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BlogPorsche Euro Preview and Picks

Porsche European Open

September 22nd – 25th, 2016

Golf Resort Bad Griesbach

Bad Griesbach,, Germany

Par: 71 / Yardage: 7,188

Purse: $2.18 million

with $363,330 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Thongchai Jaidee

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 13 of the top 100 in the latest Official World Rankings, with the highest ranked player in the field being #39 Thomas Pieters.  Here are the other top-100 players in the field: #46 Thongchai Jaidee, #52 Martin Kaymer, #58 Bernd Wiesberger, #69 Scott Hend, #82 Rikard Karlberg, #83 Thorbjorn Olesen, #85 Jaco Van Zyl, #88 Anirban Lahiri, #90 Bradley Dredge, #94 Jamie Donaldson and #95 Brandon Stone.

Last year there were 20 top 100 players in the field.

The field includes 6 of the Top 25 on this year’s Race to Dubai money list.  Those players include #12 Martin Kaymer, #15 Scott Hend, #16 Thomas Pieters, #18 Thongchai Jaidee, #23 Bradley Dredge and #25 Rikard Karlberg

The field includes 4 past champions: Thongchi Jaidee (2015), Ross Fisher (2008), Phillip Price (2003) and Mathias Gronberg (1998).

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

**NOTE**

One thing to look for is our new GOLFstats IQ.  For those that play in fantasy golf it’s a perfect way to help you pick those players in Draft Kings and Victiv games.  You can customize the list of those in the tournaments, to look back a couple or many years of tournament stats and you can go back a couple or ten weeks prior to the tournament.  On top of that, all the stats are fully sortable to help you pick your six players, we even give you their value for the week to help you chose.

That’s GOLFstats IQ, give it a try and tell us what you think of it

24/7 GOLF is no more.  We have retired the name and the app for a new and better app for golf.  So check out

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Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Porsche European Open

Player Italian Open KLM Open Omega Euro Masters Made in Denmark Czech Masters Olympic Golf Paul Lawrie Matchplay PGA Champ. Canadian Open British Open Scottish Open French Open BMW Intern.
Thomas Pieters
(239.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP Win
(88)
2
(66.67)
4
(53.33)
DNP 86
(0)
DNP T30
(13.33)
T29
(7)
T16
(11.33)
DNP
Richard Bland
(208.33 pts)
T5
(70)
T16
(34)
T5
(70)
DNP T27
(15.33)
DNP T17
(11)
DNP DNP DNP T21
(9.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
T45
(1.67)
Alejandro Canizares
(182.67 pts)
T7
(55)
T4
(80)
T24
(26)
DNP DNP DNP T5
(23.33)
DNP DNP DNP T45
(1.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
T63
(0)
Scott Hend
(181 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T4
(80)
2
(100)
DNP DNP T39
(7.33)
DNP T42
(5.33)
DNP T72
(0)
T45
(1.67)
T56
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
Martin Kaymer
(175 pts)
T20
(30)
DNP DNP T6
(40)
DNP T15
(23.33)
DNP T7
(36.67)
DNP T36
(9.33)
T13
(12.33)
T5
(23.33)
DNP
David Horsey
(168 pts)
T5
(70)
T4
(80)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
T47
(2)
DNP T17
(11)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T7
(18.33)
Bernd Wiesberger
(153 pts)
DNP 2
(100)
T41
(9)
DNP DNP T11
(26)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T11
(13)
T7
(18.33)
David Lipsky
(140.33 pts)
T16
(34)
DNP T58
(0)
T3
(60)
6
(40)
DNP T33
(5.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T28
(7.33)
Chris Paisley
(112 pts)
T3
(90)
DNP CUT
(-10)
T34
(10.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T9
(15)
DNP DNP DNP T13
(12.33)
T38
(4)
CUT
(-3.33)
Tommy Fleetwood
(111 pts)
T7
(55)
T10
(40)
T49
(1)
DNP T16
(22.67)
DNP T33
(5.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
T62
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Nicolas Colsaerts
(109.33 pts)
T38
(12)
T24
(26)
T24
(26)
DNP DNP T30
(13.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T46
(2.67)
T3
(30)
T22
(9.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Chris Hanson
(107 pts)
T20
(30)
T8
(50)
DNP T18
(21.33)
T76
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T70
(0)
T45
(1.67)
T38
(4)
Julien Quesne
(103.33 pts)
T30
(20)
DNP T5
(70)
DNP DNP T55
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T34
(5.33)
T16
(11.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Alexander Levy
(103 pts)
T7
(55)
T34
(16)
T18
(32)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP 73
(0)
T56
(0)
DNP
Nacho Elvira
(102 pts)
T3
(90)
T45
(5)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T83
(0)
DNP T9
(15)
DNP DNP DNP T34
(5.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T65
(0)
Scott Jamieson
(99.33 pts)
T7
(55)
T10
(40)
CUT
(-10)
T57
(0)
T27
(15.33)
DNP T33
(5.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
70
(0)
Mike Lorenzo-vera
(95.67 pts)
T72
(0)
T8
(50)
T12
(38)
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T33
(5.67)
DNP DNP DNP T39
(3.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
T9
(15)
Fabrizio Zanotti
(95.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T16
(34)
T24
(26)
DNP DNP T15
(23.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T34
(5.33)
T33
(5.67)
T16
(11.33)
David Howell
(95.33 pts)
T45
(5)
CUT
(-10)
T29
(21)
DNP T3
(60)
DNP T33
(5.67)
DNP DNP T22
(18.67)
T45
(1.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Jorge Campillo
(94 pts)
T7
(55)
T24
(26)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP T33
(5.67)
DNP DNP DNP T8
(16.67)
T38
(4)
CUT
(-3.33)
Pablo Larrazabal
(92.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T20
(30)
T7
(55)
DNP DNP DNP T33
(5.67)
DNP DNP DNP T67
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
T9
(15)
Thongchai Jaidee
(87.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
T29
(21)
DNP DNP T15
(23.33)
DNP T73
(0)
DNP T22
(18.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
Win
(44)
T38
(4)
Renato Paratore
(86 pts)
71
(0)
CUT
(-10)
T7
(55)
T18
(21.33)
T27
(15.33)
DNP T17
(11)
DNP DNP DNP T57
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Robert Karlsson
(84 pts)
T30
(20)
T69
(0)
DNP T15
(23.33)
T7
(36.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T62
(0)
T28
(7.33)
Adrian Otaegui
(82.33 pts)
T20
(30)
T59
(0)
T58
(0)
T3
(60)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
T33
(5.67)
CUT
(-3.33)

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Porsche European Open

Player Italian Open KLM Open Omega Euro Masters Made in Denmark Czech Masters Olympic Golf Paul Lawrie Matchplay PGA Champ. Canadian Open British Open Scottish Open French Open BMW Intern.
Bjorn Akesson
(-53.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Jin Jeong
(-47.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T33
(5.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Simon Dyson
(-46.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
T61
(0)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Borja Virto Astudillo
(-43.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
T65
(0)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
71
(0)
S.S.P. Chawrasia
(-42.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T50
(0.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
T50
(0.33)
Morten Orum Madsen
(-41 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T33
(5.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Marcel Siem
(-35 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP WD
(-1.67)
T53
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
Rhys Davies
(-33.33 pts)
T53
(0)
T59
(0)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Edouard Espana
(-31.67 pts)
T59
(0)
DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP WD
(-1.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Gary Stal
(-31 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-6.67)
T83
(0)
DNP T33
(5.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

This event was the old Smurfit European Open which was played between 1978 and 2009.  After playing at the K Club in Ireland between 1995 and 2007, the event was held at the London G.C. in 2008 & ’09 before it could no longer get a sponsor.  Last year the tournament was brought back with Porsche sponsoring it and being played in Germany.  Last year it was a big deal, they drew a pretty good field but this year with the Ryder Cup just a week away, the importance of this event is small.  Only two Ryder Cup players are in the field, Martin Kaymer and Thomas Pieters.

About the course:

Bad Griesbach is the golfing mecca of Germany.  Located about 60 miles east of Munich, the resort has six 18-hole courses.  The tournament is being held on the Beckenbauer Golf Course.  The course was designed by Bernhard Langer with help from Kurt Rossknechit and opened in 2002.  The course is on the flood plain of the River Rott and features water on 11 holes.  The course is flat and wide open, as not many trees are on the property.  Along with water, sand is another hazard.  Length plays very little as only three par 4s are over 440 yards.  Two of the four par 5s are over 575 yards, so this course really helps players with medium to long power.

Last year the par 71 course played to a 70.45 average meaning that it was over a half a shot under par.  The greens were slow last year so poor putters will have a better chance.  The area has had a lot of rain of late with parts of it under water, which will mean an easy test for the players.  With that in mind it’s probably best in looking at the stats from last year to say those that hit it long, will have an advantage.

Key stat for the players to win this week:

  • Even though the event was started in 1978, with no events played between 2010 and 2014 and going to a new course last year, there is no real historical data to help us.  So it’s best to look at the hot index to see who’s game is good right now.
  • Last year four of the longest hitters on the European Tour finished in the top-8, so length will help players.
  • The leaders also took apart the par 5s, winner Thongchai Jaidee was 7 under on them, while runner-up Graeme Storm was 10 under, 3rd place finisher Pelle Amber was  under and 4th place finisher Scott Hend was 10 under.
  • The greens were also easy last years winner Thongchai Jaidee not a top putter.  So it’s fair to say that poor putters can do reasonable on this course as they will make more putts than usual.
  • Other than water, the course doesn’t have many hazards that tend to get players.  Yes the course has water and plenty of bunkers but those hazards aren’t enough to prevent low scores.
  • The good news despite the region getting a lot of rain in the last couple of weeks, look for perfect conditions this week with all four days being dry and temperatures being in the high 60s

 

 

Who to watch for at the Porsche European Open

Best Bets:

Richard Bland

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T9 CUT CUT CUT CUT CUT

All the math adds up to a big week for Bland. First he finished T-9th at Bad Griesbach last year but the stuff that gives him the top nod is his good play of late including a T-5th last week at the Italian Open and three weeks ago in Switzerland.

Alejandro Canizares

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T24 CUT CUT WD

Another player that played well last year at Bad Griesbach (T-24th) and his good play of late T-7th Italy, T-4th at KLM and T-5th in last month’s Paul Lawrie Match play also makes us feel he will do very well this week.

Scott Hend

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
4

Was 4th last year along with being T-4th at the KLM two weeks ago and runner-up in Switzerland. Now he missed the cut last week in Italy but that shouldn’t stop a person from backing him.

Best of the rest:

Thomas Pieters

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
First time playing in this event

Getting ready to play in the Ryder Cup, he won the Made in Denmark Open but before playing in the KLM Open was stung by a bee and couldn’t play due to an allergic reaction with flu symptons. Says he is healthy again, he is playing for the first time in this event.

Tommy Fleetwood

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
CUT

He may of missed the cut in this event last year but of late was T-7th last week in Italy and T-10th the week before at the KLM.

Martin Kaymer

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T13 CUT

Another Ryder Cup player, he hasn’t played in this event since 2009, he has the length to do well this week.

Bernd Wiesberger

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
CUT

Finished 2nd two weeks ago in the KLM Open, he has the tools to do well. Did miss the cut in this event last year.

Solid contenders

Graeme Storm

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
2 T39 T53 T45 T4 T2

Played well last year and has done ok of late. One thing that is good, he was T-9th at the BMW International in June and T-7th at the Czech Masters last month.

Thongchai Jaidee

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
Win CUT CUT T25 T15 CUT T10

Past champion that could do well again in this event, only problem is his has missed his last two cuts.

Rikard Karlberg

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T5

Played well last year (T-5th) and has done ok of last, finishing T-12th last week in Italy.

Bradley Dredge

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T36 T27 T53 CUT T9 T39 T20

After finishing 2nd at the Made in Denmark, has missed the last two cuts but he is the type of player worth backing this week.

Long shots that could come through:

Bud Cauley

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
First time playing in this event

An American playing this week, his last two starts was finishing T-10th at the Wyndham Championship and T-8th at the John Deere.

Lucas Bjerregaard

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
T5

Another of those quiet players that aren’t very well know that could have a top-ten this week.

Pelle Edberg

2016 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05 ’04
3 CUT T33 T3 CUT

Almost won last year, his year has not been the best but is hoping from some good vibes from his 3rd place finish last year.

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