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BlogTravelers Preview and Picks

Travelers Championship

june 22nd – 25th, 2017

TPC River Highlands

Cromwell, CT

Par: 70 / Yardage: 6,841

Purse: $6.8 million

with $1,188,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Russell Knox

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 38 of the top 100 and 15 of the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with three players from the top-ten #3 Rory McIlroy, #4 Jason Day and #6 Jordan Spieth. The other top 50 players are  #12 Justin Thomas, #16 Paul Casey, #17 Patrick Reed, #27 Brian Harman, #28 Daniel Berger, #32 Brandt Snedeker, #37 Marc Leishman, #40 Bubba Watson, #41 Russell Knox, #42 Emiliano Grillo, #43 Wesley Bryan and #49 Charley Hoffman.

Last year there were 34 to 100 players and 18 of the top-50 in the field.

The field includes 8 of the top 25 on the FedEx point standings for 2017.  Those players are #3 Justin Thomas, #7 Brian Harman, #9 Jordan Spieth, #11 Adam Hadwin, #13 Brendan Steele, #15 Marc Leishman, #20 Mackenzie Hughes and #22 Wesley Bryan.

The field includes 7 players in the top 25 on this year’s PGA Tour money list.  players are #3 Justin Thomas, #6 Jordan Spieth, #10 Brian Harman, #13 Adam Hadwin, #15 Marc Leishman, #17 Brendan Steele and #25 Charley Hoffman.

The field includes seven past champions: Russell Knox (2016), Bubba Watson (2015 & ’10), Kevin Streelman (2014), Ken Duke (2013), Marc Leishman (2012), Hunter Mahan (2007) and J.J. Henry (2006).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the Traveler’s field is our performance chart listed by average finish.  Another way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the Traveler’s field in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the Traveler’s field.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Travelers Championship

Player U.S. Open FedEx St. Jude Classic Lyoness Open Memorial Nordea Masters Dean & DeLuca BMW PGA AT&T Byron Nelson The Players Wells Fargo Zurich Classic Volvo China Open Valero Texas
Brian Harman
(282.67 pts)
T2
(200)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T7
(36.67)
DNP DNP T53
(0)
Win
(44)
T14
(12)
DNP DNP
Justin Thomas
(193.33 pts)
T9
(90)
DNP DNP T4
(80)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T75
(0)
DNP T5
(23.33)
DNP DNP
Charley Hoffman
(175.67 pts)
8
(100)
DNP DNP T45
(5)
DNP T24
(17.33)
DNP T40
(6.67)
T30
(20)
DNP T5
(23.33)
DNP T40
(3.33)
Kyle Stanley
(163.33 pts)
DNP T27
(23)
DNP T6
(60)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T4
(80)
DNP T29
(7)
DNP DNP
Xander Schauffele
(153 pts)
T5
(140)
T52
(0)
DNP DNP DNP T48
(1.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T24
(8.67)
T11
(13)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Chez Reavie
(149 pts)
T16
(68)
T4
(80)
DNP DNP DNP T48
(1.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
T56
(0)
T42
(2.67)
T39
(3.67)
DNP DNP
Jordan Spieth
(143.67 pts)
T35
(30)
DNP DNP T13
(37)
DNP T2
(66.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-10)
DNP 4
(26.67)
DNP DNP
Patrick Reed
(143.33 pts)
T13
(74)
DNP DNP T57
(0)
DNP DNP DNP T20
(20)
T22
(28)
T12
(12.67)
T14
(12)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
David Lingmerth
(141 pts)
T21
(58)
DNP DNP T15
(35)
DNP T12
(25.33)
DNP DNP T72
(0)
T18
(10.67)
T14
(12)
DNP DNP
Kevin Tway
(133.67 pts)
DNP T31
(19)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T18
(21.33)
DNP T20
(20)
DNP T5
(23.33)
3
(30)
DNP T3
(30)
Brendan Steele
(130.67 pts)
T13
(74)
DNP DNP T57
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T6
(60)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T62
(0)
Paul Casey
(115.33 pts)
26
(48)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T10
(26.67)
DNP DNP T22
(28)
T12
(12.67)
DNP DNP DNP
Daniel Berger
(113.33 pts)
CUT
(-20)
Win
(132)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T65
(0)
T36
(4.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP
Jamie Lovemark
(107.33 pts)
T27
(46)
DNP DNP T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP T18
(21.33)
T75
(0)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T40
(3.33)
Webb Simpson
(107.33 pts)
T35
(30)
DNP DNP T67
(0)
DNP 5
(46.67)
DNP DNP T16
(34)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP
Marc Leishman
(106.33 pts)
T27
(46)
DNP DNP T15
(35)
DNP T34
(10.67)
DNP T13
(24.67)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Trey Mullinax
(105.33 pts)
T9
(90)
T18
(32)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Whee Kim
(96 pts)
T50
(2)
T2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP T34
(10.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Bud Cauley
(94.33 pts)
CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP T25
(25)
DNP T41
(6)
DNP T5
(46.67)
DNP DNP T5
(23.33)
DNP T10
(13.33)
Byeong Hun An
(94.33 pts)
CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP T25
(25)
DNP DNP T24
(26)
T5
(46.67)
DNP T8
(16.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T40
(3.33)
Danny Lee
(89.33 pts)
DNP T47
(3)
DNP T49
(1)
DNP 6
(40)
DNP T5
(46.67)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T14
(12)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Brandt Snedeker
(84.67 pts)
T9
(90)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T48
(1.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Jason Day
(78.33 pts)
CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP T15
(35)
DNP DNP DNP 2
(66.67)
T60
(0)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP
Anirban Lahiri
(76.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T2
(100)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP T72
(0)
Grayson Murray
(75.33 pts)
DNP T18
(32)
DNP T35
(15)
DNP DNP DNP T27
(15.33)
T79
(0)
T63
(0)
T11
(13)
DNP DNP
Jonas Blixt
(74.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T31
(19)
DNP T18
(21.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP Win
(44)
DNP DNP
Zach Johnson
(65.33 pts)
T27
(46)
DNP DNP T40
(10)
DNP T63
(0)
DNP DNP T48
(2)
T18
(10.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Tony Finau
(65.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T40
(10)
DNP T29
(14)
DNP T13
(24.67)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T3
(30)
Chad Campbell
(58.67 pts)
DNP T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP T34
(10.67)
DNP T13
(24.67)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Sung Kang
(56.67 pts)
DNP T80
(0)
DNP 75
(0)
DNP T57
(0)
DNP T20
(20)
T30
(20)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T6
(20)
Joel Dahmen
(55.33 pts)
DNP T18
(32)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T9
(30)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Nick Taylor
(53.67 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T49
(1)
DNP T61
(0)
DNP T9
(30)
DNP T8
(16.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T22
(9.33)
Bubba Watson
(53.33 pts)
CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP T6
(60)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T5
(23.33)
DNP DNP
Jim Herman
(53.33 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T19
(31)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T35
(15)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T18
(10.67)
Smylie Kaufman
(52.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP T35
(10)
T12
(38)
T5
(23.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T37
(4.33)

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Travelers Championship

Player U.S. Open FedEx St. Jude Classic Lyoness Open Memorial Nordea Masters Dean & DeLuca BMW PGA AT&T Byron Nelson The Players Wells Fargo Zurich Classic Volvo China Open Valero Texas
Bryson DeChambeau
(-53.33 pts)
CUT
(-20)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Troy Merritt
(-34.33 pts)
CUT
(-20)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-3.33)
T24
(8.67)
DNP T49
(0.33)
C.T. Pan
(-33.33 pts)
CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP T40
(10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Robert Garrigus
(-33.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Rory Sabbatini
(-31.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP WD
(-1.67)
CUT
(-3.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Johnson Wagner
(-31.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-3.33)
T14
(12)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Hudson Swafford
(-30.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-10)
T49
(0.33)
T32
(6)
DNP DNP
Russell Knox
(-30.33 pts)
CUT
(-20)
T37
(13)
DNP T65
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP
Bryce Molder
(-28.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
CUT
(-10)
T36
(4.67)
DNP DNP 57
(0)
Hunter Mahan
(-26.67 pts)
DNP T82
(0)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T52
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

Have to say that the U.S. Open was very succesful.  Erin Hills is a great place to hold the event and it’s a very venue.  Most of the time we think of a U.S. Open course in which the straightest hitters do the best.  In most Opens, fairways are no more than 30 yards wide while at Erin Hills, the fairways were double that.  We all said that a bomber would win, sure enough Brooks Koepka is one of the longest hitters on the PGA Tour.  Now he was way down our list of possible winners, we thought that either Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy or Jason Day would win, but all of those bombers missed the cut.  In a way that was a big story because it just proved a point that for the first time a bomber was favored in the U.S. Open but wasn’t able to even make the cut.  The way Erin Hills was set up was very fair, yes Brooks Koepka may of tied the Open 72 hole record with his 272 total and his 16 under total tied the Open record for relation to par.  Koepka also became the first Florida born U.S. Open champion.

The one thing that is different, for the third straight year someone under 30 won the U.S. Open and we are seeing more and more players in their 20s winning major championships.  As for Koepka, he is a very good example of the superstar of the future and I am pretty sure he will win other majors.  We also saw Hideki Matsuyama finish T-2nd, it’s only a matter of time before he wins a major championship, he is that good.  We also saw Justin Thomas knock on the door thanks to his third round 63.  So the future of golf is with it’s players in there 20s and hit it a long way.  Another thing we are seeing is great parity in golf.  Other than Rory McIlroy, I can’t see anyone winning more than five majors and that will be a great accomplishment.  In past years we could only see a possible two dozen players with a chance of winning majors, but now there is probably over 50 players in golf that could win a major in any week.  So golf in the post Tiger Woods era is in very good shape and may be more interesting since more players can win.

Tournament information:

This is the 66th annual Travelers Championship. The tournament was founded by the United States Junior Chambers in 1952 after an attempt to raise money from a turtle race the previous year failed. The Cromwell, Connecticut-based tournament was originally known as the Insurance City Open. The chief goal of the tournament since its inception has been to raise funds for the USJC’s philanthropic endeavors. In the inaugural tournament, war-hero Ted Kroll captured the crown, the second of his career. Four years later, the Insurance City Open served as a launching pad for Arnold Palmer as he notched his second win on the PGA Tour and the first on American soil in the 1956 Insurance City Open.

The Insurance City Open underwent a name change in 1967 when it became the Greater Hartford Open. The tournament’s original goal was given a boost when, in 1971, defending champion Bob Murphy donated $20,000 of his 1970 winnings to start the Greater Hartford Chapter of the “Jaycees.” The year 1973 was momentous for the Greater Hartford Open. In an effort to further boost tournament notoriety, entertainer Sammy Davis Jr., who frequently participated in the Pro-Am events, lent his name to Greater Hartford Open. Also in 1973, Billy Casper won his record fourth and final Greater Hartford Open. In 1985, the first major corporate sponsor for the event surfaced in the form of Canon USA.

Starting in 1985 the event added Canon to the its name; however, the name would be altered just three years later. In 1988, Sammy Davis Jr. was removed from the name, and beginning in 1989, the tournament was became known as the Canon Greater Hartfod Open. By 2001, the tournament had grown to previously unrealized levels. Phil Mickelson’s personal best 61 as well as appearances by Arnold Palmer and Lee Trevino headlined the tournament, which saw a record 318,000 spectators come out to watch the 50th annual Canon Greater Hartford Open. In 2004, a three-year partnership was forged between Buick and the GHO. The result was the Buick Championship. After the three-year contract expired, however, Buick decided not to renew the contract. Consequently, St. Paul Traveler’s stepped in to become the new title sponsor.

Course information:

  • TPC River Highlands
  • Cromwell, Ct.
  • 6,854 yards     Par 35-35–70
  • The TPC River Highlands has experienced as many changes as the name of the tournament it hosts. The original piece of property was designed in 1928 by R.J. Ross, cousin to the more notable golf course designer Donald Ross. The course was tied to the Edgewood Country Club. However, when the Greater Hartford Open was searching for a larger venue than its home at Wethersfield Country Club in 1982, the Edgewood Country Club seemed like a perfect fit. Before the venue was fit to host a major PGA Tour event, course renovations were necessary. The Greater Hartford Chapter of the USJC hired Pete Dye to renovate the Edgewood Country Club golf course. Dye’s finished product, known as The TPC Connecticut, hosted the Greater Hartford Open in 1984. One of the key features to the new course, especially the back nine, was the incorporation of amphitheatres to improve a fan’s viewing experience. In 1989, a re-design team that consisted of Bobby Weed, and consultants Howard Twitty and Roger Maltbie, made some additional changes. After the renovation, the course became known as the TPC River Highlands.
  • The golf course itself is forgiving. The par-70 course, measuring at 6,841 yards, has a Course Rating of 72.7 and a Slope Rating of 131. The tees and fairways are a 3/8″ cut of Bent Grass, while the greens are a 1/8″ cut of Bent Grass. The rough consists of a mixture of Kentucky Blue Grass, Perennial Rye Grass, and fine Fescue cut at just over 6 inches. The 132-acre venue has 69 bunkers and five water hazards that come into play on six holes. Golf Digest rated TPC at River Highlands as one of the six best courses in the state of Connecticut. Another notable achievements for the TPC at River Highlands was that it was the 49th course to become fully-certified in the Audubon Cooperative Sanctuary Program for Golf Courses (ACSP), which promotes ecologically sound land management and the conservation of natural resources.
  • Holes No. 4 and 10 provide the biggest challenge. The fourth hole is the most difficult on the golf course. It’s a severe dog-leg right that measures 460 yards. The tee-shot requires a heavy fade to reach the fairway, while avoiding the tree-line on the right-hand side. From there, the approach shot goes into a tight green with a bunker guarding the front left. As for the 10th hole, the 460-yard par 4 requires a slight draw to the left-hand side of a tiny fairway to avoid the large fairway bunker on the right. From the fairway, the player aims for a green that is protected by a front left and back right bunker. The most famous portion of the course, the three-hole stretch from 15 to 17, incorporates a four-acre lake that is affectionately dubbed the “Golden Triangle.” Those three holes, along with the 18th, make up one of the top finishing stretches on the PGA Tour.
  • In summer 2008 the new practice facility opened. The 23.5-acre facility is adjacent to the new First Tee of Connecticut nine-hole golf course that is in its initial phase of construction.
  • Last year TPC River Highlands played to a scoring average of 69.67, just over a quarter of a shot under par.  It ranked 26th hardest course on the PGA Tour.  In 2015 it was to an average of 69.38, almost a three quarters of a shot under par.  It ranked as the 29th hardest course on the PGA Tour that year.  In 2014 it played to a 69.69 average while in 2013 TPC River Highlands played to a 70.25 scoring average, just a quarter of a shot over par.    So it has played easy of late.

Let’s take a look at key stats that are important for those playing at TPC River Highlands:

This is based on the most vital stats from TPC River Highlands, based on data from last year’s Travelers and using data from all the players in the field with stats from 2017.
The most important thing to realize about TPC River Highlands, its a course that is very forgiving, you don’t kill a lot of brain cells in getting your way around it and if you drive it long and reasonably straight you can win. Just look at the roll call of past champions, guys like Bubba, Russell Perry, Phil Mickelson, Kevin Streelman, Marc Leishman and J.J. Henry, guys that hit is far and go chase it for their next shot. Now this doesn’t eliminate short hitters, guys like Brad Faxon, Woody Austin and Olin Browne have won and they are not long hitters. Last year Russell Knox won, he is classified as being in the middle, a person that can give it some stick, but is in the middle of the pack.
So your first choice should be guys that hit it a long way, guys that are hot right now and guys that showed some promise at Erin Hills.
The tournament is back to it’s regular date the week after the U.S. Open, last year it was played two months later which frankly may of changed the character of the course because it was hotter than normal and the grass was more mature being later in the year. So in a way I would throw out any the results from last year, it was just totally different. Last year the field wasn’t the great because it was the week before the Olympics, so the point is things are back to normal this week.

In looking at our four categories, we have to go outside the box. Remember this isn’t a tough course, last year it played to a 69.37 average making it the 26th hardest on tour. Hitting it long is important, making birdies are important as 1,534 were made last year making it the 39th hardest on tour, not bad for a course that only has two par 5s. To score low you have to play good on it’s 12 par 4s, last year the par 4s average was 4.01, only a half dozen full field tournaments had lower par 4 averages. So our first category is Strokes Gained Off the tee because those that do well on the course does well and has big advantage. Last year Russell Knox ranked 16th in this stat Next is Par Breakers which is a combination of birdies and Eagles, you have to make a lot of them this week to have any chance. Last year TPC River Highlands was 19th toughest on tour in this stat while Knox ranked T-5th. Our third category is scrambling, that is getting it up and down when you miss a green last year the course was the 12th hardest while Knox was T-19th last year while 2015 winner Bubba Watson led this stat. Our last category is par 4 average, last year TPC River Highlands was T-31st in this stat, Knox was 10 under last year while Bubba was 12 under on the par 4s and led that stat in 2015.

*Strokes Gained off-the-tee: Combination of distance off the tee and accuracy

*Par Breakers: Who makes the most birdies and eagles per round.

*Scrambling: The percent of time a player misses the green in regulation, but still makes par or better.

*Par 4 averages: Players that do the best on par 4s.

Of the 156 players in the field, 138 have stats on the PGA Tour for 2017. For those looking for stats on Rory McIlroy, he hasn’t played enough rounds in 2017 to qualify.

Click any column title in the table header to sort columns.

Here is the link to all of the stats for the 138 players in this year’s Travelers Championship.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the Travelers:

Key stat for the winner:

The TPC at River Highlands is a different type of TPC course.  It was a reconfiguration of a traditional, old style course, but it still has some of that flavor.  Most of the greens are small, raised or crowned, making it a scrambler’s delight.  The tournament is well supported in the community — as many as 80,000 spectators could be in attendance this week — so the timid need not apply.  Another factor that comes into play is the fact that the tournament has close finishes every year (except of course in 2009 when Russell Perry won by three).  Since it moved away from Wethersfield in 1983, 25 of the 34 tournaments have been decided by either a shot or a playoff, including in 2010 when Bubba Watson beat Scott Verplank and Corey Pavin in extra holes.  In 2012 Marc Leishman was a shot better than Charley Hoffman and Bubba Watson.  In 2014 it was another playoff, with Ken Duke getting the better of Chris Stroud. In 2015 Bubba Watson won again in a playoff, this time against Paul Casey.  Last year Russell Knox won by a shot over Jerry Kelly, so tight finishes are the norm.

Here is a chart that shows exactly how close tournaments have been in the 64-year history of the Travelers Championship:

  • Tournaments tied after 72 holes: 22
  • Tournaments won by one shot: 23
  • Tournaments won by two shots: 8
  • Tournaments won by three shots: 5
  • Tournaments won by four shots or more: 7

 

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

  • So what is the most important element for the most recent past champions of the Travelers?  Putting and hitting it a long way.  Look at Russell Knox last year, his key was hitting a lot of greens, but putting was very important for him as in the 48 putts he had of 4 feet and in he made every one.  Look at Bubba Watson in 2015, he not only was the longest driver in the field, but also had the best overall putting average. Kevin Streelman in 2014, he was 1st in putting average, 8th in total putting and 3rd in strokes gained putting.  The year before Ken Duke was 1st in putting average, 3rd in total putting and 10th in strokes gained putting.  To put this into prespective, of the last ten champions in total number of putts, 6 of them were in the top-five and all of them were in the top-13, so putting well is the key to being successful.
  • Hitting it far is more important than accuracy because the last 11 of 17 champions have been in the top-13 of the driving distance stat while only six winner have broken into the top-ten of the accuracy stat just once.  Last year’s winner Russell Knox was 24th in driving distance and T-30th in driving accuracy.  But in 2015 Bubba Watson was 1st in driving distance and 70th in accuracy, so driving it long does have it’s advantages.
  • Playing the par 4s well is another key. Of the last 19 champions, 11 have played those holes in 8-under or better, with Notah Begay III playing them the best in 16-under in 2000. Last year Knox played the par 4s in 10 under while in 2015 Bubba played the par 4s in 12 under while the year before Kevin Streelman played them in 11-under par.
  • Hitting greens will be at a premium. Just like in a U.S. Open, hitting lots of greens goes a long way in this event.  Normally you would look for the winner to hit globs of greens and last year Knox did it hitting 57 of 72 which ranked T-5th.  But the year before Bubba hit 50 and was ranked T-38th.  The year before that Streelman hit 53 and was ranked T-10th.  But the previous three years the winners were poor in hitting greens, still in looking at the last 15 champions, seven of them were in the top-ten.
  • Now I don’t want to jinx the tournament, but weather in Connecticut will be good all four days with temperatures in the 80s each day.

 

 

Who to watch for at the Travelers Championship

Best Bets:

Paul Casey

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
T17 2

Has everything going for him, played well on Thursday and Friday at the U.S. Open, has all the stats plus has played great at TPC River Highlands.

Justin Thomas

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
T3 CUT T30

Played even better over the course of the first 54 holes at Erin Hills, bad final round but is playing well right now. Coming to a course that he finished T-3rd on last year.

Bubba Watson

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
T25 Win T31 4 T2 T38 Win T14 T6 CUT

Has had a rough year but this could be the week he breaks out of his funk. In order to do that he needs to putt a lot better than he has in 2016

Best of the rest:

Daniel Berger

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
T5

Has the stats and after a week off should be ready to win his second straight.

Marc Leishman

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
T9 T39 T11 T30 Win T70

We have been watching him play better with each week, coming to a course with good memories and you never know if all will fall into place this week.

Brendan Steele

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
T17 T25 T5 T13 CUT T13

Has played well on this course, he has the best stats for this event of anyone in the field and has played well the last month including a T-13th at Erin Hills.

Brian Harman

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
CUT 3 T42 T51 T24

Was very close at the U.S. Open, finished 3rd at River Highlands in 2015.

Solid contenders

Jordan Spieth

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
First time playing in this event

Game has been improving, even though he has never played at TPC River Highlands, look for a good week.

Rory McIlroy

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
First time playing in this event

The same for Rory, yes he missed the cut last week but could win it this week.

Charley Hoffman

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
T25 T26 T7 T2 T43 T27 CUT

Another that comes from Erin Hills with a hot hand. Has all of the right stats to do well, should do well this week.

Jason Day

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
T18 T27

Another top guy looking to lick the wounds from a poor U.S. Open, course may not be for him but he wants to contend again look for him to do well.

Brandt Snedeker

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
T10 T11 T24 CUT T47

Has a good record in this event, gave has been ok of late including a T-9th at Erin Hills.

Long shots that could come through:

Xander Schauffele

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
First time playing in this event

T-5th last week at Erin Hills, has all of the key stats for a very good week.

Lucas Glover

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
CUT CUT T47 CUT T11 T19 CUT

Hits all of the shots to do well, year he has missed the cut in three of his last four starts but could surprise us.

Tony Finau

2017 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06 ’05
T25 T25

Has the game to play well on this course, look for him to get a top-ten.

Comments

  1. I don’t believe Kenny Knox won in 2016 that would be Russell Knox.

  2. Clayton K says:

    Sal, I play Draft Kings weekly, and honestly, beat your scoring more than not. That being said, I still don’t do that well. Some weeks are good, most are break even or worse. If you’ve got the secret to success, let me know! This week, I like your picks. I would include English, Stanley, and Grillo as guys would could surprise. Of the horses, I like JT the best. Good Luck!

  3. Mark T., sorry a Freudian slip on my part, have fixed.

    Clayton, if I had the answers I wouldn’t be doing this website or working, I’d be reeling in cash every week on DraftKings. It’s really hard to play DraftKings, of course the secret is to get six guys that make the cut. If you can do that every week you can win. Last week I was terrible, at the U.S. Open only one of my six picks made the cut, but a lot of others were that way.
    Again think of picking six guys to make the cut and finish in the top-30 each week.

  4. sal, I came in 7th at The Players and hit for $3500 thanks to your site. I was at one point in 2nd all alone and had $40k next to my name. Quite exciting. I’m a subscriber for life.

    Use this site to get 4 top picks, but you’ve got to take 1 or 2 fliers. The million dollar winner us open winnet had Xander Chauflee. I’ve taken him before with mixed results. I played it pretty safe with my picks and had only 3 make the cut. My lowest ranked player was 38 in the world. How could that miss? Well it did and the guy with Xander Chauflee took home a mill. Just my take. I’ve had a pretty good 5 week run and it could all end this week.

  5. Sal correct on Draft Kings statement. Due to your site had a great Masters but floundering since as I had DJ and Jason Day last week so I lost most of my $$$. I had 6 players make the cut on one lineup and still no good as none finished inside the Top 30. Enjoy your site keep up the great work.

  6. Carlo G says:

    Don’t think Berger had a week off, Sal.

  7. I think your site is amazing, keep up the great work,
    cheap at twice the price.

  8. Michael C says:

    Love the site and its simple layout yet vast data. I use it on a weekly basis while contemplating lineups.

  9. Brian L says:

    I had my best DK weekend ever for the Travelers, in large part from some data crunching I do starting with your data. I’ve been getting better every weekend lately, either coming very lose to break-even or exceeding. This past weekend, I tripled my entry fees, and would have had an incredible payout if Berger won that playoff. I don’t know how Speith came out of the tree like that onto the fairway, and then of course holing the sand shot. Unbelievable.

  10. Brian L, glad for your good fortune, yes it sucks big time when your thinking of a big payday and all of a sudden someone holes out of a bunker, oh well that is golf.
    Glad that Golfstats can help.

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