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BlogNordea Preview and Picks

Nordea Masters

June 2nd – 5th, 2016

Bro Hof Slott G.C.

Stockholm, Sweden

Par: 72 / Yardage: 7,511

Purse: $1.64 million

with $272,500 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Alex Noren

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 12 of the top-100 and 3 top-50 players in the latest Official World Rankings, with the highest rank player in the field being #6 Henrik Stenson, #35 Lee Westwood and #45 Matthew Fitzpatrick.  Here are the other top-100 players in the field: #65 Thomas Pieters, #71 Solomon Lee, #72 Rikard Karlberg, #74 Jeunghun Wang, #87 Scott Hend, #91 Tyrrell Hatton, #93 Kristoffer Broberg, #94 Bradley Dredge and #96 Ross Fisher.

Last year there was four top-50 players and 12 top-100 players in the field

The field includes 10 of the Top 25 on this year’s Race to Dubai money list.  Those players include #6 Henrik Stenson, #7 Lee Westwood, #10 Rikard Karlberg, #13 Solomon Lee, #13 Scott Hend, #15 Bradley Dredge, #16 Andrew Johnston, #17 Jeunghun Wang, #24 Matthew Fitzpatrick and #25 Thomas Pieters.

The field includes 6 past champions: Alex Noren (2015 & ’11), Mikko Ilonen (2013 & ’07), Lee Westwood (2012, 2000 & 1996), Richard S. Johnson (2010), Peter Hanson (2008) and Marc Warren (2006).

The field includes 4 players that have won on the European Tour this year: Haydn Porteous (Joburg Open), Andrew Johnston (Open de Espana), Soomin Lee (Shenzhen International) and Jeughun Wang (Trophee Hassan II & Mauritius Open).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the Nordea Masters field is our performance chart listed by average finish. One last way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the Nordea Masters  in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the Nordea Masters.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

**NOTE**

One thing to look for is our new GOLFstats IQ.  For those that play in fantasy golf it’s a perfect way to help you pick those players in Draft Kings and Victiv games.  You can customize the list of those in the tournaments, to look back a couple or many years of tournament stats and you can go back a couple or ten weeks prior to the tournament.  On top of that, all the stats are fully sortable to help you pick your six players, we even give you their value for the week to help you chose.

That’s GOLFstats IQ, give it a try and tell us what you think of it

24/7 GOLF is no more.  We have retired the name and the app for a new and better app for golf.  So check out

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Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Nordea Masters

Player Dean & DeLuca BMW PGA AT&T Nelson Irish Open The Players Mauritius Open Wells Fargo Trophee Hassan Zurich Classic Volvo China Shenzhen Open de Espana Masters
Rikard Karlberg
(242.67 pts)
DNP 2
(150)
DNP T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T21
(19.33)
T8
(33.33)
DNP DNP
Jeunghun Wang
(228.83 pts)
DNP T33
(25.5)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP Win
(132)
DNP Win
(88)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP
Tyrrell Hatton
(202.5 pts)
DNP T7
(82.5)
DNP T5
(70)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T13
(24.67)
12
(25.33)
DNP DNP
Nicolas Colsaerts
(179 pts)
DNP T22
(42)
DNP T23
(27)
DNP T3
(90)
DNP DNP DNP T15
(23.33)
T58
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Scott Hend
(170.5 pts)
DNP T15
(52.5)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T12
(38)
DNP DNP DNP T6
(40)
T4
(53.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Romain Wattel
(160 pts)
DNP T4
(120)
DNP T36
(14)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T15
(23.33)
T31
(12.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Lee Westwood
(159.17 pts)
DNP T15
(52.5)
DNP T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T2
(66.67)
Bradley Dredge
(150.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP T2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T15
(23.33)
7
(36.67)
T34
(5.33)
DNP
Julien Quesne
(135.33 pts)
DNP T4
(120)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T39
(7.33)
T13
(24.67)
T61
(0)
DNP
Andrew Johnston
(129.17 pts)
DNP T7
(82.5)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP T31
(12.67)
DNP DNP DNP Win
(44)
DNP
Fabrizio Zanotti
(121.83 pts)
DNP T7
(82.5)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T9
(30)
T16
(22.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Richard Bland
(120.67 pts)
DNP T65
(0)
DNP T23
(27)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T3
(60)
T19
(20.67)
T11
(13)
DNP
Jorge Campillo
(98.83 pts)
DNP T15
(52.5)
DNP T19
(31)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T34
(10.67)
T38
(8)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Estanislao Goya
(98.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T3
(90)
DNP T22
(18.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Felipe Aguilar
(96.83 pts)
DNP T37
(19.5)
DNP T36
(14)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP 2
(66.67)
T58
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Seve Benson
(82.67 pts)
DNP T22
(42)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP T16
(22.67)
DNP T39
(7.33)
T19
(20.67)
T64
(0)
DNP
Adrian Otaegui
(82.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T19
(31)
DNP T18
(32)
DNP T22
(18.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
T45
(3.33)
T38
(4)
DNP
Nacho Elvira
(80.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP T48
(2)
DNP DNP DNP 2
(66.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
T8
(33.33)
T53
(0)
DNP
Peter Hanson
(73.83 pts)
DNP T33
(25.5)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T6
(40)
T38
(8)
T19
(10.33)
DNP
Callum Shinkwin
(73 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T19
(31)
DNP DNP DNP 13
(24.67)
DNP DNP T24
(17.33)
67
(0)
DNP
James Morrison
(72.5 pts)
DNP T47
(4.5)
DNP T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
T38
(8)
T4
(26.67)
DNP
Soomin Lee
(71.33 pts)
DNP T67
(0)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T59
(0)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
Win
(88)
DNP DNP
Jason Scrivener
(70.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP DNP DNP T7
(55)
DNP T10
(26.67)
DNP T44
(4)
DNP DNP DNP
Benjamin Hebert
(70.33 pts)
DNP T12
(57)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP T34
(10.67)
DNP T21
(19.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP
Pablo Larrazabal
(69.67 pts)
DNP T12
(57)
DNP T31
(19)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
T29
(7)
DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Nordea Masters

Player Dean & DeLuca BMW PGA AT&T Nelson Irish Open The Players Mauritius Open Wells Fargo Trophee Hassan Zurich Classic Volvo China Shenzhen Open de Espana Masters
Matthew Baldwin
(-48.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Ben Evans
(-45 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
T56
(0)
DNP
Robert Karlsson
(-45 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP
Soren Hansen
(-45 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Michael Hoey
(-45 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP
Chris Paisley
(-41.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T56
(0)
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Oliver Wilson
(-41.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Joachim B. Hansen
(-36.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DQ
(-3.33)
WD
(-1.67)
DNP
Rhys Davies
(-35 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T53
(0)
T58
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP
Morten Orum Madsen
(-35 pts)
DNP CUT
(-15)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
T51
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

After a good BMW PGA and Irish Open, it’s back to what is regular on the European Tour, with mostly tour regulars playing.  It’s off to Sweden for a  tournament which had its origins in the late 1960s with the Volvo Open, which became the Scandinavian Enterprise Open in 1973, when it also became the first Swedish stop on the European Tour schedule. In 1991, the SEO merged with the PLM Open, with the resulting tournament being called the Scandinavian Masters.  The Scandinavian Masters is currently the only European Tour event to be held in Scandinavia.  A total of seven venues have hosted the Nordea Masters and two players have won the title three times – Lee Westwood, who returns this year, and Colin Montgomerie.  Other names on the rich list of past winners include Sir Nick Faldo (1992), former World Number Ones Luke Donald (2004) and Adam Scott (2003), and US Open winner Graeme McDowell (2002).

What about Bro Hof Slott Golf Club:

Located just outside of Stockholm, Bro Hof Slott Golf Club runs along Lake Mälaren.  Bro Hof Slott has two exceptional golf courses both designed by Robert Trent Jones Jr. which are laid out in the spectacular grounds of the castle.  The tournament is played on the Stadium Course which opened in 2007 and borders the lake.  It has large greens and well-placed bunkers, with nine of the holes having water in play.  For this week the course will play to a par of 72 and at 7,511 yards.  But the course can be stretched to over 8,000 yards as it’s the longest course that Robert Trent Jones III ever designed.

Risk/reward options abound on holes such as number fifteen, a dogleg left around a lake that might allow gamblers to reach the peninsula green in two shots. Number eighteen, which-along with seventeen-will hold up to 70,000 spectators, can be set up as a driveable par four or a longer test.  It’s considered the best course in Sweden and ranked the ninth best in Europe by Golf World Britain.  The course has held the Nordea Masters in 2010, ’11, ’12 and ’13.  The last two years it has been played at PGA Sweden National.  Traditionally scoring has been low, thanks to the course having five par 5s.  Mikko Ilonen was 21 under par in 2014 and Westwood getting to 19 under in 2013.  Three players share the course record of 63 (-9), Alex Noren and Ilonen (both 2011) and Peter Whiteford (2013).

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the Nordea Masters:

Key stat for the winner:

It’s a classic case of a really hard course for the average golfer, but the fact that it’s in great shape, with rough that is easy to manage meaning that players can overpower the course.  Big hitters have the advantage as they have less yardage left to the greens.  Now if the wind pops up it could change the course and make it a lot harder.  But the long range forecast call for great weather with temperatures in the high 60s/low 70s and no rain or wind.  So look for low scoring to continue.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

The Par 5s, since there are five on the course the leaders will go low on them.  Look at how the four winners at Bro Hol Slott did on the par 5s.

  • 2010 – Richard S. Johnson played them in 10 under
  • 2011 – Alex Noren played them in 11 under
  • 2012 – Lee Westwood played them in 10 under
  • 2013 – Mikko Ilonen played them in 11 under

More key stats to look to for this week:

  • U.S. Open qualifying was Monday which meant that players had to go through a tough 36 holes at Walton Heath, then board a play for Stockholm.  Look at the results and you can see that several players are in the field in Sweden.  Last year’s winner Alex Noren qualified for the U.S. Open a week before he won in Europe so look for someone that played well on Monday to carry it over to this event.
  • One last key, look for players that have done well of late, so a guy like Lee Westwood has a lot going for him, while a Henrik Stenson has to be a very guarded pick since he has played really bad the last couple of weeks.  Now many will be behind Stenson with his Swedish roots, but it’s probably best if you are looking for a “Swedish winner” look at Rikard Karlberg who finished T-10th at the Irish Open and 2nd at the BMW PGA.

Who to watch for at the Nordea Masters

Best Bets:

Lee Westwood

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
Win CUT

Guy is close and ready to win again, coming back to a place and course he has won before on, have to say he is a really big favorite.

Rikard Karlberg

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T43 T15 T4 CUT CUT CUT CUT

Very easy choice and someone that could win this week. Hottest player in the field, he was runner-up last week at the BMW PGA. Last time he played at Bro Hof Slott he finished T-4th, only problem I see is the pressure of being a Swede playing in his national championship.

Scott Hend

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T33 CUT T4 T54

Was in contention at Wentworth before finishing 73-78 to fall back into a T-15th. Has good memories of Bro Hof Slott finishing T-4th in 2011.

Best of the rest:

Alex Noren

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
Win T4 T10 Win CUT CUT T30 CUT T52 T18

Defending champion that has had success also winning at Bro Hof Slott in 2011. Played great in U.S. Open qualifying he is following his steps from last year.

Andrew Johnston

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
CUT CUT

Played well at BMW PGA and U.S. Open qualifying.

Matteo Manassero

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T32 T4

Missed cut at Ireland and BMW but qualified for the U.S. Open and has some history at Bro Hof Slott finishing T-4th in 2013.

Felipe Aguilar

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
CUT T32 T9 T7 T60 CUT CUT T46 T15

Had a 2nd last month at the Volvo China Open, also played four rounds in Ireland and Wentworth, has a good record at Bro Hof Slott with a T-7th in 2012 and T-9th in 2013.

Tyrrell Hatton

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
CUT

Could be on the cusp on having a really good week, in his last four starts his worst finish was T-13th in China. Was T-5th in Ireland and T-7th at BMW PGA.

Solid contenders

Jeunghun Wang

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
First time playing in this event

Never played here but has a hot hand going, just have to wonder if he can keep up the good work.

Romain Wattel

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T11 CUT T30 T21

Was T-11th in this event in 2014, finished T-4th at the BMW PGA. Also T-4th in U.S. Open qualifying.

Bradley Dredge

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T21 T25 CUT T35 T67 T8 T3 CUT

Has played in this event with two top-tens, finished T-3rd in 2005. May of missed the cut at Wentworth, but did finish T-2nd at Irish Open on a course a lot like Bro Hof Slott.

Mikko Ilonen

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
CUT T32 Win T3 CUT T38 T20 Win CUT CUT

Looking for some form, has missed his last three cuts but did have some good finishes earlier in the year. Has some history at Bro Hof Slott winning in 2013 and finishing T-3rd in 2012.

Peter Hanson

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T13 T25 T30 T3 T34 T53 Win T12 T33 T72 T2

Another U.S. Open qualifiers, he has played a limited run in 2016 but did finish T-6th at Volvo China Open. Has some history at Bro Hof Slott finishing T-3rd in 2012.

Long shots that could come through:

Thomas Pieters

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T24 14

Has had a good year, he could be a very good sleeper pick for the week.

Mikael Lundberge

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
First time playing in this event

Played well in U.S. Open qualifying finishing 2nd, has played at Bro Hof Slott with very little success.

Thomas Bjorn

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T21 T15 T4

Has not played great in the last year but he does have some history in this event including a T-4th in 2013.

Joakim Lagergren

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
CUT CUT T56 6 CUT

Was sixth at Bro Hof Slott in 2012.

Just not playing well right now:

Henrik Stenson

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T13 5 CUT T73 CUT 2 T2

He is the country hero but coming into this event missing his last two cuts. Never played well at Bro Hof Slott, it would be a good week to pass on him.

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