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BlogShriners Hospitals Preview and Picks

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

October 22th – 25th, 2015

TPC at Summerlin

Las Vegas, Nev.

Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,255

Purse: $6.4 million

with $1,152,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Ben Martin

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 11 of the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with the highest rank player being #5 Rickie Fowler.  The other top 50 players are #12 Brooks Koepka, #17 Jimmy Walker, #24 Kevin Na, #30 Brandt Snedeker, #34 Kevin Kisner, #35 Charley Hoffman, #36 Emiliano Grillo, #40 Ryan Palmer, #41 Scott Piercy and #50 Hunter Mahan.

Last year there were only 10 top-50 players so there are 1 more this year.

The field includes 8 of the Top 25 on last year’s final FedEx point standings for 2015.  Those players include #4 Jimmy Walker, #12 Brooks Koepka, #13 Brandt Snedeker, #14 Charley Hoffman, #15 Rickie Fowler, #17 Kevin Kisner, #22 Steven Bowditch and #25 Ryan Moore.

The field includes 7 players in the top 25 on last year’s PGA Tour money list, #4 Rickie Fowler,#10 Jimmy Walker, #11 Charley Hoffman, #17 Brandt Snedeker,  #19 Brooks Koepka, #20 Kevin Kisner and #23 Steven Bowditch.

The field includes 8 past champions: Ben Martin (2015), Webb Simpson (2014), Ryan Moore (2012), Kevin Na (2011), Jonathan Byrd (2010), Martin Laird (2009), George McNeill (2007) and Stuart Appleby (2003).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open field is our performance chart listed by average finish. One last way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances atShriners Hospitals for Children Open in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

**NOTE**

One thing to look for is our new GOLFstats IQ.  For those that play in fantasy golf it’s a perfect way to help you pick those players in Draft Kings and Victiv games.  You can customize the list of those in the tournaments, to look back a couple or many years of tournament stats and you can go back a couple or ten weeks prior to the tournament.  On top of that, all the stats are fully sortable to help you pick your six players, we even give you their value for the week to help you chose.

That’s GOLFstats IQ, give it a try and tell us what you think of it

24/7 GOLF

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We have the perfect solution for you.  If you own a Iphone or a Ipad we have developed a perfect app called 24/7 GOLF.

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So check it out, just hit this link to get 24/7 GOLF:

Screen Shot 2015-04-23 at 12.01.34 AM

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

Player Frys.com Portugal Masters British Masters Dunhill Links Tour Championship European Open BMW Championship Italian Open Deutsche Bank Barclays KLM Open Wyndham PGA Championship
Brooks Koepka
(198.67 pts)
T41
(9)
DNP DNP T2
(100)
T18
(32)
DNP T49
(1)
DNP CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP T6
(20)
5
(46.67)
Rickie Fowler
(192.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T12
(38)
DNP T4
(80)
DNP Win
(66)
CUT
(-5)
DNP DNP 30
(13.33)
Kevin Na
(182.33 pts)
2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP T16
(34)
DNP T10
(40)
DNP T60
(0)
T20
(15)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
Scott Piercy
(134.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T27
(23)
25
(25)
DNP 3
(90)
DNP CUT
(-5)
T62
(0)
DNP DNP 48
(1.33)
Emiliano Grillo
(132 pts)
Win
(132)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP 61
(0)
Chris Stroud
(131.67 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP DNP T2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Jason Bohn
(116.17 pts)
T3
(90)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T64
(0)
DNP CUT
(-5)
T9
(22.5)
DNP DNP 37
(8.67)
Brendan Steele
(93.33 pts)
T17
(33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T13
(37)
DNP T44
(3)
CUT
(-5)
DNP DNP 12
(25.33)
Brandt Snedeker
(86.67 pts)
T17
(33)
DNP DNP DNP T22
(28)
DNP 66
(0)
DNP T44
(3)
CUT
(-5)
DNP T43
(2.33)
12
(25.33)
Tyrone Van Aswegen
(86.67 pts)
T3
(90)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Daniel Summerhays
(81.83 pts)
T32
(18)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T41
(9)
DNP T9
(22.5)
T6
(30)
DNP T43
(2.33)
DNP
Ryan Moore
(74 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T28
(22)
DNP CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP T10
(13.33)
37
(8.67)
Hunter Mahan
(69 pts)
T32
(18)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
T32
(18)
DNP T4
(40)
CUT
(-5)
DNP DNP 43
(4.67)
Kyle Reifers
(68.5 pts)
T6
(60)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T25
(12.5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP T47
(1)
DNP
Charley Hoffman
(66.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T22
(28)
DNP T53
(0)
DNP 3
(45)
T62
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
Patrick Rodgers
(64 pts)
T6
(60)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T38
(4)
DNP
Cameron Tringale
(61.33 pts)
T64
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T7
(55)
DNP T44
(3)
T30
(10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
Tony Finau
(59.67 pts)
T32
(18)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T47
(3)
DNP CUT
(-5)
T16
(17)
DNP DNP 10
(26.67)
Kevin Kisner
(58.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP 28
(22)
DNP T41
(9)
DNP T12
(19)
T20
(15)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
Brendon Todd
(57 pts)
T26
(24)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T23
(27)
DNP T44
(3)
T24
(13)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
Sean O’Hair
(56.5 pts)
T26
(24)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T53
(0)
DNP T4
(40)
T45
(2.5)
DNP DNP 72
(0)
Kevin Chappell
(53.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T23
(27)
DNP T12
(19)
T24
(13)
DNP DNP 43
(4.67)
Stewart Cink
(53.17 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T9
(45)
DNP DNP DNP T41
(6)
DNP T39
(5.5)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Nick Watney
(48.67 pts)
T64
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T19
(31)
DNP T44
(3)
CUT
(-5)
DNP T31
(6.33)
30
(13.33)
William McGirt
(47 pts)
T30
(20)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T49
(1)
DNP T12
(19)
CUT
(-5)
DNP T14
(12)
DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

Player Frys.com Portugal Masters British Masters Dunhill Links Tour Championship European Open BMW Championship Italian Open Deutsche Bank Barclays KLM Open Wyndham PGA Championship
Matt Every
(-23.33 pts)
WD
(-5)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP WD
(-1.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
Tim Clark
(-19.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
DNP T43
(2.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
Andres Gonzales
(-18.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Chesson Hadley
(-18.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP 74
(0)
CUT
(-5)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
61
(0)
Jon Curran
(-18.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Martin Laird
(-16.67 pts)
T64
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP T59
(0)
CUT
(-6.67)
Jason Kokrak
(-16.67 pts)
DQ
(-5)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP WD
(-1.67)
DNP
Geoff Ogilvy
(-16.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
John Huh
(-15 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
DNP T59
(0)
DNP
Chad Campbell
(-13.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP T31
(6.33)
DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

A very popular event, it has all of the glamour of Las Vegas on a course that a lot of players like to play on.  For some this will be a fun week with a little bit of golf mixed in with the fast-pace action of Las Vegas.

Founded in 1983 as the Panasonic Las Vegas Pro-Celebrity Classic, the event has undergone six name changes in the events history. Frys.Com became the Title Sponsor for the event in 2006, replacing its former title, the Michelin Championship at Las Vegas.  2007 was the final year of Fry’s involvement and in 2008 Justin Timberlake took on the duties of becoming the tournament presenter with Shriners Hospitals for Children sponsoring the event.  Timberlake is no longer associated with the tournament.

At the tournament’s inception, the managers of the tournament prided themselves on running a tournament that stood out amongst the slew of annual PGA events. It was the first event to offer a total purse of $1 million; at the trophy presentation, the winner used to receive his trophy with two showgirls by his side. Though these ideas help separate the event from others, the most drastic deviation from the norm is the tournament’s format, which in a way “borrowed” the format at the Bob Hope Open.

In its inception, the tournament was played over five rounds at between three and four courses. However, in 2003, when the original tournament founders abdicated control to another volunteer organization, the event was immediately switched to the more conventional four round format. Over the years, courses have been dropped and for the 8th straight year it’s only played on the TPC Summerlin.

One thing about this event, it’s always nice winning an event but for some of it’s past champions they never got back to the winners circle again on the PGA Tour.  Looked at the 15 past winners since 2000, only seven Ryan Moore (2012), Jonathan Byrd (2010), Martin Laird (2009), George McNeill (2007), Troy Matteson (2006), Stuart Appleby (2003) and Bob Estes (2001) won again.  The others,  Ben Martin (015), Webb Simpson (2014), Kevin Na (2011), Marc Turnesa (2008), Wes Short Jr. (2005), Andre Stolz (2004), Phil Tataurangi (2002) and Billy Andrade (2000) never made it back to the winners circle and some of them don’t even play anymore on the PGA Tour.

Advantages of the Wrap-around schedule:

What a great world the PGA Tour is.  Just look at some of the players that had high finishes at the Frys.com.  Winner Emiliano Grillo can now have a comfortable 2016, which is still three months away.  With Grillo’s victory we know that his Christmas will be special how great it is to be the first winner of 2016, even though it’s three months away.  The same for players like Kevin Na, he now doesn’t have to worry about the year because he has gotten it off in the proper manner with his runner-up finish.  Even guys like Smylie Kaufman, who was playing in just his fourth PGA Tour event, his T-10th has put $128,571 in his pocket.  Gosh, how far things have gotten, in 1964 Jack Nicklaus won the money race with $113,284 less than what Kaufman made.  Oh it took Ben Hogan 16 years on the PGA Tour before he won his first $100,000.  Going a step further, Gene Sarazen collected money on the PGA Tour between 1920 and 1976 and this may seem hard to believe but in his 56 years of playing he won 38 times, seven of them majors and only won $77,787.  So it’s nice to see all these guys doing so well with the first day of 2016 still 79 days away.

Course information:

TPC Summerlin was designed by Bobby Weed and Fuzzy Zoeller in 1992. The Par 71 course measures 7,243 yards. It has a course rating of 74.3 and a slope rating of 139. The tees, fairways, and rough all comprise of 419 Bermuda Grass, cut at 3/8″, 3/8″, and 2″ respectively. The greens consist of a 1/8″ cut of A-1/A-4 Creeping Bent Grass. This short cut mixed with the always speedy Bent Grass explains the rather Stimpmeter reading of 11 feet. As for hazards, the course features 99 sand bunkers (with 51 around the greens) and water comes into play on four holes.

The signature hole at TPC Summerlin is the short 341-yard par four 15th hole. The large elevated green is reachable from the tee; however, numerous bunkers guard the green, making the play risky, but possibly very rewarding. As for accolades, Golf Digest rated this as the fourth “Best in State” course for 1995-96, and the fifth best for 1997-98. Also, GolfWeek awarded it 98th in the category of “America’s 100 Best Modern Courses” for 1997.

Last year was the seventh time that Summerlin was the only course used and they made a big change in 2009 changing par to 71 by making the third hole a long par 4 at 473 yards.  In addition to this change, 14 trees were added along the right side of the fairways on Nos. 9 and 16, both par 5s. The rough also was grown longer than in years past and for holes 7, 9, 11, 12, 13 and 16 the fairways are going to be between 3 and 5 yards narrower than in 2008.  All of these changed to try and make the course play a bit tougher.  In 2008 Summerlin played to an average of 69.070, while in 2009 with par reduced it played just about the same, 69.152. In 2010 it played to a 68.956 average, while in 2011 it was 68.883, 2012 was 69.713 and the 40th toughest course at of 49. In 2014 the course played to a 69.546 average and was the 43rd hardest course out of 48.  Last year the course played to a 69.659 average and was the 42nd hardest course out of the 52 played.

Lot’s of birdies are made on this course, but if it gets windy, it could be a totally different course that takes a lot of precision.  The finish is demanding with the par 3 17th hole playing the seventh hardest at 3.035 while the 18th hole is the 13th hardest at 3.892.

COURSE KEYS

Last week we tried a new item to help gauge how a player needs to play a course and then look at his yearly stats to help us find the players with the best totals.

Each course has historical stats for different stats catagories and ranks them with the other courses on the PGA Tour for that year.  So we are going to take the four stat catagories that are tough for the week and then take the players in the field, look for their ranking for those stats compared to all the other players.  We add up their rankings for the four different catagories and figure out which players are top for the week.  We are still working on the format but here is a taste of what we are working on, giving out the top-20 in this year’s field off of our list:

Key for playing well at TPC Summerlin:

This is based on the most important stats for TPC Summerlin, based on data from last years Shriners Hospital, and using data from all the players for stats from 2015.

  • Par Breakers: Lots of birdies and eagles were made at Summerlin last year (1,739 birdies & 59 eagles) which related to 23.02% of the time players were under par on holes
  • Strokes gain tee to green: Only two courses saw average drives going further, Summerlin was ranked 17th in driving accuracy and only seven courses saw more greens hit.  So this is the combination of those stats
  • Hole Proximity: Average greens were 7,500 square feet at Summerlin which is average on the PGA Tour in green size.  In proximity to hole Sum merlin ranked 5th
  • Sand Saves: Summerlin has 51 greenside greens which found 606 balls.  The course ranked 9th in getting it up and down from those bunkers.

Click any column title in the table header to sort columns.

Here is a link to all the players with 2015 stats that are in the Shriners Field

 

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open:

Key stat for the winner:

Making lots of birdies is important.  The average for the last 18 years is 27 and a half.  Since the event went to 72 holes in 2004 it’s been 24 and a half which averages just a notch over six birdies a round.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

  • With fairways that are wide open, fairways with lots of roll, dominating the par 5s has been a key.  It’s also interesting to note that in the last ten years the winners have averaged 11 under par on the par 4s.  Last year Ben Martin was 9 under while in 2014 Webb Simpson was 12 under the same as Ryan Moore was in 2012. Jonathan Byrd was the best at 14 under in 2010 while the least lowest was 6 under by George McNeill in 2007.
  • Being an accurate driver, a long driver or a person that hits a lot of greens doesn’t give you a big advantage.  Scrambling is very important plus not making many bogeys.  If there ever was a tournament that favors the newcomer, this is it.
  • Most of the time the weather is wonderful, but every now and then high winds bring big challenges to the players, those that can handle these conditions have the advantage.  But for this year look for perfect conditions with very little wind so scoring will be low
  • You have to realize were your at, in Las Vegas “lady luck” is very important in winning, a lot of players that you would never think would win have found the “luck factor” in victory.

Who to watch for at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

Best Bets:

Brooks Koepka

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T4 CUT

Think he will have a breakout year in 2016. He is 10th in par breakers for the year as he tends to make lot’s of birdies. Need I say that the last desert course he played things turned out great as he won the Waste Management Phoenix Open.

Webb Simpson

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T4 Win T4 CUT

Course is perfect for his ball striking game as he ranked 7th last year on the PGA Tour in strokes gain tee-to-green. Also past record in not only this event but other desert events makes him a favorite.

Kevin Na

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
WD CUT T22 Win T45 T15 T19 T24 WD

Past champion of this event, he played well last week and could of won.

Best of the rest:

Rickie Fowler

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T22 T7

Returns to this event after not playing it in five years. Was T-7th the first time he played here in 2009, he makes lot’s of birdies and eagles and has control of his game to do well this week.

Tony Finau

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T7

His type of course, does make lot’s of birdies. Played well last year at Summerlin.

Brandt Snedeker

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T10 T24

Got better after every round at Frys, he can do very well at Summerlin.

Emiliano Grillo

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Could lightning strike twice in two weeks? Yes it can I see Grillo’s good play continuing to this week.

Solid contenders

Jason Bohn

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T18 T2 T8 T49 T14 T23

Had it won last week in Napa but let nerves get the best of him. Should of been taught a lesson over that, comes to Summerlin with the tools to do well. He ranked 20th in par breakers and 3rd in hole proximity so look for good things from him.

Ryan Moore

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
CUT T9 Win CUT T7 T24 T54 T85 T16

May of missed the cut last year but look for him to bounce back and possibly be in contention.

Jimmy Walker

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T4 T12 T10 CUT CUT CUT

Hasn’t played well in months, but with the fall coming on Walker does his best work from October to March. I can see him playing very well this week and winning.

Charley Hoffman

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
CUT 4 CUT T40 CUT 6 T15 CUT T5

Has seen some good finishes at this event so you never know when his time will come.

Long shots that could come through:

Patrick Rodgers

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
CUT

Guy has the game to be the next youngster to win. This could be a great place for him despite missing the cut last year.

Charles Howell III

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T18 T5 CUT T18 T54 T10 CUT CUT 5 CUT T18

Coming to that part of the year in which Howell always shines. Think it has more to do with a west coast thing, look for him to play well this week.

Will Wilcox

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Playing in this event for the first time, in our keys to playing well at Summerlin he was the best with all the right stats to play great this week.

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