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BlogSanderson Preview and Picks

Sanderson Farms Championship

November 5th – 8th, 2015

Country Club of Jackson

Jackson, Miss.

Par: 72 / Yardage:

Purse: $4.1 million

with $720,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Nick Taylor

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 5 of the top-100 in the latest Official World Rankings, #62 Brendon Todd, #67 Jason Bohn, #76 Smylie Kaufman, #80 Patton Kizzire and #96 Patrick Rodgers.

The field includes 7 of the Top-25 on this year’s FedEx Cup list, #3 Smylie Kaufman, #6 Jason Bohn, #12 Tyrone Van Aswegen, #14 Brett Stegmaier, #15 Patton Kizzire, #16 Patrick Rodgers and #20 William McGirt.

The field includes 6 past champions: Nick Taylor (2015), Scott Stallings (2012), Will MacKenzie (2008), D.J. Trahan (2006), Heath Slocum (2005) and Cameron Beckman (2001).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the Sanderson Farms field is our performance chart listed by average finish.  One last way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at Sanderson Farms in the last five years or check out our brand new and sortable 8-year glance at the Sanderson Farms.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

**NOTE**

One thing to look for is our new GOLFstats IQ.  For those that play in fantasy golf it’s a perfect way to help you pick those players in Draft Kings and Victiv games.  You can customize the list of those in the tournaments, to look back a couple or many years of tournament stats and you can go back a couple or ten weeks prior to the tournament.  On top of that, all the stats are fully sortable to help you pick your six players, we even give you their value for the week to help you chose.

That’s GOLFstats IQ, give it a try and tell us what you think of it

24/7 GOLF

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We have the perfect solution for you.  If you own a Iphone or a Ipad we have developed a perfect app called 24/7 GOLF.

It gives you everything that you need to know about golf, you have all the players results and every tournament result, again at your fingertips.  It’s very easy to use and you can take a good amout of GOLFstats with you everyplace.  No need to get home and check things out on your computer at home, you can answer any question with your Ipad.

So check it out, just hit this link to get 24/7 GOLF:

Screen Shot 2015-04-23 at 12.01.34 AM

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Sanderson Farms Championship

Player CIMB Classic Turkish Open Shriners Hospitals Hong Kong Frys.com Open Portugal Masters British Masters Dunhill Links Tour Championship European Open BMW Championship Deutsche Bank The Barclays
Jason Bohn
(207.5 pts)
DNP DNP T2
(100)
DNP T3
(90)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T64
(0)
CUT
(-5)
T9
(22.5)
Smylie Kaufman
(172 pts)
DNP DNP Win
(132)
DNP T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Brett Stegmaier
(100 pts)
DNP DNP T2
(100)
DNP T74
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Patton Kizzire
(100 pts)
DNP DNP T2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Patrick Rodgers
(97 pts)
DNP DNP T13
(37)
DNP T6
(60)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Tyrone Van Aswegen
(90 pts)
DNP DNP T56
(0)
DNP T3
(90)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
William McGirt
(84.5 pts)
DNP DNP T8
(50)
DNP T30
(20)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T49
(0.5)
T12
(19)
CUT
(-5)
Jhonattan Vegas
(47 pts)
DNP DNP T43
(7)
DNP T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Brendon Todd
(43.5 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T26
(24)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T23
(13.5)
T44
(3)
T24
(13)
Kevin Streelman
(43 pts)
DNP DNP T16
(34)
DNP T41
(9)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T69
(0)
T53
(0)
Jamie Lovemark
(39 pts)
DNP DNP T13
(37)
DNP T48
(2)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Mark Hubbard
(35 pts)
DNP DNP T35
(15)
DNP T30
(20)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Michael Kim
(34 pts)
DNP DNP T16
(34)
DNP T61
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Luke Guthrie
(30 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Andrew Loupe
(30 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Robert Karlsson
(27.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T13
(24.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T36
(9.33)
DNP DNP DNP
Will Wilcox
(25 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
Scott Stallings
(24 pts)
DNP DNP T16
(34)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Lucas Glover
(23 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T17
(33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Miguel Angel Carballo
(18 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T32
(18)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
David Toms
(18 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T32
(18)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Nick Taylor
(18 pts)
T47
(3)
DNP T25
(25)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T53
(0)
Freddie Jacobson
(18 pts)
DNP DNP 71
(0)
DNP T32
(18)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
D.H. Lee
(15 pts)
DNP DNP T35
(15)
DNP T55
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Ricky Barnes
(15 pts)
DNP DNP T25
(25)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Sanderson Farms Championship

Player CIMB Classic Turkish Open Shriners Hospitals Hong Kong Frys.com Open Portugal Masters British Masters Dunhill Links Tour Championship European Open BMW Championship Deutsche Bank The Barclays
Tim Clark
(-25 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
John Huh
(-25 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
Andres Gonzales
(-25 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
Bronson Burgoon
(-20 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Dawie Van der walt
(-20 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Rhein Gibson
(-20 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Derek Fathauer
(-20 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Seung-Yul Noh
(-20 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Kelly Kraft
(-20 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Jeff Overton
(-20 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T69
(0)

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

So while the bulk of marquee players are China playing in the WGC-HSBC, those that couldn’t get into that event are in Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Championship.  It’s a good week to earn of few dollars more and add up some FedEx Cup points to your total.  In the past this event has been in July opposite of the British Open, now it’s changed to November.  Along with the change is a new course, after 19 years at Annandale Country Club in Madison, Miss., the Sanderson Farms Championship moved locations to the Country Club of Jackson last year. Prior to that, the tournament spent eight years in Hattiesburg, Miss.

Here are some tournament and course information:

This event has been played in Mississippi since 1968.  In the beginning it was an unofficial event and became an official event on the PGA Tour in 1986.  In it’s first year and until 1993, it played opposite to the Masters.  It was called the Deposit Guaranty and was played at Hattisburg C.C. in Hattiesburg, Miss.  Not only did the date change to July and opposite the British Open, in 1994 the event moved to Madison, Miss and the Annandale Country Club.  It again was moved in the schedule in 1999 when  it was opposite the Tour Championship, the Ryder Cup and the Presidents Cup.  In 2011 it switched back to July and the same week as the British Open with Sanderson Farms taking over in 2013.  Not only did the date change but the course will be different for the first time in 20 years as it is moving to The Country Club of Jackson.

The course wasn’t the whole reason for the change, Unlike Annandale the the country club offers more than 120,000 square feet of roofed infrastructure which means more money will be donated to charity.  The course is also terrific and has gone through a lot of changes since the summer.  The biggest change is the fairways have been narrowed and a second cut added with the rough being allowed to grow in.

The course is a John Fought design that features “Golden Age” architectural features with pushed up greens and closely mown run off areas. If the course stays dry, the greens will be treacherous and could make things interesting.

The site had an interesting history because it was better know in Mississippi not for golf but were in 1966 it was the site of a famous raid that caused liquor to be legalization in the state.  So the Country Club of Jackson will this week be remembers as the site that changed the last dry state in the United States instead of for the Sanderson Farms Championship.

COURSE KEYS

A new item to help gauge how a player needs to play a course and then look at his yearly stats to help us find the players with the best totals.

Each course has historical stats for different stats catagories and ranks them with the other courses on the PGA Tour for that year.  So we are going to take the four stat catagories that are tough for the week and then take the players in the field, look for their ranking for those stats compared to all the other players.  We add up their rankings for the four different catagories and figure out which players are top for the week.  We are still working on the format but here is a taste of what we are working on, giving out the top-20 in this year’s field off of our list:

Key for playing well at Country Club of Jackson:

This is based on the most important stats for Country Club of Jackson, based on data from last years Sanderson Farms championship, and using data from all the players for with stats from 2016.
*Greens in Regulation: It was hard hitting greens last year at C.C. of Jackson as the field hit 70.18% of them. This ranked it 38th hardest of the 52 courses so players tended to hit lot’s of greens. Of those that finished in the top-ten last year, eight of them were in the top-13 of those that played 72 holes, with Nick Taylor finishing T-3rd in that stat and runner-up Jason Bohn finishing T-1st. So to do well, you have to hit lot’s of greens.
*Total driving: Of those in the field, the course ranked 11th in both driving distance and driving accuracy. Since this is such a premium we are using the stats from total driving which accounts for both stats.
*Proximity to Hole: In this stat, C.C. of Jackson ranked T-10th
*Par 5 average: The four par 5s were the 8th hardest par 5s on the PGA Tour last year. The 612 yard fifth hole played almost to par at 4.983. So by winner Nick Taylor playing them at 9 under par with only one player better (Justin Thomas, 10 under finished T-4th) you can see that playing well on the par 5s is important in scoring low.

Click any column title in the table header to sort columns.

 

Here is the link to all the players in the Sanderson Farms field with stats for 2016

 

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the Sanderson Farms Championship:

  • With a new course it’s always up for grabs, nobody has any history and it will take a few years before we see who gains an advantage playing here.  But we learned a lot from last year, first that hitting greens is importnat. C.C. of Jackson ranked 38th hardest of the 52 courses so players tended to hit lot’s of greens. Of those that finished in the top-ten last year, eight of them were in the top-13 of those that played 72 holes, with Nick Taylor finishing T-3rd in that stat and runner-up Jason Bohn finishing T-1st. So to do well, you have to hit lot’s of greens.
  • On the face of it we’re looking at a pretty long golf course, with the par-five fifth hole able to stretch beyond 600 yards before the difficult-looking sixth at close to 500. Holes 14 and 15 would look to offer up birdie opportunities before a tough closing stretch, on the Dick Wilson design course in which the finishing hole is a 505 yard, par 4.  Oh, for the record there is no let-up on the par-4s, only one the 15th is under 400 yards so maybe a power hitter is the player to look for.  The par 5s played tough last year as they were the 8th hardest par 5s on the PGA Tour.  The 612 yard fifth hole played almost to par at 4.983. So by winner Nick Taylor playing them at 9 under par with only one player better (Justin Thomas, 10 under finished T-4th) you can see that playing well on the par 5s is important in scoring low.
  • This is also one of those courses that you have to hit it long and straight.  Last year it ranked 11th in both driving distance and driving accuracy.
  • Unfortunately the weather is going to be terrible this week.  In looking at the long range forecast each day is going to have rain and over the weekend it will be a bit cold.  So those that play well in rain and poor weather will be players to look for.

Who to watch for at the Sanderson Farms Championship

Best Bets:

Jason Bohn

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T2 T9 2 CUT T23 T50 T34

Got his year off to a great start with his T-3rd at the Frys and T-2nd at the Shriners Hospital. After a week off he is playing in Mississippi in the Sanderson Farms and he has to be the favorite. He was T-2nd last year, the first year it was played at the Country Club of Jackson and also had a 2nd in 2012 along with a T-9th in 2013. As we said last week, Bohn has improved his greens hit in 2016 with a 77.8% in his first eight rounds and that will help him play well at the Country Club of Jackson.

Patrick Rodgers

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Playing in this event for the first time, he was T-13th in Vegas and T-6th at Frys.com.

Smylie Kaufman

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

He is back and will be watched this year despite never seeing the course. Has some things working for him, first he is a great driver and has played par 5s good, so watch him.

Best of the rest:

William McGirt

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
7 T26 T5 T27

Good track record in this event along with finished T-8th in Vegas and T-30th at the Frys.com.

Patton Kizzire

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
CUT

Another playing in this event for the first time, he could be the next rookie winner on the PGA Tour. Has all the tools, showed it by finished T-2nd at Vegas. In our course keys he was third, thanks to good greens in regulation (10th) and proximity to the hole (38th).

Brett Stegmaier

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Another first-timer he was also T-2nd in Vegas. Hit’s it long and does well on the par 5s, look for him to do well.

Boo Weekley

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T2 T21 T36 T3

Was 2nd last year and a great ball striker that could do very well this week.

Solid contenders

Will Wilcox

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T14

Was T-14th last year and has been good this year.

Graham DeLaet

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T5

Still waiting to see when he is going to win, is looking for his game but this guy does play well in bad weather.

Jhonattan Vegas

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Playing for the first time, but has shown some promise this year.

Kevin Streelman

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Another first-timer who has the tools.

Long shots that could come through:

Brendon Todd

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T14 T72

One of those journeyman guys who could do well anytime.

Vaughn Taylor

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
T20 T17 T49 T45 WD WD CUT

Another journeyman that is looking for his third win.

Ollie Schniederjans

2015 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04 ’03
First time playing in this event

Another young gun that we look at as being a star in the future.

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