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BlogBMW Championship Preview and Picks

BMW Championship

September 17th – 20th, 2015

Conway Farms G.C.

Lake Forest, Ill.

Par: 71 / Yardage:

Purse: $8.25 million

with $1,485,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Billy Horschel

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

Of the 70 players in the field, 56 of them are in the top-100 of the Official World Rankings.  The field includes 38 of the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with all top-ten players in the field: #1 Rory Mcilroy, #2 Jordan Spieth, #3 Jason Day, #4 Bubba Watson, #5 Rickie Fowler, #6 Henrik Stenson, #7 Jim Furyk, #8 Justin Rose, #9 Dustin Johnson and #10 Sergio Garcia.

From 11 to 25 there are 11 of the 15 with #11 Zach Johnson, #12 Louis Oosthuizen, #14  Matt Kuchar, #15 Jimmy Walker, #16 Hideki Matsuyama, #17 Brooks Koepka, #18 Patrick Reed, #21 J.B. Holmes, #23 Phil Mickelson, #24 Billy Horschel and #25 Chris Kirk.  (So the only top-25 players in the world not in this week’s field is #13 Adam Scott, #19 Branden Grace, #20 Shane Lowry and #22 Martin Kaymer).

Between 26 and 50 there are 17 of the 25, they are #27 Paul Casey, #28 Brandt Snedeker, #29 Bill Haas, #31  Robert Streb, #32 Charley Hoffman, #33 Kevin Kisner, #35 Ryan Palmer, #36 Kevin Na, #37 Ian Poulter, #38 Gary Woodland,  #41 David Lingmerth, #42 Hunter Mahan, #45 Webb Simpson, #46 Ryan Moore, #47 Russell Henley, #49 Keegan Bradley and #50 Brendon Todd.

Last year there was 33 players from the top-50 so five more this year.

The field includes all top-70 from the FedEx Cup rankings.

The field includes all 25 players in the top 25 on this year’s PGA Tour money list.

The field includes seven past champions: Billy Horschel (2014), Zach Johnson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Justin Rose (2011), Dustin Johnson (2010), Jim Furyk (2005) and Jerry Kelly (2002).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the BMW field is our performance chart listed by average finish.  Another way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the BMW field in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the BMW field.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

**NOTE**

One thing to look for is our new GOLFstats IQ.  For those that play in fantasy golf it’s a perfect way to help you pick those players in Draft Kings and Victiv games.  You can customize the list of those in the tournaments, to look back a couple or many years of tournament stats and you can go back a couple or ten weeks prior to the tournament.  On top of that, all the stats are fully sortable to help you pick your six players, we even give you their value for the week to help you chose.

That’s GOLFstats IQ, give it a try and tell us what you think of it

24/7 GOLF

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We have the perfect solution for you.  If you own a Iphone or a Ipad we have developed a perfect app called 24/7 GOLF.

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Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the BMW Championship

Player Deutsche Bank Barclays Wyndham John Deere PGA Championship WGC-Bridgestone Barracuda Quicken Loans Canadian Open European Masters British Open Barbasol Scottish Open
Jason Day
(566.33 pts)
T12
(57)
Win
(198)
DNP DNP Win
(176)
12
(38)
DNP DNP Win
(44)
DNP T4
(53.33)
DNP DNP
Henrik Stenson
(400 pts)
2
(150)
2
(150)
DNP DNP 25
(33.33)
6
(60)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T40
(6.67)
DNP DNP
Rickie Fowler
(340.33 pts)
Win
(198)
CUT
(-15)
DNP DNP 30
(26.67)
10
(40)
DNP 2
(33.33)
DNP DNP T30
(13.33)
DNP Win
(44)
Jim Furyk
(335.17 pts)
T4
(120)
T11
(58.5)
DNP DNP 30
(26.67)
3
(90)
DNP DNP 4
(26.67)
DNP T30
(13.33)
DNP DNP
Bubba Watson
(331.83 pts)
T29
(31.5)
3
(135)
DNP DNP 21
(38.67)
2
(100)
DNP DNP 2
(33.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP
Justin Rose
(299.33 pts)
CUT
(-15)
T16
(51)
DNP DNP 4
(106.67)
3
(90)
DNP T4
(26.67)
DNP DNP T6
(40)
DNP 74
(0)
Zach Johnson
(283.67 pts)
T22
(42)
T4
(120)
DNP T3
(30)
CUT
(-13.33)
33
(17)
DNP DNP DNP DNP Win
(88)
DNP DNP
Jordan Spieth
(240.67 pts)
CUT
(-15)
CUT
(-15)
DNP Win
(44)
2
(133.33)
10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T4
(53.33)
DNP DNP
Matt Kuchar
(234 pts)
T9
(67.5)
T39
(16.5)
DNP DNP 7
(73.33)
25
(25)
DNP DNP T7
(18.33)
DNP T58
(0)
DNP T2
(33.33)
Patrick Reed
(213 pts)
T4
(120)
T62
(0)
DNP DNP 30
(26.67)
15
(35)
DNP DNP DNP T16
(11.33)
T20
(20)
DNP DNP
Brooks Koepka
(210 pts)
CUT
(-15)
CUT
(-15)
T6
(40)
DNP 5
(93.33)
6
(60)
DNP DNP T18
(10.67)
DNP T10
(26.67)
DNP T22
(9.33)
Robert Streb
(189.67 pts)
T39
(16.5)
T39
(16.5)
DNP T14
(12)
10
(53.33)
5
(70)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T18
(21.33)
DNP DNP
Daniel Summerhays
(188.5 pts)
T9
(67.5)
T6
(90)
T43
(4.67)
T8
(16.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T11
(13)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Danny Lee
(174.83 pts)
T33
(25.5)
T30
(30)
DNP T3
(30)
43
(9.33)
6
(60)
DNP T4
(26.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP
Matt Jones
(168.67 pts)
T4
(120)
T53
(0)
DNP DNP 21
(38.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T30
(13.33)
DNP DNP
Louis Oosthuizen
(158.33 pts)
T12
(57)
DNP DNP DNP 30
(26.67)
42
(8)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T2
(66.67)
DNP DNP
Charley Hoffman
(152.33 pts)
3
(135)
T62
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-13.33)
31
(19)
DNP DNP T7
(18.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP
Dustin Johnson
(150.5 pts)
T44
(9)
T9
(67.5)
DNP DNP 7
(73.33)
53
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T49
(0.67)
DNP DNP
Justin Thomas
(143.67 pts)
T56
(0)
T16
(51)
T56
(0)
T5
(23.33)
18
(42.67)
DNP DNP T4
(26.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Hideki Matsuyama
(138 pts)
T25
(37.5)
T13
(55.5)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP 37
(17.33)
37
(13)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T18
(21.33)
DNP DNP
Kevin Chappell
(129.33 pts)
T12
(57)
T24
(39)
DNP T8
(16.67)
43
(9.33)
DNP DNP T18
(10.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Paul Casey
(128.67 pts)
WD
(-7.5)
T39
(16.5)
T3
(60)
DNP 30
(26.67)
17
(33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T74
(0)
DNP DNP
Zachary Blair
(121.33 pts)
T60
(0)
T4
(120)
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP T37
(8.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
T70
(0)
DNP DNP T32
(6)
DNP
Sean O’Hair
(120.83 pts)
T4
(120)
T45
(7.5)
DNP DNP 72
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Hunter Mahan
(115 pts)
T4
(120)
CUT
(-15)
DNP DNP 43
(9.33)
72
(0)
DNP DNP T63
(0)
DNP T49
(0.67)
DNP DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the BMW Championship

Player Deutsche Bank Barclays Wyndham John Deere PGA Championship WGC-Bridgestone Barracuda Quicken Loans Canadian Open European Masters British Open Barbasol Scottish Open
James Hahn
(-10.33 pts)
CUT
(-15)
T58
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-13.33)
42
(8)
DNP T39
(3.67)
T11
(13)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP
Jimmy Walker
(-5.33 pts)
CUT
(-15)
T69
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-13.33)
53
(0)
DNP T21
(9.67)
DNP DNP T30
(13.33)
DNP 82
(0)
Fabian Gomez
(2.17 pts)
T33
(25.5)
71
(0)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-13.33)
67
(0)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
David Hearn
(2.5 pts)
CUT
(-15)
T45
(7.5)
DNP T67
(0)
CUT
(-13.33)
DNP DNP DNP 3
(30)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP
Shawn Stefani
(8.17 pts)
T65
(0)
T39
(16.5)
DNP T35
(5)
CUT
(-13.33)
DNP DNP T52
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Daniel Berger
(15 pts)
T12
(57)
CUT
(-15)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T41
(3)
Chris Kirk
(16.5 pts)
T29
(31.5)
CUT
(-15)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Brendon De Jonge
(17 pts)
T22
(42)
CUT
(-15)
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
65
(0)
DNP DNP T59
(0)
T76
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
George McNeill
(17.67 pts)
CUT
(-15)
T30
(30)
T31
(12.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-13.33)
DNP DNP T30
(6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Ian Poulter
(20.17 pts)
T33
(25.5)
CUT
(-15)
DNP DNP CUT
(-13.33)
17
(33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

So it’s the third leg of the FedEx Cup playoffs, this is probably the one with the biggest cut off.  Up until now you can see that a lot of players that won in 2015, guys like Fabian Gomez, James Hahn, Chris Kirk and Ryan Moore are still in the FedEx Cup playoffs but will get cut on Sunday, unless they have a good week.  This is the overall problem I have with the way the FedEx Cup is done.  It gives way too much credence for that one win and for those that do well in the Barclays and Deutsche Bank.  So for a lot of the winners in 2015, they are just hanging on because of those wins and will be gone by next week.  Another person that probably will get cut this week is last year’s FedEx Cup winner Billy Horschel.  The only way he gets to defend his Tour Championship title is if he either wins or comes in second this week.

Talking about Horschel, last year he entered the playoffs 69th and even after missing the cut at the Barclays and falling down to 82nd in the cup standings, he was able to win it with a runner-up at the Deutsche Bank, then wins at the BMW Championship and Tour Championship.  Don’t have to worry about that this year, unless something unusual happens we will probably see the winner coming from the top of the standings.  The only player that has made a big advance is Henrik Stenson who started the playoffs 41st and with his pair of runner-up finishes has climbed to 4th.

Last but not least we have the story of Hunter Mahan.  He is the only player to participate in all the Tour Championships in the FedEx Cup era.  But that may end as Mahan is 52nd in the standings and unless he wins or finishes second or third at the BMW won’t be a part of next week’s Tour Championship.

Is the summer getting too long with too many marquee events?

The answer is yes, yes and yes again.  Since the middle of June, we have seen three majors and a WGC event played.  Put that together with the FedEx Cup playoffs and then jetting straight off to Korea for the Presidents Cup that’s a lot of golf for all the marquee players.  The schedule is a bit better this year giving players a week off inbetween the Deutsche Bank and BMW Championship but if you ask most of the top players they would like to see one important event a month instead of having 8 of them in a span of three months.  Guess we shouldn’t complain, with the addition of the Olympics next year the schedule will be really overcrowded.

Talking about the Presidents Cup

So Captain Haas picked his son Bill and Phil Mickelson for his wild card picks.  Both could be controversial picks, but if you look at what happened leading to the picks, they made sense.  Brooks Keopka was the odds on choice but missing the cut at both the Barclays and Deutsche Bank didn’t help his chances.  As for anyone else, they just didn’t prove themselves.  Billy Horschel missed the cut at the Wyndham and Barclays and barley made it at the Deutsche Bank before finishing with rounds of 77-72.  Now son Bill wasn’t that great finishing T-53rd at the Barclays and T-60th at Deutsche Bank but he isn’t a bad choice.  As for Phil Mickelson, who has been very inconsistent since winning the British Open in 2013, you have to like having him on the team.  This will be Mickelson’s 21st consecutive Ryder/Presidents Cup played, his influence in the team room will bring lot’s of experience and a good player for younger ones to look up to.  Many will point to the rift brought on last year at the Ryder Cup when Mickelson said some negative things about Captain Tom Watson not using the Paul Azinger “pod system” but honestly the whole thing was blown up, Phil never said anything bad about Watson, he just said that he felt a different system from 2008 was better.  The point is that Phil will be good to have on the team and in the team room because this could be a very tough week for the United States team.

For those looking for Presidents Cup history and results, try our our Presidents Cup database here:

Tournament information:

The Western Open was originally founded and run by the Western Golf Association. First played in 1899, the event is the third oldest professional golf tournament (U.S. Open and British Open are older). Like the other golf tournaments of the time, the Western Open was dominated by visiting professionals from England and Scotland. In its early decades, it was widely regarded as a major championship

From 1899 until 1961, the Western Open was played at a variety of locations including Phoenix, Salt Lake City, and San Francisco to name a few. Beginning in 1962, however, the Western Open settled into the Chicago area. It was hosted at different local courses in and around the city.

In 1974, the Butler National Golf Club in Oak Brook, became the annual venue for the Western Open. The Butler National Golf Club remained the host site until shortly after the 1990 tournament, when the PGA Tour adopted a policy of holding events only at clubs that allowed minorities to be members.

This resulted in Butler National being replaced by the Cog Hill Golf & Country Club in Lemont, Illinois. The Dubsdread Course at Cog Hill played host to the Western Open from 1991 to 2007. With the advent of the new FedEx Cup Series, the PGA Tour decided a change of name was in order. The event name change to the BMW Championship.  Along with the change it was decided to move the tournament around. In 2008 for the first time since 1962 the event was not played in the Chicago area as it moved to St. Louis for the year. In 2012 it went to Indianapolis, Indiana, in 2013 it went for the first time to Conway Farms, site of this year’s BMW Championship.  Last year it was played at Cherry Hills in Denver.  In the future it’s going to be played at Crooked Stick next year and at Aronimink outside of Philadelphia in 2018.  No venue for 2017 but the quiet rumors say that Harding Park in San Francisco could one day host this event.

Back to Conway Farms

The par 71, 7,149 yard course was designed around the traditions of Scottish links style.  It’s on a lot of acreage, 210 acres with memorable holes that will challenge players.  There are three par 5s, with the last being a 570 yard par 5 with a creek running down the left side and in front of the green.  If tour officials move the tees up it could create a great finish.  That along with the 7th and 15th holes, very short drivable par 4s will bring the gambler out of players.

Not only does the course appeal to ball strikers and those that hit lots of greens, scrambling will be an important element in the way the greens slop off giving players a tough time getting it up and down.  Will the players eat this place up like they did the Deutsche Bank last week, probably not.  But at the same time there are a lot of birdie holes out there for players.

Course information:

Conway Farms was designed by Tom Fazio and opened in 1991.  Along with the BMW Championship played in 2013, it has held elite college events including the NCAA Division I Championship and the Big Ten Championship.  It was the site of the 2009 Western Amateur, the 2012 USGA Mid-Amateur and the 1998 U.S. Junior amateur along with U.S. Open sectional qualifying.  Conway Farms membership includes Luke Donald, who played a key role in bringing the club and the PGA Tour together.  The only change to the course between now and when the BMW Championship was played in 2013 is all of the greens were regrassed and the driving range was remodeled.

Water comes in play on six holes, but drastically on only four holes.  The hardest holes (tied) from 2013 was the par 4, 5th.  It played to a 4.243 average while the par 4, 13th also played to a 4.243 average.  The par 5 finishing hole was tough as a par 5, playing to a 4.914 average.  On the PGA Tour in 2013, Conway Farms was 27th of all the courses with a 70.811 average.  The course has 86 bunkers and for the members plays to a 75.8 average with a 149 slope.

Key stat for the winner:

  • Just like in majors, the player that comes in and can adapt his game to the course will have the advantage.  Now this doesn’t mean that a Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth or a Jason Day has the edge, we could see someone we least expect winning.  The same with Luke Donald, he has a big edge as he is a member of the club and plays there, but you have to also be playing well and Donald hasn’t shown much of a game in years now.
  • There was a week off before hand, everyone will be fresh.  But for those that didn’t practice and play much last week, they could be a bit rusty early.
  • With 24 rounds of 66 and under including a 59 by Jim Furyk in 2013, players can go very low at Conway Farms. Not only does the course appeal to ball strikers and those that hit lots of greens, scrambling will be an important element in the way the greens slop off giving players a tough time getting it up and down.  Will the players eat this place up like they did the Deutsche Bank last week, probably not.  But at the same time there are a lot of birdie holes out there.
  • On the same note, two par 4s could be reachable.  But the par 5s could play tough and unless the Tour moves the tees up all three of them could be three-shot holes.
  • Even if Jason Day, Jordan Spieth or Rickie Fowler wins it doesn’t mean they will be the FedEx Cup champions, but they will have a big advantage and they will control their destiny next week at the Tour Championship.  As for Player of the year, have to think it’s going to be Jordan Spieth, unless Jason Day wins this week and next, that would make for a really hard choice.
  • Lastly, the weather in the Chicago area this week will have a touch of fall as tempertures will drop close to ten degrees over the week.  On Monday it will be 81 but by Sunday drop down to 71.  Each day will be good, Thursday will be very windy and Friday will bring rain which could wash out the day.  The weekend looks great.

 

Who to watch for at the BMW Championship

Best Bets:

Rory McIlroy

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T8 T59 Win T37

Have to think that he wants to put a finishing touch to the year with a victory this week and next. The year has been a bit frustrating for him, he has not played well in the marquee events and majors, but done very well in the rest. He is 1st in strokes gained tee-to-green, so I think he is ready to win again.

Jason Day

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
WD T4 T49 T54 T59

Not a hard choice to make considering his great play since the British Open. Now he wasn’t in contention over the weekend at Boston, but I think a week off to refresh himself will do him wonders. Conway Farms sets up great for him, he finished T-4th in 2013, stat-wise he is 7th in strokes gained tee-to-green and 2nd in putting average with a T-23rd ranking in one-putt percentage.

Jim Furyk

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T4 3 9 T22 T15 T2 T3 T14 T4 Win T7 T3

His great season has taken a back seat to all the great play of Spieth, Day and McIlroy. Remember this, Furyk shot 59 on this course in 2013 so he knows a thing or two about it. He ranks 3rd in strokes gained tee-to-green and his game showed signs of coming around at the Deutsche Bank with a T-4th finish, think the BMW Championship will be a very good week for him.

Best of the rest, with some doubts for this week:

Jordan Spieth

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T8 T16

After missing two cuts we can see he is tired and overextended. Have to wonder if the PGA Championship took everything out of him, finishing second to Day it was probably a big disappointment for him. The good news that we see as positive is that he had a week off and has a combination of good yearly stats, he is 4th in strokes gained too-to-green, 1st in putting average and some good finishes at the BMW including T-16th at Conway Farms in 2013 and T-8th last year point to him doing well.

Henrik Stenson

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T23 T33 T52

Just can’t see him winning this week, course just doesn’t suit him because you really need to chip and putt well. Yes he is 2nd in strokes gained tee-to-green, but finished T-33rd on it in 2013 and I just think this will be an off week for him.

Bubba Watson

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
2 T24 T12 T53 T50 T15 T28 T18 CUT

Have to wonder which Bubba shows up on Thursday for the first round. The awesome Bubba who finished 2nd at the WGC-Bridgestone and 3rd at the Barclays, the Bubba that is 1st in strokes gained tee-te-green and 22nd in greens in regulation this year on the PGA Tour. Or the inconsistent Bubba that missed the cut at the U.S. and British Open. Conway should be good for Bubba, he just has to get that into his mind and he could be very good this week.

Rickie Fowler

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T4 T39 T41 48 T45

On a high after winning the Deutsche Bank but we have to wonder if Conway Farms suits his game? He finished T-39th in 2013 but to be fair he did shot 77 on the first day. Came back with rounds of 68-68-71 so he can do well on the course. His stats shows promise as he is 32nd in strokes gained tee-to-green. Putting wise he is good enough to handle Conway Farms greens so I can see a top-ten this week.

Solid contenders

Zach Johnson

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T43 Win T12 T31 T15 5 T38 T21 CUT CUT

Guess there is no need to say he won at Conway Farms in 2013 so that gives him a leg up. Another good sign his game showed some life with a T-4th at the Barclays. He didn’t fair as well at the Deutsche Bank finishing T-22nd, still the course sets up well for his game in which stat-wise he is 14th in strokes gained tee-to-green, 35th in greens in regulation and 6th in driving accuracy. His putting is not as sharp but the fact is he comes into the week with the high from winning in 2013 and also being the Open Championship.

Hunter Mahan

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T59 T4 70 T42 T37 T38 T8 T30 CUT T21 CUT T60

He has a lot at stake this week. He is the only player that has participated in every Tour Championship in the FedExCup era. But he comes into the BMW 52nd in the standings and unless he is in the top-three won’t move on. But a top-three is a good possibility considering that he finished T-4th at Conway in 2013. Stat-wise he hasn’t been very sharp from tee to green, he ranks T-139th in strokes gained tee-to-green but if he putts well that will take care of his probablems from tee to green.

Justin Rose

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
35 T33 T16 Win T21 T5 T19 CUT

Is a threat every time he plays but he has shown that he could be tired finishing T-16th at the Barclays and missing the cut in Boston. Also a T-33rd at Conway in 2013 doesn’t help his cause. Still a week off could wonders for him as his yearly stats point a positive picture. He is 8th in strokes gained tee-to-green, 9th in greens in regulation, still I don’t think this will be his week.

Dustin Johnson

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T62 T6 T65 Win T30

Maybe it’s because of the disappointment at the majors this year but Johnson didn’t look sharp at either the Barclays or Deutsche Bank. He was T-62nd at Conway in 2013 so we wonder if he can bounce back, yes his game should be good for Conway but we wonder if he is thinking well these days or just looking forward to the escape of kicking back and watching some football over the weekend.

Long shots that could come through:

Matt Kuchar

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T46 T24 T54 T22 T3 T10 T60

Has had a disappointing year but could turn it around with a win this week. Signs point to this not happening as he finished T-24th in 2013 at Conway but he did have a good week in Boston finishing T-9th. He does have the stats for a good week, he is 19th in strokes gained tee-to-green and 14th in scrambling.

Daniel Summerhays

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T29 T28

Time to watch him, he finished T-9th in Boston, T-6th at the Barclays and was T-28th at Conway Farms in 2013.

Matt Jones

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T53 T8 T37

Was T-8th at Conway Farms in 2013 and T-4th at the Deutsche Bank.

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