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BlogColonial Preview and Picks

Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial

May 21st – 24th, 2015

Colonial C.C.

Fort Worth, Texas

Par: 70 / Yardage: 7,204

Purse: $6.5 million

with $1,170,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Adam Scott

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 16 of the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with just one player from the top-ten #2 Jordan Spieth. The other top 50 players are #11 Adam Scott, #12 Jimmy Walker, #15 Patrick Reed, #21 Kevin Na,  #23 Chris Kirk, #23 Zach Johnson, #26 Louis Oosthuizen, #28 Ryan Palmer,  #31 Ian Poulter, #31 Hunter Mahan, #34 Paul Casey, #42 Brandt Snedeker, #46 Brendon Todd,  #49 John Senden and #50 Ben Martin.

Last year there was 20 top-50 players in the field

The field includes 11 of the top 25 on the FedEx point standings for 2015.  Those players are #1 Jordan Spieth, #2 Jimmy Walker, #5 Patrick Reed, #8 Charley Hoffman,  #10 Robert Streb, #12 Ben Martin, #16 Sangmoon Bae, #18 Brandt Snedeker, #19 Kevin Kisner, #23 Daniel Berger, and #25 Kevin Na.

The field includes 14 players in the top 25 on this year’s PGA Tour money list. Those players are #1 Jordan Spieth, #3 Jimmy Walker, #8 Patrick Reed, #11 Charley Hoffman,  #14 Ben Martin, #17 Robert Streb, #20 Brandt Snedeker, #21 Sangmoon Bae, #22 Kevin Kisner, #23 Kevin Na and #24 Paul Casey.

The field includes 10 players that have won 12 events on the PGA Tour this year: Sangmoon Bae (Frys.com), Ben Martin (Shriners Hospitals), Robert Streb (McGladrey Classic), Nick Taylor (Sanderson Farms), Charley Hoffman (Mayakoba), Patrick Reed (Hyundai T of C), Jimmy Walker (Sony Open & Valero Texas), Brandt Snedeker (AT&T Pebble), James Hahn (Northern Trust) and Jordan Spieth (Valspar & Masters)

The field includes 11 past champions: Adam Scott (2014), Boo Weekley (2013), Zach Johnson (2012 & ’10), David Toms (2011), Steve Stricker (2009), Rory Sabbatini (2007), Tim Herron (2006), Kenny Perry (2003 & ’05), Steve Flesch (2004), Corey Pavin (1996 & ’85) and Keith Clearwater (1987).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the Crowne Plaza Colonial field is our performance chart listed by average finish.  Another way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the Crowne Plaza Colonial in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the Crowne Plaza Colonial.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker North America, Bovada.  They give winning odds plus top-five and first round leader odds.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

**NOTE**

One thing to look for is our new GOLFstats IQ.  For those that play in fantasy golf it’s a perfect way to help you pick those players in Draft Kings and Victiv games.  You can customize the list of those in the tournaments, to look back a couple or many years of tournament stats and you can go back a couple or ten weeks prior to the tournament.  On top of that, all the stats are fully sortable to help you pick your six players, we even give you their value for the week to help you chose.

That’s GOLFstats IQ, give it a try and tell us what you think of it

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Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial

Player Wells Fargo Open de Espana The Players Mauritius Open WGC-Cadillac Match Play Zurich Classic Shenzhen Intern. RBC Heritage Volvo China Masters Shell Houston Valero Texas Arnold Palmer
Jordan Spieth
(303.17 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP T17
(49.5)
DNP DNP T11
(26)
DNP Win
(176)
T2
(33.33)
2
(33.33)
DNP
Kevin Kisner
(248.33 pts)
T38
(12)
DNP T2
(150)
DNP DNP T28
(14.67)
DNP 2
(66.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T26
(8)
T49
(0.33)
Ben Martin
(200.17 pts)
T38
(12)
DNP T4
(120)
DNP T17
(49.5)
DNP DNP T37
(8.67)
DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP DNP 5
(23.33)
Kevin Na
(194.67 pts)
DNP DNP T6
(90)
DNP T34
(24)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T12
(50.67)
DNP T20
(10)
T6
(20)
Paul Casey
(189.17 pts)
DNP DNP WD
(-7.5)
DNP T5
(105)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T6
(80)
9
(15)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Louis Oosthuizen
(184.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T69
(0)
DNP T5
(105)
DNP DNP T7
(36.67)
DNP T19
(41.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T9
(15)
Zach Johnson
(183.33 pts)
DNP DNP T13
(55.5)
DNP T17
(49.5)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T9
(60)
DNP T20
(10)
T9
(15)
John Senden
(182.67 pts)
DNP DNP T8
(75)
DNP T5
(105)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP T38
(16)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Charley Hoffman
(165.5 pts)
DNP DNP T30
(30)
DNP T17
(49.5)
DNP DNP T64
(0)
DNP T9
(60)
T11
(13)
T11
(13)
DNP
Ian Poulter
(165 pts)
DNP DNP T30
(30)
DNP T34
(24)
DNP DNP T18
(21.33)
DNP T6
(80)
DNP DNP T21
(9.67)
Chris Kirk
(141 pts)
DNP DNP T13
(55.5)
DNP T17
(49.5)
DNP DNP T69
(0)
DNP T33
(22.67)
DNP T8
(16.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
Patrick Reed
(130.17 pts)
T58
(0)
DNP T24
(39)
DNP T17
(49.5)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T22
(37.33)
T17
(11)
DNP DNP
Hunter Mahan
(123.83 pts)
T47
(3)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP T9
(67.5)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T9
(60)
T25
(8.33)
DNP T57
(0)
Chesson Hadley
(122.67 pts)
T20
(30)
DNP T24
(39)
DNP DNP T8
(33.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T50
(0.33)
T4
(26.67)
T67
(0)
Marc Leishman
(117.83 pts)
DNP DNP T24
(39)
DNP T9
(67.5)
T28
(14.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
George McNeill
(115.83 pts)
T28
(22)
DNP T17
(49.5)
DNP DNP T12
(25.33)
DNP T44
(4)
DNP DNP DNP T20
(10)
T35
(5)
Pat Perez
(115.17 pts)
T20
(30)
DNP T17
(49.5)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T26
(16)
DNP DNP T11
(13)
T20
(10)
CUT
(-3.33)
Cameron Tringale
(102.67 pts)
DNP DNP T56
(0)
DNP DNP 2
(66.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T38
(16)
T5
(23.33)
T40
(3.33)
DNP
Patrick Rodgers
(100 pts)
T2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Geoff Ogilvy
(93.33 pts)
T7
(55)
DNP T24
(39)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP 48
(2.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Scott Brown
(89.33 pts)
T13
(37)
DNP T30
(30)
DNP DNP T36
(9.33)
DNP T37
(8.67)
DNP DNP T37
(4.33)
T56
(0)
DNP
Robert Streb
(87.33 pts)
T4
(80)
DNP T30
(30)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T44
(4)
DNP CUT
(-13.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Sean O’Hair
(84 pts)
T20
(30)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP DNP T12
(25.33)
DNP 6
(40)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T29
(7)
Jim Herman
(83.67 pts)
T13
(37)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T4
(53.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T57
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Kevin Streelman
(83.33 pts)
T9
(45)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T55
(0)
DNP T12
(50.67)
T42
(2.67)
DNP T67
(0)

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial

Player Wells Fargo Open de Espana The Players Mauritius Open WGC-Cadillac Match Play Zurich Classic Shenzhen Intern. RBC Heritage Volvo China Masters Shell Houston Valero Texas Arnold Palmer
Andrew Svoboda
(-48.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Jeff Overton
(-41.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T50
(0.33)
DNP
Mike Weir
(-36.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP DNP DNP
Justin Leonard
(-35 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Adam Hadwin
(-33.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T25
(8.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Brian Davis
(-28.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP DNP T36
(9.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T50
(0.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Nicholas Thompson
(-25 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T35
(5)
Ken Duke
(-25 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T35
(5)
Jarrod Lyle
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Gunn Yang
(-23.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

It’s back to Texas and the Crowne Plaza.  A bit of a change, this year it comes the week before the Byron Nelson, in a way the date hurts the event because we just came off a three week stretch of marquee events.  Still the field wasn’t hurt that much, only 16 top-50 players compared to last year with 20.  Still the golfing world is very crowded this week as the BMW PGA Championship and the PGA Seniors is also happening, so a lot of choices for folks.

As we have said before Colonial is one of golf’s treasured layouts that just can’t keep up with technology.  The course sits next to the Trinty River on the north and houses on the East, South and West of it so there is no way to add any yardage.  So the course is at the mercy of mother nature, if it gets windy the course will play tough, but if not it’s easy.  We go more into detail on this later.

The big marquee name playing is Jordan Spieth, who has captured the golfing world  He has played a lot of golf of late, I know he is only 21 but still everyone including Tiger and Rory need some time to rejuvenate the batteries and I just don’t think one week off was enough.

 

Hard to believe:

In just 30 days will be the start of the U.S. Open at Chambers Bay.  In just 60 days will be the British open and gosh just 85 days from now we will know who won the last major of the year.  Time really flies by fast doesn’t it?

 

Things you need to know about the The Crowne Plaza Invitational and Colonial:

 

The 67th year of The Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial. Commonly referred to as the Colonial National, it’s not the oldest event on the PGA Tour in longevity records as Augusta National and the Masters can claim to have been played on the same course longer on the PGA Tour.  The club does have one distinction it’s the only one in America that has hosted the U.S. Open (1941), the Players Championship (1975) and the U.S. Women’s Open (1991).

The tournament got started in 1946 when it was obvious that the USGA wasn’t going to make Colonial an annual stop.  The event was the inspiration of John Marvin Leonard, who operated a store in downtown Fort Worth and wanted to see the best golfers in the world play on his course.  Having Ben Hogan win its first two events gave the event and the course the recognition that it needed.

Hogan went on to win five times at Colonial and the course got the name “Hogan’s Alley”.  At one time, Hogan practically held every record of the tournament.  In the 21 times Hogan played at Colonial, his highest finish was a T-56th in his last appearance in 1970 at the age of 58.  Over Hogan’s career, he won 54 tournaments, with the last victory coming in the 1959 Colonial.  One of Hogan’s most enduring records at Colonial was the 65 he shot in the 3rd round in 1948.  It took seven years for someone to tie the record when Chandler Harper did it in 1955, and it took 22 years for someone to beat the record when Dale Douglass did it with his 63 in 1970.  Hogan loved Colonial and became a dues paying member of the club.  It was only fitting that the greatest of Ben Hogan’s life and golf career is celebrated in the Hogan Room with an audio-visual presentation of his career and some memorable of his career including clubs and replicas of all the trophies and medals.

Now the history of Ben Hogan and Colonial didn’t start with his win in 1946.  It was started in the early 1930s when a young Ben Hogan decided to play on the PGA Tour,  he received financial backing from Marvin Leonard, the man who built Colonial.  Hogan wasn’t a big success, many times were forced to drop off tour and take a job just to earn enough money to rejoin the tour.  But as soon as Hogan began making money on the tour he offered to settle his account with Leonard, who told him to forget about the money.  But in the 1950s Hogan was able to pay back Leonard in an even bigger way.  After Hogan launched the Ben Hogan golf equipment company he offered Leonard the opportunity to purchase 50 percent of the company.  Leonard seized the opportunity and along with Hogan made a handsome profit when the company was sold to AMF in 1960.

The Colonial Country Club was the vision of Leonard, a native of Fort Worth.  He was considered a “workaholic” in the 1920s when his doctor told him he needed to slow down his pace.  Leonard turned to golf and joined Glen Garden Golf Club and Rivercrest Country Club, the best courses of the time in Fort Worth. As Leonards interest in golf grew he became more interested in all aspects of the course, including the types of grass.  In the south, Bent grass was thought to be impossible to grow so all of the courses in Texas were bermuda, which tended to be bumpy.  Leonard thought it would be a good idea to have bent grass and in trying to get Rivercrest to change the club president got tired of the requests and told him, Marvin if you’re so sold on bent grass, why don’t you go build your own golf course and put it in that course?”  So in 1934 Leonard did just that.

He acquired 157 acres in Southwest Fort Worth and hired golf architect John Bredemus to build him a championship course.  On January 29, 1936 the course was opened, and many thought it could be one of the greatest courses in the world. In the late 30s, Leonard also felt that Colonial was the best and lobbied the USGA to hold the Open at Colonial.  Even though the U.S. Open was never played in the South, when Leonard offered $25,000 to hold the event at Colonial it was given the 1941 Open.  Just to make sure that the course withstood the challenge of the best players in the world in 1940 he called in Perry Maxwell to redo holes 3, 4 & 5.

Even with the rain that hampered the Open it was a big success and plans to start a yearly tournament at Colonial were talked about but plans were put on hold because of World War II.  When the war ended, the club decided to hold the Colonial National Invitational and to add some prestige offered a purse of $15,000, the third largest sum on the PGA Tour.  With a first place check of $3,000 awaiting the winner, a field of 32 players teed off with Ben Hogan winning.  Since then 67 Colonial’s have been held with the course pretty much the same as it was in 1941, with some minor revisions that were implemented in 1969 when several holes along the Trinity river were damaged by flooding.

 

Course information:

Colonial Country Club

  • Fort Worth, Texas
  • 7,204 yards     Par 35-35–70
  • The Colonial has a 75.1 rating and slope rating of 138 from the championship tees. The course is very private. The tees, Fairways and rough are BermudaGrass while the greens are Bent.  In 2014 Colonial was the 19th hardest course on the PGA Tour playing to a 70.273 average which is a quarter stroke over par.  In 2013, Colonial was the 24th hardest course playing to a 69.895 average which is just a little bit under par.
  • It was designed and built by John Bredemus, with Perry Maxwell doing some touch-up work and opened in 1936.  There were some minor revisions in 1969 to some of the holes to prevent flooding from the nearby Trinity river.
  • In 2000, the club completed a two year course renovation, which started in November of 1998 when they installed a new irrigation system.  The major work was done in rebuilding all 18 greens with new A-4 bentgrass.  They also redesigned and rebuilt all the 84 bunkers, giving them a new definition so that they will be seen from tees and fairways.
  • All of the green and bunker work were done three weeks after the 1999 tournament ended with the membership not having the full course reopen until April 1st of 2000. Club has also planted close to hundred trees that won’t be in play but in years to come will help define the holes.
  • Normally we don’t talk about technology in golf but when we talk about Colonial one of the reasons for it losing its fear factor is technology.  This course for years was feared my all the touring pros, if you look at the winning score pre-1996 you saw years in which the winner was 7, 8, 9 and 10 under.  But starting in 1997 every year but one (8 under in 1999) saw scores in the double digits for the winners showing how easy the course got.
  • Couple of reasons, first the course has no room to add yardage like other classic courses have done.  Now most of the holes at Colonial are doglegs so the driver is taken out of the hands of players which means most of the holes you have to lay up meaning more players hit more fairways.  Also a lot of players are starting to balk about playing Colonial, two past champions Steve Stricker and Phil Mickelson have not played in past years because they don’t like the driver taken out of their hands. We have seen bits and pieces of the proud history of this event crumbling,  I expect that Colonial will again get torn to pieces by players, unless wind pops up.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the Colonial:

Key stat for the winner:

Experience at Colonial seems to be an important part to winning.  Since 1996, all the champions had won a total of 189 victories so that means an average of 10.5 wins for each of the champions.  Last year’s winner Adam Scott won for the 11th time.  In 2012 Zach Johnson won for the eighth time in his career as winners range from Tom Watson with 34 wins and Nick Price with 18 to Sergio Garcia who made Colonial his first PGA Tour win in 2001.  The fact is rookies don’t win at Colonial.  Yes, Sergio Garcia got his first PGA Tour win at Colonial but he had won in Europe.  The same with the next first time winner Ian Baker-Finch in 1989, he had won in Australia.  The same with Boo Weekley in 2013.  In looking at the 66 year history of the Crowne Plaza, only eight first winners have done the deed, that tells us to look for an experienced person to win.

Other key th0ughts:

  • Look at all of the champions, you will see one thing in common, they are accurate drivers of the ball, which historically has been very important in winning at Colonial.  The bottom line is wild drivers just don’t win here.  Now of course there is always an exception to the rule, in 2007 Rory Sabbatini only hit 29 fairways and ranked T60th, Mickelson hit only 32 fairways in ’08 and ranked T36th but thanks to a hot putter both overcame the driving problems.  In 2009 Steve Stricker got things back on track hitting 36 fairways, ranking T15th while in 2010 Zach Johnson hit 39 fairways and ranked T10th.  In 2011, David Toms hit 38 fairways and ranked T4th while in 2012 Zach Johnson hit 33 fairways and ranked T26th.  In 2013 Boo Weekley hit 40 fairways and ranked T-6th.  Last year Adam Scott hit 37 fairways and ranked T-8th.  Before that between 1998 and 2006 all of the winners were in the top-ten in fairway accuracy, with seven of them being in the top-five.
  • An important stat to look at to gauge the champion this week is total driving.
  • Look at this list of players for 2015 in total driving, I feel that one of those in the top-50 of this list will probably be the winner this week.
  • What makes this course so tough of a driving course?  All of the doglegs, there are 12 of them and the fact that since the course only plays 169 yards longer than it did in 1946, players have to throttle back and hit fairway woods and irons to keep it in play.  One of the reasons that you don’t see players like Dustin Johnson, Bubba Watson and J.B. Holmes here is because of that, it takes a special player to keep it in play.  So in a way strategy plays an important part in playing Colonial and length on a lot of holes are a disadvantage.
  • Shot-making is almost a lost art and if you look at all of the champions in this millennium all of them were great shotmakers.
  • Hitting greens will be at a premium, just like in a U.S. Open hitting lots of greens goes a long way in this event.  Look for the winner to hit globs of greens this week.  Now there is another way, if you don’t hit greens, that is scrambling.  All you have to do is look at two stats hitting greens or scrambling,  you will see the last seven champions have done well in one of them.

Winner                           Greens hit        Rank     Scrambling     Rank

2014-Adam Scott            52 of 72         T10th       14 of 20        16th

2013-Boo Weekely           54 of 72          T5th       11 of 18        40th

2012-Zach Johnson         45 of 72         T37th       21 of 27        1st

2011-David Toms             52 of 72           T4th       14 of 20       12th

2010-Zach Johnson          61 of 72           1st         10 of 11        1st

2009-Steve Stricker          56 of 72          T-6th       12 of 16      T14th

2008-Phil Mickelson         52 of 72           T5th       14 of 20       T16th

2007-Rory Sabbatini         48 of 72          T55th       19 of 24       3rd

 

Now I don’t want to jinx the tournament, but weather in Texas can sometimes be iffy in May.  The weather the last three weeks have been very wet so the course won’t be dry and fast.  This week the weather is not going to be very good as each day will be hot and sticky with a 60% chance of thunderstorms each day   So it may becoming challenging to get the tournament finished on Sunday afternoon.

 

Who to watch for at the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial

Best Bets:

Zach Johnson

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
73 3 Win 4 Win T9 T30 T26 T14

Two time champion whose game is perfect for Colonial. Always played well until last year, I see that changing as he is playing well and probably is looking forward to this week. He will contend on Sunday.

Jimmy Walker

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T10 T56

Look what happen the last time the Tour was in Texas, Walker won. Another person whose game is perfect for Colonial, he hits it straight and gets the ball on the green.

Paul Casey

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
CUT T13 5

Got sick at the Match Play, it carried over to the Players. Think he should be well rested and ready to go, his game suits Colonial as he is a shotmaker.

Best of the rest:

Jordan Spieth

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T14 T7

I know that he is the heavy favorite but I think that he hasn’t had enough time off to charge up his batteries. I know he is only 21 but afer playing every week since Phoenix, so this is his 13 event in 17 weeks.

Ryan Palmer

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T5 T14 T5 T31 CUT T34 T15 70 T56 T69 CUT

This guy is very old school and knows what it takes to shape the ball around Colonial. Just look at what he has done his last three starts here and you can see he is knocking on the door of a victory.

Patrick Reed

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T46

Big mystery on why he is playing here instead of at the BMW PGA, this is another player who should be ok for Colonial if he is patience enough to throttle down his length.

Kevin Na

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
CUT T13 T40 T22 T9 T59 T7 T17 WD

Does he have the type of game to do well here is the question. He isn’t a shotmaker but plays well on courses that you have to hit a lot of greens on and don’t have to put up a storm. Watch him.

Solid contenders

Adam Scott

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
Win T65 T64

What can we say about him, he would normally be one of our top picks but his game is at a crossroads over his putting. He should worry about dumping the long putter in December, not now and go back to what made him successful. Still the question will be can he win, I think not but think he will get a top-ten.

Chris Kirk

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T14 T35 T5 T16 T74

Has shown some potential for playing well at Colonial, his game has been ok of late so don’t be surprise if he makes a run at it.

Ben Martin

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T21

Another of these guys that has won before and could win this week. Has shown some spark of last with top-tens the last couple of months.

Hunter Mahan

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T60 T26 T37 T10 CUT T27 CUT CUT T71 T44 T63

Does well in total driving so he is a candidate to do well this week.

Long shots that could come through:

Steve Stricker

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T38 Win CUT T24 T13

We call him a longshot because he hasn’t played that much. Lot of it was due to surgery and the fact that he is semi-retired. He has gone in so many directions on this course, one of the reasons why he hasn’t played it since 2010. His problem with the course is it took the driver out of his hand, think he has mastered that problem and will do good this week.

Chris Stroud

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T14 T7 T13 CUT

In his last three Colonial cuts has been T-13th, T-7th and T-14th which shows that he is close to playing really well at Colonial.

David Lingmerth

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T5 T18

Could he be a guy that plays well on one kind of course? Last year he missed four straight cuts and finished T-5th at Colonial, since he has missed three straight can he rekindle the magic again.

David Toms

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T5 CUT CUT Win T13 T27 T26 T18 T30 T3 T44 WD

Another old work horse that has had his moments at Colonial, who knows if he could have a repeat performance this week.

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