Welcome to GOLFstats.com! You are currently viewing one of our Preview and Picks post that we publish each week. We also publish special Performance Charts for the tournaments, analyzing results over the past 8 years, a special DraftKings Picks Post, analyzing what picks are the best this week for the DraftKings games, and we do a weekly Key Fantasy Stats Post detailing what stats are most important for this weeks tournament and course, and which players excel in those stats. Very useful!
Our data is updated daily. To access all this info, and so much more, just CLICK HERE to SIGN UP for GOLFstats!

BlogQatar Masters Preview and Picks

Commercialbank Qatar Masters

January 27th – 30th, 2016

Doha G.C.

Doha, Qatar

Par: 72 / Yardage:

Purse: $2.5 million

with $407,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Branden Grace

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes20 of the top-100 in the last Official World Ranks and 9 of the top-50 in the latest Official World Rankings. Those in the field are: #11 Branden Grace, #12 Sergio Garcia, #18 Louis Oosthuizen, #29 Thongchai Jaidee, #34 Bernd Wiesberger, #40 Kiradech Aphibarnrat, #42 Chris Wood, #43 Matthew Fitzpatrick and #48 Soren Kjeldsen.

Last year the event had 7 top-50 players.

The field includes 11 of the Top-25 on the Race to Dubai standings for 2016.  Those players are #2 Branden Grace, #3 Chris Wood, #5 Thomas Pieters, #8 Nathan Holman, #10 Brandon Stone, #11 Gregory  Boyd #2 Haydn Porteous #13 Thongchai Jaidee, #18 Joost Luiten, #19 Benjamin Hebert and #22 Louis Oosthuizen.

The field includes nine past champions: Branden Grace – 2015, Sergio Garcia – 2014, Chris Wood – 2013, Paul Lawrie – 2012 & 1999, Thomas Bjorn – 2011, Robert Karlsson – 2010, Alvaro Quiros – 2009, Ernie Els – 2005 and Darren Fichardt – 2003

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the CommercialBank Qatar Masters field is our performance chart listed by average finish. One last way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the CommercialBank Qatar Masters  in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the CommercialBank Qatar Masters.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

 

 

 

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Commercialbank Qatar Masters

Player Abu Dhabi Joburg Open South African Open Nedbank Challenge Australian PGA Alfred Dunhill DP World BMW Masters HSBC Champions Turkish Airlines Open Hong Kong
Branden Grace
(271 pts)
T5
(70)
DNP T4
(80)
T4
(26.67)
DNP T8
(16.67)
3
(45)
T22
(9.33)
T5
(23.33)
DNP DNP
Brandon Stone
(188.67 pts)
T26
(24)
T28
(22)
Win
(132)
DNP DNP T18
(10.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Matthew Fitzpatrick
(144 pts)
T26
(24)
DNP DNP T16
(11.33)
DNP DNP T4
(40)
T13
(12.33)
T7
(18.33)
T26
(8)
T3
(30)
Thomas Pieters
(143.33 pts)
2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T22
(14)
T13
(12.33)
T23
(9)
T26
(8)
DNP
Trevor Fisher Jr
(126.33 pts)
T16
(34)
T13
(37)
T8
(50)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T24
(8.67)
T58
(0)
T56
(0)
DNP
Haydn Porteous
(108.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
Win
(132)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Joost Luiten
(104.17 pts)
T5
(70)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T5
(23.33)
T31
(9.5)
T46
(1.33)
DNP T60
(0)
DNP
Thongchai Jaidee
(91.83 pts)
T46
(4)
DNP DNP T9
(15)
DNP DNP T31
(9.5)
T3
(30)
T11
(13)
T26
(8)
T13
(12.33)
Marcel Siem
(91 pts)
T5
(70)
T22
(28)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T60
(0)
DNP T41
(3)
DNP
David Howell
(90 pts)
T35
(15)
T13
(37)
T38
(12)
DNP DNP DNP T42
(4)
T17
(11)
T30
(6.67)
T37
(4.33)
DNP
Alejandro Canizares
(89.67 pts)
T5
(70)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T22
(14)
T63
(0)
DNP T33
(5.67)
DNP
Daniel Brooks
(86.67 pts)
T61
(0)
T76
(0)
3
(90)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Johan Carlsson
(85.67 pts)
T16
(34)
T7
(55)
66
(0)
DNP DNP T59
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Kristoffer Broberg
(75.83 pts)
T35
(15)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T17
(16.5)
Win
(44)
DNP T50
(0.33)
DNP
Gregory Bourdy
(74.33 pts)
T54
(0)
DNP T21
(29)
DNP DNP 2
(33.33)
T38
(6)
T41
(3)
DNP T41
(3)
DNP
Chris Wood
(71.17 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP 3
(30)
DNP DNP T13
(18.5)
T22
(9.33)
T51
(0)
5
(23.33)
DNP
Bernd Wiesberger
(68.83 pts)
T26
(24)
DNP DNP T25
(8.33)
DNP DNP T17
(16.5)
T24
(8.67)
T17
(11)
T50
(0.33)
DNP
Kiradech Aphibarnrat
(68.33 pts)
T72
(0)
DNP DNP T16
(11.33)
DNP DNP T22
(14)
T31
(6.33)
T30
(6.67)
3
(30)
DNP
Lucas Bjerregaard
(67.5 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T31
(9.5)
T3
(30)
DNP T26
(8)
2
(33.33)
Bjorn Akesson
(66.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T3
(90)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T62
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
David Drysdale
(65.33 pts)
T22
(28)
CUT
(-10)
T27
(23)
DNP DNP T18
(10.67)
DNP DNP DNP T41
(3)
T18
(10.67)
Rafael Cabrera-Bello
(64.33 pts)
T14
(36)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T22
(14)
T46
(1.33)
DNP T11
(13)
DNP
Robert Rock
(62 pts)
T26
(24)
DNP T12
(38)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T56
(0)
DNP
Thomas Linard
(61.33 pts)
DNP DNP T12
(38)
DNP DNP T5
(23.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Soren Kjeldsen
(56.33 pts)
T54
(0)
DNP DNP 29
(7)
DNP DNP T10
(20)
T9
(15)
T46
(1.33)
T11
(13)
DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Commercialbank Qatar Masters

Player Abu Dhabi Joburg Open South African Open Nedbank Challenge Australian PGA Alfred Dunhill DP World BMW Masters HSBC Champions Turkish Airlines Open Hong Kong
Nacho Elvira
(-33.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Trevor Immelman
(-30 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Jin Jeong
(-30 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Pelle Edberg
(-26.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP T50
(0.33)
DNP
Borja Virto Astudillo
(-23.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T21
(9.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
John Parry
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Oliver Wilson
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Joachim B. Hansen
(-23.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Jeff Winther
(-23.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Morten Orum Madsen
(-23.33 pts)
T66
(0)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP T56
(0)
DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

Have to wonder about this tournament.Seems to have problems getting really good fields anymore, players like Henrik Stenson, Justin Rose and Rory McIlroy just don’t play here.  On top of that, no top Americans are here so this event has lost a bit of it’s shine of late.

Very strange that Henrik Stenson didn’t play this year.  He had an excellent run in this event between 2005 and 2009, winning it once and finishing runner-up on three occasions. But with the advent of all his problems, personally, financially and with his game his next six visits to Qatar only produced two top-twenty finish.  Last year he was T-13th but for the first time since 2001 won’t be playing in the event.  Reason why, he was planning on playing but pulled out over the weekend to play if safe with his knee.  He had surgery on the right knee on December 9th and it’s still hurting him.  As he told Sport 360, “it’s been a struggle.  Not so much for the knee.  It’s getting a bit swollen from playing golf and walking but the foot is taking a lot of strain,” Stenson said.  So it’s just a precaution as he hopes to get some rest before playing at Dubai.

Tournament Information:

The second oldest of the three Desert Swing events, the Qatar Masters debuted in 1998 with Andrew Coltart becoming it’s first champion.  Over the years with the growth of appearance money being given the event gained more prestige with marquee winners like Adam Scott, Retief Goosen, Henrik Stenson, Thomas Bjorn and Sergio Garcia.  One oddity of the three Desert Swing events, it has never been won by an American or even had an American runner-up.

Course Information 

  • Played at the Doha Golf Club
  • Doha, Qatar – Par:  72 / Yardage: 7,400

Doha Golf Club is the only grass course in Qatar.  Millions of gallons of water are needed to keep the fairways and greens alive.  Course was built and opened 1996, Peter Harradine designed it.  He also built the Abu Dhabi Golf Course were last week’s event was held at.  It measures  7,388 yards, has eight artificial lakes weaving their way along most of the holes but coming into play on six hole. With the addition of a punishing rough made up of desert sand, rocks, trees, shrubs and long grass and cleverly bunkered fairways that twist and turn, the utmost accuracy will be of crucial importance.  To complete the transformation from desert to golf course, 1 300 palm trees, 10 000 trees and 5 000 shrubs were planted together with 65 cacti imported from the Arizona desert.

The key to playing the course is to have windless conditions.  If by chance the area is hit by the Shamal winds it makes the course very tough.  Back in 2012 the event was hit by these winds and the tournament had to be reduced.  The good news, the weather forecast is calling for great weather all four days with no rain and minimal winds. 

The Qatar Masters was first staged in 1998, it will be the third year in a row that the contest has a Wednesday start.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the CommercialBank Qatar Masters:

Key stat for the winner:

Hitting lot’s of greens is very important.  Of the six winners back to 2009 six of the seven were in the top-six in that stat

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

  • The Qatar Masters has been known as a tournament that produces low scores as the winner has had an average score of 16 under par.  Again watch the winds, that has a lot to do with the scoring.
  • You can’t call this course a long hitters paradise.  Yes Alvaro Quiros won in 2009 averaging the best of those in the field but since then the winners have been in the middle in hitting it long.
  • Mastering the par 4s is key, five of the last six winners have lower under totals on 4s than on the par 5s. Last year Branden Grace was 12 under on the par 4s and only 5 under on the par 5s.

Who to watch for at the Commercialbank Qatar Masters

Best Bets:

Branden Grace

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
Win T13 T6 T47

Has to be the favorite because of his good play and doing well on this course.

Alejandro Canizares

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
8 T5 CUT T25 CUT T22

Good track record in desert events, was T-5th last week in Abu Dhabi and played well the last two years here.

George Coetzee

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
12 T5 T2 T35

Has been in ccntention the last day in the last three starts in Qatar.

Best of the rest:

Sergio Garcia

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T46 Win T2 T5 T9 T24 T7 T7 T19

Should be the favorite but hasn’t played much of late and has a tendency to struggle in the stretch run.

Thongchai Jaidee

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T23 T33 T9 T20 T19 T32 CUT T25 T9 T24 T39 T12

You can never tell when he is ready to win again, plays well in the desert.

Louis Oosthuizen

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T34 T37 T14 T2 T25 T62 T8 CUT

January is always the month he shines in, look for him to surprise a few folks.

Rafael Cabrera-Bello

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T33 T3 T22 T35 T3 CUT

Has the length to overpower the course.

Solid contenders

Thomas Pieters

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T38

Finished 2nd last week and ready to prove himself with a win.

Chris Wood

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T43 Win T20 CUT T14

Past champion that shouldn’t be forgotten.

David Howell

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
CUT CUT T22 CUT 5 CUT T37 T7 T24 T8

Another ready to flex there muscle this week.

Mikko Ilonen

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
CUT 2 T9 T35 T49 T37 CUT CUT CUT

Almost won this event in 2014.

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
First time playing in this event

Long shots that could come through:

Peter Uihlein

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T58 T16 CUT

Returns to the European Tour, he could break out at any time.

Eddie Pepperell

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
4 T63 CUT

Shows some great potential.

Steve Webster

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
CUT T5 T4 T45 CUT T66 T13 61 T19 11 CUT

A couple of top-fives in 2014 and ’13 shows he can play well on the course.

Speak Your Mind

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.