DraftKings picks, Byron Nelson

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

DraftKings picks for the week

So how did I do last week?
I had a good week that could of been even better if I could of just had six guys make the cut. Unfortunately Cameron Smith shot 77 on Friday and just missed the cut, thus costing me money. With Si Woo Kim winning let’s face it, not many people picked him. The same with the runner-ups, Ian Poulter and Louis Oosthuizen finishing 2nd wasn’t popular as was Rafael Cabrera Bello and Kyle Stanly finishing 4th. So that really opened the door for a lot of picks coming through and the winning point total was very low. As for my five, Francesco Molinari was T6th, Alexander Noren was 10th, Dustin Johnson and Bernd Wiesberger were T-12th and Hideki Matsuyama was T-22nd, so these were solid picks. So much so that I played four games at $51 and won $121.75 for a profit of $70.75. For the weekend, I played in five games for a total of $43 and won $50 on two games. I considered myself very lucky because of my six picks, Justin Thomas shot 79 to miss the 54 hole cut and J.B. Holmes shot a final round 84. So for the week showed a profit of $77.75.

 

Picks for the AT&T Byron Nelson
We have a bit of a downgrade as most of the top players aren’t in Dallas, still lot’s of marquee names like Dustin Johnson, Sergio Garcia, Jason Day and Jordan Spieth. It’s another tough pick because Dustin Johnson is $12,500 which puts you in a pickle if you chose him, Sergio Garcia is $11,000, Jordan Spieth is $10,800, Brooks Koepka is $10,200 and Jason Day is at $10,100. I really like Johnson and taking him at $12,500, but that makes the rest of my picks hard. With $37,500 left that means I have to make my picks are around a $7,500 clip. I can tell you that those under 7,000 are very bleak, I have found two that I have taken, first Nick Watney at $6,900 and Brian Gay at $6,800. As for Gay I have taken him before with good results, yes he missed the cut last week at the Players has had some good finishes at the Nelson including a T-2nd in 2010. As for Watney, we know what a talent he is and how injuries have held him back. I liked his record at the Nelson, he was T-10th in 2015 and T-8th in 2010 the last two times he has played the event. Watney hits lots of greens, while Gay lacks that abili9tybut is a straight driver and makes a lot of putts. With my last two picks I had a lot of different combinations using Jason Dufner at $8,800, Charley Hoffman at $8,500. Both were too much money. I liked the combination of Gary Woodland at $7,700, Kevin Tway at $7,700 and Ian Poulter at $7,800, but I just couldn’t get it to work out, all three carried me over the salary cap.  So I went back to the drawing board and came up with this for my last three picks. First was Brandt Snedeker at $8,400, his stats are great in all key categories and despite missing the cut last year was T-6th in 2015. For the year he has been very consistent only missing one cut all year. Then I chose Bud Cauley at $7,800. I like that he was T-4th last year at the Nelson and that he has been in the top-ten in his last three starts. My last pick was Sung Kang at $7,400, he has great stats in all the important categories to play well at TPC Four Seasons and has had some good finishes in 2017 including a 2nd at the Shell Houston Open. One thing I have to say, this was a tough week of choices and since I am still on the bubble for some other players I am being cautiously optimistic about my picks this week.
Dustin Johnson is $12,500
Brandt Snedeker at $8,400
Bud Cauley at $7,800
Sung Kang at $7,400
Nick Watney at $6,900
Brian Gay at $6,800

As for the European Tour again they have a small event in Sicily, Italy which like last week I couldn’t grasp the field with players I don’t know. Next week however is the BMW PGA Championship, the biggest event of the year on the European Tour.

Comments

  1. Eric Brunson says

    could you check your draftking link to your group. I am coming up with an URL error when I click on it. Thanks

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