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BlogPuerto Rico Preview and Picks

Puerto Rico Open

March 24th – 27th, 2016

Coco Beach Golf & C.C.

Rio Grande, Puerto Rico

Par: 72 / Yardage:

Purse: $3 million

with $540,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Alex Cejka

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

Dell Match Play Daily Fantasy Golf Blog

Check out our Dell Match Play fantasy golf blog in which we want to try and do is give fantasy golf players a better way of getting inside information on players.

We are also introducing

a new feature, called Sal’s Fantasy Golf Chat. It’s a page on Facebook in which I want to get everyone involved with discussing Fantasy Golf.  I want it to be a home for you to freely discuss your picks, thoughts on players and anything that has to do with professional tournaments.
So we have created a this special section for you to join, it’s at hit this link and I am hoping you will join us all.  This will be as much a viewer section as a product of GOLFstats, so we hope to make this a great experience for all.  We will also have some items from the Puerto Rico Open in the match play blog.

Looking forward to you all joining,
Thanks

Sal

——————————————————————————————————————-

This week’s field includes:

The field includes just 7 player from the top 100 in the latest Official World Rankings, #67 Ian Poulter, #77 George Coetzee, #88 Dean Burmester, #92 Luke Donald, #98 Cameron Smith, #99 Freddie Jacobson and #100 Hiroshi Iwata.

The field includes no top 25 players on the FedEx point standings for 2016, the highest rank player is #28 Freddie Jacobson.

The field has one player in the top 25 on this year’s PGA Tour money list, #25 Peter Malnat.

The field includes five of the seven different champions: Alex Cejka (2015), Chesson Hadley (2014), Scott Brown (2013), George McNeill (2012) and Michael Bradley (2011 & ’09).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the Puerto Rico field is our performance chart listed by average finish.  Another way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the Puerto Rico in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the Puerto Rico.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

 

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Puerto Rico Open

Player Arnold Palmer Indian Open Valspar Thailand Classic WGC-Cadillac Honda Classic Handa Perth Northern Trust Malaysian Open AT&T Pebble Tshwane Open Phoenix Open Dubai Desert
Scott Brown
(102 pts)
T27
(23)
DNP T7
(55)
DNP DNP T10
(26.67)
DNP T39
(7.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Graham Delaet
(60 pts)
DNP DNP T5
(70)
DNP DNP T53
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Hiroshi Iwata
(57 pts)
DNP DNP T33
(17)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T4
(53.33)
DNP DNP DNP
Freddie Jacobson
(56.67 pts)
T46
(4)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T26
(16)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T4
(53.33)
DNP DNP DNP
William McGirt
(55.33 pts)
73
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T8
(33.33)
DNP T20
(20)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T24
(8.67)
DNP
Dean Burmester
(53.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T4
(53.33)
DNP DNP
Retief Goosen
(51 pts)
T46
(4)
DNP T11
(39)
DNP DNP T43
(4.67)
DNP T45
(3.33)
DNP DNP DNP T51
(0)
DNP
Derek Fathauer
(44 pts)
T12
(38)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T26
(16)
DNP T54
(0)
DNP T51
(0)
DNP DNP DNP
Gregory Bourdy
(41.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T4
(53.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP T36
(4.67)
Luke Donald
(37.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T22
(28)
DNP DNP T61
(0)
DNP T45
(3.33)
DNP T26
(16)
DNP DNP DNP
Sam Saunders
(35.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T22
(28)
DNP DNP T14
(24)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP
George Coetzee
(32 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP 57
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T14
(24)
DNP T26
(8)
Cameron Smith
(30.67 pts)
DNP DNP T42
(8)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T63
(0)
DNP T11
(26)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Rob Oppenheim
(30 pts)
T20
(30)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T70
(0)
DNP DNP DNP
George McNeill
(29 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T11
(39)
DNP DNP T53
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Seung-Yul Noh
(28 pts)
DNP DNP T42
(8)
DNP DNP T65
(0)
DNP T20
(20)
DNP DNP DNP 69
(0)
DNP
Luke List
(26.67 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T10
(26.67)
DNP T20
(20)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Bronson Burgoon
(26.67 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T14
(24)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T21
(19.33)
DNP DNP DNP
Alex Cejka
(23.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T21
(19.33)
DNP DNP DNP T41
(6)
DNP WD
(-1.67)
DNP
Bryce Molder
(19.67 pts)
T27
(23)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T6
(20)
DNP
Nick Taylor
(19.33 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T26
(16)
DNP T30
(13.33)
DNP T65
(0)
DNP
Tyler Aldridge
(18.33 pts)
DNP DNP T37
(13)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T17
(22)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Patrick Rodgers
(17.67 pts)
T20
(30)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP T17
(11)
DNP
Kyle Reifers
(14.67 pts)
T43
(7)
DNP T64
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T26
(16)
DNP DNP DNP WD
(-1.67)
DNP
Chesson Hadley
(12.67 pts)
DNP DNP T69
(0)
DNP DNP T21
(19.33)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T60
(0)
DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Puerto Rico Open

Player Arnold Palmer Indian Open Valspar Thailand Classic WGC-Cadillac Honda Classic Handa Perth Northern Trust Malaysian Open AT&T Pebble Tshwane Open Phoenix Open Dubai Desert
Brendon Todd
(-40 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T56
(0)
DNP
Peter Malnati
(-36.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T66
(0)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Brendon De Jonge
(-33.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP T51
(0)
DNP
Chris Stroud
(-26.67 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T59
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Scott Stallings
(-26.67 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Andres Gonzales
(-26.67 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Chad Collins
(-26.67 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T66
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Robert Allenby
(-23.33 pts)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Trevor Immelman
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Morgan Hoffmann
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T61
(0)
DNP T68
(0)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

Things you need to know about the Puerto Rico Open

This will be the 9th Puerto Rico, the tournament got started in 2008.  This has always been a tournament about second tier players, giving opportunities to those that didn’t qualify for the WGC-Dell Match Play Championship.  This is a perfect way for a bottom-tier player getting himself full status with a win.  Unfortunely the winner gets just about every adelaide that is given to a regular winner with the exception of one important invite, to the Masters.  Augusta won’t extend an invite to the winner in Puerto Rico this week.  Another snub, the new Ryder Cup list won’t include money earned this year.

Course information:

Coco Beach Golf & C.C – Puerto Rico

  • Rio Grande, Puerto Rico
  • 7,569 yards     Par 36-36–72
  • Don’t let the name fool you, last year this course was named Trump International.  But that was in name only Trump just managed things and when the property went into bankruptcy, so did the Trump name.  Course has a 77.7 rating and slope rating of 135 fron the championship tees. The course is public and also sells local memberships.
  • In 2015 this course was the 13th hardest course on the PGA Tour with a 72.570 average (high average due to high winds all four days).  In 2014 Trump International was the 41st hardest course on the PGA Tour with a 70.788 average and in 2013 the course played to a 70.229 average and was ranked 38th.
  • Course is part of a 36 hole complex that was built in 2004 by Tom Kite.  The championship course, which is the lakes and ocean nines are used for the championship. The 18 hole is flat with 13 of the 18 holes having water in play for the professionals.  There are 62 bunkers and the greens are 6,000 square feet, which is average size.  Course has a special grass on it, SeaDwarf Paspaium which is a lot like Bermuda but can tolerate salt and takes a low qualify of water to survive.  The course is very tough for the average player while it’s very manageable for the pros that will play it this week.  Since the course has opened, it’s gotten the reputation as the best course in Puerto Rico.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the Puerto Rico Open:

Key stat for the winner:

There is no rhyme or reason to winning this event.  Since it’s a second tier event it’s a combination of a PGA Tour and a Web.Com tour stop.  So there are no real favorites because there are no true marquee players that you know of.  One thing of the past winners, done of them achieved great success on the PGA Tour so this is for many just a stepping stone to get full time access to the PGA Tour.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

Since 2013 was the first year that they collected stats, hard to find what type of player wins.  So the key is to look at two things, first past results on this course and how they are playing going into the event.  One thing about the winners the last two years (Alex Cejka and Chesson Hadley) both hit lot’s of greens, last year Cejka was T-3rd in greens in regulation.

Will a newcomer win this week?  Probably.  It’s more about a player being in the right place at the right time.

The weather will play a part as it will start out nice, but by Sunday there is a 50% chance of rain.  Bad news for the players, look for another year of high winds between 15 and 20 mph.

Who to watch for at the Puerto Rico Open

Best Bets:

Scott Brown

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T10 64 Win T5

Past champion has been playing well including a pair of top-tens in his last three starts.

George Coetzee

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
First time playing in this event

Was a winner in South Africa just four weeks ago.

Graham Delaet

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T18 T9 T24

He’s back after missing the last two Puerto Rico Opens, just remember came close to winning at Valspar two weeks ago.

Best of the rest:

Freddie Jacobson

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T14

Only played in this event once, T-14th. Last been consistent this year, also a good wind player.

Patrick Rodgers

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
First time playing in this event

Rookie in this event, but not a rookie in playing well on the PGA Tour.

William McGirt

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T29 T14

Finished T-8th at Honda, T-14th at Puerto Rico in 2011.

Luke Donald

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
First time playing in this event

Have to think with all of his experience that he can find a way to play well this week.

Boo Weekley

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T6 T8 T3 WD T24

Been in the top-eight in his last three Puerto Rico starts.

Solid contenders

Sam Saunders

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T2

Almost won last year, knows what to do and will try to do one better this year.

Derek Fathauer

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
CUT T69

Coming off a good T-12th finish at the Palmer, could be his week.

Brendon De Jonge

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T10 T11 T48 T14 T3

Yes he has missed six of his last seven cuts, but has some magic playing this event. In five starts only been higher than 14th once.

George McNeill

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T19 T57 Win 5

Did have a T-11th at Valspar, past champion here.

Long shots that could come through:

Tony Finau

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
First time playing in this event

His length will help him this week, still can’t believe he hasn’t played better on tour this year.

Ricky Barnes

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
CUT T9 T66

Still grinding it out on tour, did finish T-9th in this event in 2014.

Tim Petrovic

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T2 T14 T50 CUT T66 CUT T54

Was in the playoff last year, looking to make a comeback.

Comments

  1. Brian D K says:

    How come no picks for this event?

  2. Brian,
    The picks are here, don’t you see them Brown, Coetzee and Delaet?

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