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BlogCIMB Classic Preview and Picks

CIMB Classic

October 29th – November 1st, 2015

Kuala Lumpur Golf & C.C.

Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

Par: 72 / Yardage:

Purse: $7 Million

with $1,026,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Ryan Moore

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 18 of the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with the highest rank player being #7 Henrik Stenson.  The other top 50 players are #11 Sergio Garcia, #15 Hideki Matsuyama, #16 Adam Scott, #19 Patrick Reed, #21 Kevin Na, #22 Branden Grace, #24 Paul Casey, #33 Robert Streb, #34 Kevin Kisner, #37 Anirban Lahiri, #38 Marc Leishman, #39 Danny Lee, #42 Scott Piercy, #43 Daniel Berger and #44 David Lingmerth.

Last year there were 18 top 50 players, so two less this year.

The field includes 11 of the Top 25 on last year’s final FedEx point standings for 2015.  Those players includes #2 Henrik Stenson, #6 Robert Streb, #8 Patrick Reed, #10 Danny Lee, #17 Kevin Kisner, #19 Paul Casey, #20 Hideki Matsuyama, #21 David Lingmerth, #22 Steven Bowditch, #24 Ben Martin and #25 Ryan Moore.

The field includes 9 players in the top 25 on last year’s PGA Tour money list, #2 Henrik Stenson, #13 Danny Lee, #14 Robert Streb, #15 Hideki Matsuyama, #18 Patrick Reed, #20 Kevin Kisner, #21 Paul Casey, #23 Steven Bowditch and #25 Daniel Berger

The field includes 3 past champions: Ryan Moore (2015 & ’14), Nick Watney (2012) and Ben Crane (2010).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the CIMB Classic field is our performance chart listed by average finish. One last way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at CIMB Classic in the last two years or our  sortable 5-year glance at the CIMB Classic.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

**NOTE**

One thing to look for is our new GOLFstats IQ.  For those that play in fantasy golf it’s a perfect way to help you pick those players in Draft Kings and Victiv games.  You can customize the list of those in the tournaments, to look back a couple or many years of tournament stats and you can go back a couple or ten weeks prior to the tournament.  On top of that, all the stats are fully sortable to help you pick your six players, we even give you their value for the week to help you chose.

That’s GOLFstats IQ, give it a try and tell us what you think of it

24/7 GOLF

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We have the perfect solution for you.  If you own a Iphone or a Ipad we have developed a perfect app called 24/7 GOLF.

It gives you everything that you need to know about golf, you have all the players results and every tournament result, again at your fingertips.  It’s very easy to use and you can take a good amout of GOLFstats with you everyplace.  No need to get home and check things out on your computer at home, you can answer any question with your Ipad.

So check it out, just hit this link to get 24/7 GOLF:

Screen Shot 2015-04-23 at 12.01.34 AM

 

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the CIMB Classic

Player Shriners Hong Kong Frys.com Open Portugal Masters British Masters Dunhill Links Tour Championship European Open BMW Champ. Italian Open Deutsche Bank The Barclays KLM Open
Kevin Na
(289 pts)
T2
(100)
DNP
 
2
(100)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T16
(34)
DNP
 
T10
(40)
DNP
 
T60
(0)
T20
(15)
DNP
 
Henrik Stenson
(240 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T2
(100)
DNP
 
T10
(40)
DNP
 
2
(50)
2
(50)
DNP
 
Daniel Berger
(185 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T17
(33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T12
(38)
DNP
 
2
(100)
DNP
 
T12
(19)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
Patrick Reed
(175 pts)
DNP
 
T3
(90)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
27
(23)
DNP
 
T28
(22)
DNP
 
T4
(40)
T62
(0)
DNP
 
Cameron Tringale
(168 pts)
T2
(100)
DNP
 
T64
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T7
(55)
DNP
 
T44
(3)
T30
(10)
DNP
 
Hideki Matsuyama
(157 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T17
(33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T12
(38)
DNP
 
T7
(55)
DNP
 
T25
(12.5)
T13
(18.5)
DNP
 
Scott Piercy
(150.33 pts)
T25
(25)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T27
(15.33)
25
(25)
DNP
 
3
(90)
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
T62
(0)
DNP
 
Justin Thomas
(144 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
T3
(90)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T13
(37)
DNP
 
T56
(0)
T16
(17)
DNP
 
Danny Lee
(121.5 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T2
(100)
DNP
 
T47
(3)
DNP
 
T33
(8.5)
T30
(10)
DNP
 
Daniel Summerhays
(113.5 pts)
T16
(34)
DNP
 
T32
(18)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T41
(9)
DNP
 
T9
(22.5)
T6
(30)
DNP
 
Alex Cejka
(100.5 pts)
T2
(100)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T39
(5.5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
Paul Casey
(100 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T5
(70)
DNP
 
T23
(27)
DNP
 
WD
(-2.5)
T39
(5.5)
DNP
 
Kevin Kisner
(90 pts)
T25
(25)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
28
(22)
DNP
 
T41
(9)
DNP
 
T12
(19)
T20
(15)
DNP
 
Harris English
(88 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T22
(28)
DNP
 
T19
(31)
DNP
 
T12
(19)
T30
(10)
DNP
 
Luke Donald
(81.83 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T5
(70)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T39
(5.5)
T24
(13)
DNP
 
Nick Watney
(68 pts)
T11
(39)
DNP
 
T64
(0)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T19
(31)
DNP
 
T44
(3)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
Tony Finau
(67 pts)
T16
(34)
DNP
 
T32
(18)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T47
(3)
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
T16
(17)
DNP
 
Robert Streb
(60 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T18
(32)
DNP
 
T23
(27)
DNP
 
T39
(5.5)
T39
(5.5)
DNP
 
Ryan Moore
(59 pts)
T43
(7)
DNP
 
T10
(40)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T28
(22)
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
Brendan Steele
(58 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T17
(33)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T13
(37)
DNP
 
T44
(3)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
Kyle Reifers
(57.5 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
T6
(60)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T25
(12.5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
Anirban Lahiri
(55 pts)
DNP
 
T7
(55)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Brendon De Jonge
(54 pts)
T13
(37)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T32
(18)
DNP
 
T22
(14)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
Steven Bowditch
(50.5 pts)
80
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T12
(38)
DNP
 
T41
(9)
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
T13
(18.5)
DNP
 
Kevin Chappell
(49 pts)
T62
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T23
(27)
DNP
 
T12
(19)
T24
(13)
DNP
 

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the CIMB Classic

Player Shriners Hong Kong Frys.com Open Portugal Masters British Masters Dunhill Links Tour Championship European Open BMW Champ. Italian Open Deutsche Bank The Barclays KLM Open
Jon Curran
(-25 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
Cameron Smith
(-20 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Richard T. Lee
(-16.67 pts)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
Scott Brown
(-15 pts)
T73
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T69
(0)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
Matt Every
(-15 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
WD
(-5)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
John Peterson
(-15 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
Chesson Hadley
(-15 pts)
T62
(0)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
74
(0)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 
Troy Merritt
(-14.5 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T62
(0)
DNP
 
T39
(5.5)
T53
(0)
DNP
 
Paul Peterson
(-13.67 pts)
DNP
 
CUT
(-10)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
T41
(3)
Marc Leishman
(-10 pts)
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
DNP
 
CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
 

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

Very interesting first two events of the new year.  Emiliano Grillo was on every bodies radar screen so there was no surprise when he won the Fry’s.com Open.  But when Smylie Kaufman won the Shriners, many people wondered what is up.  Two events and both of them won by players that just got their tour cards last month, through the Web.Com Tour qualifying.  Not much experience for the two, Kaufman only had 4 PGA Tour starts under his wing while Grillo had 7.  But Grillo was very misleading since he played in 90 European Tour events between 2012 and ’15.  Grillo came close to winning both the 2014 Dubai Desert Classic and the 2015 Volvo China Open.  Grillo has played all over the world, experience that can’t be found by a going to college like Smylie Kaufman did.  He graduated in 2014 from LSU and at the end of 2014 qualified for the Web.Com Tour.  He spent the whole year playing on that tour, winning the United Leasing Championship in May and then finishing runner-up at the Price Cutter Charity in August.  He was 6th on the Web.Com tour money list, so he wasn’t a bad player.  With the wins both Grillo and Kaufman secure trips to the 2016 Hyundai, Arnold Palmer, Masters, Players Championship, Memorial and PGA Championship.

The big question will be what the future of these players are.  We are seeing a switch to the younger player.  The last six winners on the PGA Tour going back to Jason Day at the Barclays are 27 and younger.  Going back the last 51 events on the PGA Tour back to Billy Horschel winning last year’s BMW Championship, 28 of the winners have been 27 years old or younger.  On the other end of the Spectrum, only five players (Padraig Harrington, Alex Cejka, Jim Furyk, J.J. Henry and Davis Love III) were over 40 so things are shifting.

This week we will not see any Web.Com Tour graduate win.  Only 78 players are in the field and a dozen or so are off the Asian Tour.  Of the 65 others they were off the FedEx Cup point list for 2015 so in reality this is a pretty good event for players who don’t mind a bit of hassle.  First it’s 9,200 miles from Las Vegas to Malaysia and will take almost 24 hours to get there.  Making things even tougher, for those that played on Sunday in Vegas he would have to get to either L.A. or San Francisco on Sunday night and then endure a close to 24 hour flight to Kuala Lumpur.  With the 9 hour time change and going over the international dateline that means you would get in about midnight Tuesday night/Wednesday morning.  Between that and a major dose of jet-lag, I would say that it will be tough for those that play on Sunday in Las Vegas.  Still for the winner it’s a cool $1.2 million, if you finish inside the top-20 you get just over $100,000.  Even for those that finish at the bottom, last place pays $13,160 not a bad check for a week spent in Malaysia.

With this being the first week of the European Tour playoffs, the CIMB did get a great field, including European stand-outs Henrik Stenson and Sergio Garcia.  Still it could be a challenge for this event to be recognized by people in the states watching it in the middle of the morning. In the fall it’s hard to get the interest of fans to events like the Fry’s and Shriners, now with a 12 hour time change and lack of media reporting, a lot of people may not care about this week and next.  Guess time will show, but for now they have good sponsors and for this week’s event in Malaysia it will showcase that country and help expand golf in Asia.

Course information:

This will be the third year that this event is being played at Kuala Lumpur Golf and Country Club.  The first three years of this event was played at The Mines Resort.  So for many in the field they won’t have much of an advantage or even seen the course before this week, but for those that played on the European Tour Kuala Lumpur Golf & C.C. has been used the last four years in the Maybank Malaysian Open which ended it’s 15 year run in 2013 with Kiradech Aphibarnrat winning. (it was brought back in 2015 and won by Anirban Lahiri)  Kuala Lumpur is very popular, a work horse on professional tours, just three weeks ago it held the Sime Darby LPGA Malaysia which was won by Jessica Korda.  So the course has the background for holding professional events.

The course lies just seven miles from downtown Kuala Lumpur and is part of a 36 hole complex that was opened in 1991.  Both the West and East course opened in 1991 and after the 2006 Malaysian was played on the west course, it underwent a total redesign.  Ted and Geoff Parslow of design firm E&G Parslow and Associates extensively reconstructed the layout over a period of eighteen months. The revamped West course reopened in October 2008 and a couple of months later held the Malaysian Open.

Because of the hot and humid weather, a special type of grass that many pros haven’t seen is used on the course, Seashore Paspalum.   The grass gives the course the reputation as the best groomed course in Asia.  The course is very fair, what you see is what you get.  Built on the site of a former rubber estate the course has greens that  don’t have much undulation and average 6,500 square feet.  It’s got over 90 bunkers and seven lakes come into play on 10 holes but from past events held on it scores will be low, probably in the 15 to 18 under range for this week.  So look for a lot of birdies to be made and lot’s of good putting.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the CIMB Classic:

Key thing for the winner:

The biggest key is being able to survive what will be tough conditions weather wise.  Each day it’s going to be 90 degrees with over 95% humidity.  In looking at a weather report for the next week each day has 100% chance of thunderstorms, mostly in the afternoon so it will take a special breed of player to win.  So look for a player that has lot’s of experience in playing in what could be considered Florida weather in July.  Patience will be important, the last couple of years has been tough and in the 2014 event heavy rain came down every day and they had to finish the tournament on Monday morning.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

  • Past winners on this course seem to putt very well.  In looking at the last seven winners at Kuala Lumpur, Ryan Moore, Kiradech Aphibarnrat, Louis Oosthuizen, Matteo Manassero, Seung-Yul Noh and Charlie Wi do have one thing in commend, they don’t overpower the ball and rely on good putting.
  • Since the event is wide open with not many folks playing on this course, look at our who’s hot chart to see which player in the field has been playing the best of late.  On paper it would seem that those that come from Las Vegas will have problems, but Ryan Moore has won the last two years playing in Las Vegas.  Still I would prefer a player like Henrik Stenson, Sergio Garcia and Branden Grace who didn’t have to rush getting to Malaysia and got use to the time change.

 

Who to watch for at the CIMB Classic

Best Bets:

Henrik Stenson

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Is well rested and ready to go, he is a great ball striker that should do very well at Kuala Lumpur.

Branden Grace

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Another well rested player, he has played at Kuala Lump in 2012 and finished T40th. But his ball striking is something that will help him get around the course.

Gary Woodland

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T2 2

Hitting it long has proven to be a big advantage for Woodland who has been runner-up the last two years.

Best of the rest:

Anirban Lahiri

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T52 T35 T26

Guess who the last male winner was at Kuala Lumpur? It was Lahiri, who won the Maybank Malaysian Open on this course just last Feburary and he was T-10th in 2014 so watch him this week

Kevin Na

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T2 T10 T21

Finished runner-up in the last two events on the PGA Tour, he also was runner-up at Kuala Lumpur last year.

Patrick Reed

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T26 T40

Have to watch him the next two weeks, he was T-3rd in Hong Kong and could be ready to go this week.

Sergio Garcia

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T2 T11

Is well rested, only has played once in last ten weeks, he has played well at Kuala Lumpur.

Solid contenders

Hideki Matsuyama

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T21 T25

Has played the last two years and struggled, but look for that to change this week.

Adam Scott

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T11

Amazing, he is playing this week. He will be well watched to see if the new caddy and new putting style will get him going again.

Paul Casey

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T37

He is well rested and ready to get his 2016 season rolling.

Ryan Moore

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
Win Win WD T5

Going for the hat-trick, has been 31 under par in his last eight rounds at Kuala Lumpur.

Long shots that could come through:

Justin Thomas

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Was T-3rd at Frys and took the week off to get to Malaysia in plenty of time to get himself ready to play this week.

Tony Finau

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

See if his length will help him this week.

S.S.P. Chawrasia

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
47

Another who did well at Kuala Lumpur in February, he was T-10th.

Comments

  1. We are not throwing the towel in on the course keys, are we?

  2. Absolutely not, It’s going to be an important tool in doing picks.
    Problem is that past data for this course is terrible, only about a half a dozen categories to pick from like Greens hit, fairways hit, birdies, # of putts and par 3, 4 and 5 averages.
    To do the course keys you have to be able to look at all stats that are part of shotlink. Can’t do it for this course, next week’s HSBC and during the year the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-am and Humana Challenge. Again those courses have limited data so the course keys wouldn’t be good.

    You will see it return next week for the Sanderson Farms.

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