to a course he has come close to winning on twice, last year and in 2004.

Kevin Na

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T14 T4 T30 T2 T11 CUT CUT

Watch him this week, he has been knocking on the door the last couple of weeks and he has played well in three of his last four Bay Hill starts.

J.B. Holmes

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T10 T29 T47 T21 T40 T59 T77 T48

Last time we saw him he came close at Doral. Played well last year at Bay Hill so you never know.

Solid contenders

Rory McIlroy

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

His game has lots of peaks and valleys, of late has been in one of those valleys we just have to ask ourselves if he is going to climb a peak this week? Hasn’t played here, look for a top-ten but that’s about it.

Ian Poulter

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T20 T21 3 T12 CUT T48 CUT CUT CUT

Has played good here in past, have to think his game is in a right spot after what he did at Honda.

Vijay Singh

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T20 T57 T24 CUT T59 T3 Win 7 T2 T31 T20

Another one of those coming back, he has played well in the last month and I wouldn’t be surprise to see him in the winners circle again on the PGA Tour.

Harris English

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T14 T57 CUT

Fighting hard to make it into the top-50 and play in the Masters, think he will have a great week.

Long shots that could come through:

Sam Saunders

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T43 CUT T30 T50 CUT

Has played a lot of rounds at Bay Hill, wouldn’t it be great to see him in the running at Gramps tournament?

Sean O’Hair

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T10 T40 T29 CUT T21 2 T3 T14 WD

Came close to winning last week, he could do one better this week.

Daniel Summerhays

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
CUT T33 CUT

Has played well of late.

Comments

  1. Thank you for the excellent analysis, Sal.

  2. James Gittleman says:

    Per usual, great work! But why no mention of Matsuyama?

  3. I just don’t think he’s ready to win yet. I am a big fan of his and think he will win a lot, just not right now.

  4. Great stuff Sal. Good luck this week.

  5. James Gittleman says:

    Sal,……I respect your reasoning, so thanks!

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