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BlogQuicken Loans Preview and Picks

Quicken Loans National

July 30th – August 2nd, 2015

Robert Trent Jones G.C.

Gainesville, Va.

Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,425

Purse: $6.7 million

with $1,206,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Justin Rose

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 5 of the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with two players from the top-ten #7 Justin Rose and # 8 Rickie Fowler. The other top 50 players are #14 Jimmy Walker, #30 Bill Haas and #34 Gary Woodland.  Last year this event had 12 top-50 players so their are seven less probably because it’s being played four weeks later than last year.

The field includes 5 of the top 25 on the FedEx point standings for 2015.  Those players are #3 Jimmy Walker, #14 Danny Lee, #15 Justin Rose, #18 Steven Bowditch and #24 Rickie Fowler.

The field includes 6 players in the top 25 on this year’s PGA Tour money list.  Those players are #4 Jimmy Walker, #8 Justin Rose, #17 Rickie Fowler, #18 Danny Lee, #22 Steven Bowditch and #25 Gary Woodland.

The field includes five of the six past champions: Justin Rose (2014 & ’10), Bill Haas (2013), Tiger Woods (2012 & ’09), Nick Watney (2011),  and K.J. Choi (2007).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the Quicken Loans National field is our performance chart listed by average finish.  Another way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the Quicken Loans National field in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the Quicken Loans National field.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

**NOTE**

One thing to look for is our new GOLFstats IQ.  For those that play in fantasy golf it’s a perfect way to help you pick those players in Draft Kings and Victiv games.  You can customize the list of those in the tournaments, to look back a couple or many years of tournament stats and you can go back a couple or ten weeks prior to the tournament.  On top of that, all the stats are fully sortable to help you pick your six players, we even give you their value for the week to help you chose.

That’s GOLFstats IQ, give it a try and tell us what you think of it

24/7 GOLF

How would you like to have Total Golf Knowledge At Your Fingertips??

We have the perfect solution for you.  If you own a Iphone or a Ipad we have developed a perfect app called 24/7 GOLF.

It gives you everything that you need to know about golf, you have all the players results and every tournament result, again at your fingertips.  It’s very easy to use and you can take a good amout of GOLFstats with you everyplace.  No need to get home and check things out on your computer at home, you can answer any question with your Ipad.

So check it out, just hit this link to get 24/7 GOLF:

Screen Shot 2015-04-23 at 12.01.34 AM

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Quicken Loans National

Player Canadian Open British Open Barbasol John Deere Scottish Open Greenbrier French Open Travelers BMW Intern. U.S. Open FedEx St. Jude Memorial
Justin Rose
(184 pts)
DNP T6
(120)
DNP DNP 74
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T27
(30.67)
DNP 2
(33.33)
Danny Lee
(158 pts)
DNP CUT
(-20)
DNP T3
(90)
DNP Win
(88)
DNP T25
(16.67)
DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Rickie Fowler
(155.33 pts)
DNP T30
(40)
DNP DNP Win
(132)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Will Wilcox
(149.33 pts)
DNP DNP 2
(100)
T8
(50)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T12
(12.67)
DNP
Johnson Wagner
(144 pts)
T18
(32)
DNP T10
(40)
T5
(70)
DNP T32
(12)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Andres Romero
(134 pts)
T34
(16)
DNP T10
(40)
DNP DNP T6
(40)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T14
(48)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Tony Finau
(124 pts)
T22
(28)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T13
(24.67)
DNP T25
(16.67)
DNP T14
(48)
DNP T8
(16.67)
Stewart Cink
(124 pts)
T5
(70)
T20
(60)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T37
(4.33)
T31
(6.33)
Scott Langley
(118.33 pts)
T22
(28)
DNP T16
(34)
T35
(15)
DNP T13
(24.67)
DNP T25
(16.67)
DNP DNP DNP T68
(0)
Greg Owen
(116.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T20
(60)
DNP DNP DNP T6
(40)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP 2
(33.33)
DNP
Chris Stroud
(116.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T32
(18)
T5
(70)
DNP T37
(8.67)
DNP T10
(26.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T31
(6.33)
Ollie Schniederjans
(114.67 pts)
T22
(28)
T12
(76)
DNP DNP T77
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T42
(10.67)
DNP DNP
Ricky Barnes
(112.33 pts)
T11
(39)
DNP T3
(90)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T67
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Chad Campbell
(105 pts)
T11
(39)
DNP T48
(2)
T28
(22)
DNP T37
(8.67)
DNP T25
(16.67)
DNP DNP T8
(16.67)
DNP
Daniel Summerhays
(103 pts)
T11
(39)
DNP DNP T8
(50)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T27
(30.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
John Senden
(96 pts)
DNP T40
(20)
DNP DNP T22
(28)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T14
(48)
DNP T57
(0)
Retief Goosen
(93 pts)
T76
(0)
T20
(60)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T4
(53.33)
CUT
(-13.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T31
(6.33)
Steven Bowditch
(87.33 pts)
DNP T30
(40)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T13
(24.67)
DNP T15
(23.33)
DNP DNP T22
(9.33)
T52
(0)
David Lingmerth
(84 pts)
DNP T74
(0)
DNP DNP DNP T6
(40)
DNP T64
(0)
DNP DNP DNP Win
(44)
Andy Sullivan
(79 pts)
DNP T30
(40)
DNP DNP T62
(0)
DNP T6
(40)
DNP DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP T13
(12.33)
Adam Hadwin
(73.67 pts)
T7
(55)
DNP DNP T18
(32)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP T57
(0)
Carl Pettersson
(66 pts)
DNP CUT
(-20)
DNP T12
(38)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP 5
(46.67)
DNP DNP T40
(3.33)
T36
(4.67)
Vaughn Taylor
(65.67 pts)
T41
(9)
DNP T10
(40)
T44
(6)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T18
(10.67)
DNP
Whee Kim
(65 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T3
(90)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T67
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T45
(1.67)
DNP
Kevin Chappell
(63.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T8
(50)
DNP T37
(8.67)
DNP DNP DNP T46
(5.33)
T22
(9.33)
T49
(0.33)

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Quicken Loans National

Player Canadian Open British Open Barbasol John Deere Scottish Open Greenbrier French Open Travelers BMW Intern. U.S. Open FedEx St. Jude Memorial
Richard Sterne
(-50 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Stephen Gallacher
(-50 pts)
DNP CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP DNP
Troy Merritt
(-36.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T52
(0)
Gunn Yang
(-36.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Kyle Reifers
(-33.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T58
(0)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T67
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Bill Haas
(-29.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP T18
(10.67)
John Merrick
(-28 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T48
(2)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T40
(3.33)
DNP
Nick Taylor
(-26.67 pts)
T56
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Carlos Ortiz
(-26.67 pts)
T63
(0)
DNP T58
(0)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Andrew Svoboda
(-24.67 pts)
T58
(0)
DNP T48
(2)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T57
(0)

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

Just got back this afternoon from Paris and have to say enjoy my three week European trip.  But it’s always nice to be back home.  Arrived in Washington D.C., a town that has very little buzz over the Quicken Loans tournament.

Have to think that those involved with the Quicken Loans aren’t very happy about this date.  After years of being in a great slot right around Indepence Day, the event is now wedged in between the British Open and the WGC Bridgestone.  In a season in which there are a lot of major events, players are skipping this event in droves.

Now there is good news and that is in the 2016 schedule, the Quicken Loans will be played the week after the U.S. Open.  Still the bad news the WGC Bridgestone will be the week after, which means that players will still probably skip Quicken Loans.

Tournament information:

At the start of the 2007 PGA season, it appeared that The International, the PGA’s lone stop in Colorado, would be gearing up to host its 21st annual golf tournament. However, doubts began to arise about the tournament’s future very early on in the season as the search for a corporate sponsor was at a stand-still. On February 8, 2007, tournament director Greg Vickers announced that the 2007 International would not be played, primarily due to the lack of corporate sponsorship.

As soon as the date opened up on the PGA Tour calendar, Tiger Woods, who has expressed a desire to host a tournament in the past, entered into discussions with the PGA Tour. His goal was to create an exclusive event that would not only fill the year’s void left by the demise of The International, but for years to come. On March 7, with less than one month of negotiations behind the two parties, Tiger Woods and the PGA Tour announced that the Washington D.C. area would play host to the inaugural AT&T National. The event took over for the Booz Allen Classic, which folded after the July 2006 event after a 39 year run with 27 of those in the Washington D.C. area. The 2007 event was played at The Congressional Country Club in nearby Bethesda, MD.

Despite the short time in getting it ready, the first year went off well, and it looked like the future of this event was going to be great.  In 2008 tournament host Tiger Woods had surgery right before the event and was not only able to play, but he couldn’t even attend the event. He did return the next year and won.

The event had a great run at Congressional and with it holding the U.S. Open in 2011 it needed to rebuild its greens.  So the AT&T National moved in 2010 for two years to the Philadelphia area with Aronimink Golf Club having a  successful run with Justin Rose and Nick Watney winning.  The tournament returned to Congressional in 2012 and will hold the event this year before it moves to Robert Trent Jones for 2015.  The RTJ Club hosted the Presidents Cup four times, most recently in 2005.  The change was brought on when Congressional members didn’t want the event on a permanent basis, so they voted to bring it back in 2016, 2018 and 2020.  Look for the event to move around the Washing D.C. area, possibly going for a year to TPC Potomac at Avenel Farms and Trump National Golf Club, which is east of Washington and near Dulles Airport.

Course information:

Robert Trent Jones G.C.

  • Gainesville, Va.
  • 7,385 yards     Par 36-35–71

Robert Trent Jones was founded by the legendary golf course designer Robert Trent Jones “while conducting an aerial site survey for another project,” and it was designed by him, too. This course, located about 35 miles from downtown Washington D.C., is on Lake Manassas an 850-acre  body of water. Mr. Jones is to have said “the terrain is aesthetically perfect, I don’t think we could have done anything better anywhere.” He actually bought this land in the hopes of attracting a world-class membership because there was a need to create a world renowned golf course in the area. He called this course “my masterpiece,” and it opened for play in April 1991. RTJ has a clubhouse that is a 65,000 square foot Georgian-style mansion, with its red brick exterior and stately white columns and portico serves as the clubhouse. The club does not allow for residential development, but does allow members of the club to construct cottages.   You also won’t find any pool or tennis courts as this is a golf only club.

The course weaves around Lake Manassas with nine holes running adjacent to it, and seven of the nine have greens on natural peninsulas. Lake Manassas is visible from nearly every hole on the course.  For all the water around the golf course the only hole that a player has to fly the ball over open water on Lake Manassas is the par-three eleventh hole.  There are 65 bunkers on the course and the par 3, fourth hole is not on the lake but has a carry over a pond in front of the green.  The course is tree lined, but the fairways are very generous so accuracy isn’t a key to playing well. Fairway bunkers are generally placed inside the dogleg or on the side that affords the best approach into the green.  The greens average 6,000 square feet and have enough undulation to them to make it challenging.

RTJ opened in 1991 and became the early home of the new Presidents Cup, playing host to the U.S.-vs.-International team matches four times in 1994, ’96, 2000 and 2005. This will be the Quicken Loans National’s first visit, as the tournament ventures away from Congressional CC in odd-numbered years.  So nobody will have an advantage since most of the players have never played the course before.  In looking at what players will have to do well, total driving, hitting greens and making putts inside ten feet is a good starting point.

Here are some of the things  it takes to play well at the Quicken Loans National:

Key stat for the winner:

Have to say that proximity to the hole is probably the most important stat for this week.  Once you get it close to the hole, of course you have to make those ten footers so look for a player that does well in the seven to 15 foot range.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

  • Experience will mean nothing this week.  As is the case with no courses on the PGA Tour, the unknown player with no PGA Tour wins seem to find their way to the top.  Since the find isn’t loaded with marquee names, don’t be surprised to see a player that we don’t know much about doing well.
  • Along the lines of inexperience, be sure to look over on top the who’s hot list of players in the field this week.
  • Weather will not play a factor this year, as for rain and thunderstorms.  Other than Thursday afternoon with a 60% chance of afternoon storms, the rest of the tournament will be clear of rain and storms.  But don’t expect to get away scott free, you will still have to put up with hot and muggy days. This time of year the Washington D.C. area will be steamy with high humidity and temperatures in the mid-90s.

 

 

 

Who to watch for at the Quicken Loans National

Best Bets:

Justin Rose

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
Win T15 Win T16 T30

Of course the big favorite not only because he is the defending champion but also playing well. Have to think that RTJ suits him fine and he will do well this week.

Danny Lee

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
CUT DQ T7

This course is a bit like Greenbrier, but without the water. Look for him to have that special week.

Will Wilcox

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Don’t worry if he hasn’t played in the Quicken Loans, this guy is playing well and could continue that run this week.

Best of the rest:

Stewart Cink

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T19 5 T22

Was 5th last week in Canada, but what I like is the experience he has since he played in the Presidents Cup in 2000 and 2005. So he could be a factor this week.

Johnson Wagner

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
CUT CUT CUT T57 CUT T27 CUT

He was a part of the Canadian Open until a poor final round, look for him to contiue the good play this week.

Justin Thomas

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Another of those looking for his first win.

Steven Bowditch

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T21 CUT

Still playing well, could he be the tours next multiple winner.

Solid contenders

Rickie Fowler

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T21 T13 CUT

A marquee name, just have to wonder how he will play. Wasn’t very good at the British Open.

Gary Woodland

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T46 T16 73 T47

This course could be very good for him, he can overpower it and do well.

Chad Campbell

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T16 CUT CUT

Played well last week, could he be a bit better this week?

Nick Watney

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T30 T61 10 Win T7 T66 T36

Still can’t believe he has fallen on tough times, looking to play his way back.

Long shots that could come through:

Ricky Barnes

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T11 T28 T49 T64 T16 T66

Has played well in his last two events, course is right up his alley.

Ollie Schniederjans

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

He did ok in his first event since turning pro, look for that to continue this week.

Shawn Stefani

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
2 T34

Still looking for that first win, you never know.

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Worst Bets:

Tiger Woods

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
CUT Win T46 Win T6

A real shame that he is struggling these days just to make cuts.

Comments

  1. Sal- you not liking Jimmy Walker this week?

  2. Mark, your are right, not showing any love for Jimmy Walker because he just doesn’t play well in the summer. He is great from October to about the Masters and just phone’s it in from then. Since his win at the Valero Texas Open he has only had one top-30, 2nd at the Byron Nelson. Last year was a bit better but the point is that Walker plays well early, not in the summer.

  3. maxwell k says:

    Hi Sal welcome back from Paris. Could you tell me if these players are good to pick for this tournament?
    Carl Petterson, Vaughn Taylor, Ricky Barnes. Thanks

  4. Maxwell,
    Best to look at their record of late.
    For Carl Petterson
    https://www.golfstats.com/search/?yr=2015&tournament=&player=Carl+Pettersson&tour=&submit=go
    a bit inconsistent with a 5th at the Travelers.
    For Vaughn Taylor
    https://www.golfstats.com/search/?yr=2015&tournament=&player=Vaughn+Taylor&tour=&submit=go
    coming back from injury, I wouldn’t pick him
    For Ricky Barnes
    https://www.golfstats.com/search/?yr=2015&tournament=&player=Ricky+Barnes&tour=&submit=go
    He would be my choice, has shown signs of good play of late.

  5. maxwell k says:

    This is very helpful especially the bit on Vaughn Taylor. Thanks

  6. Sal…LOVE the sticky headers!!

  7. Thanks go to Ed Pattermann for getting that done.
    A lot of programming on his part to get that done.

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