Welcome to GOLFstats.com! You are currently viewing one of our Preview and Picks post that we publish each week. We also publish special Performance Charts for the tournaments, analyzing results over the past 8 years, a special DraftKings Picks Post, analyzing what picks are the best this week for the DraftKings games, and we do a weekly Key Fantasy Stats Post detailing what stats are most important for this weeks tournament and course, and which players excel in those stats. Very useful!
Our data is updated daily. To access all this info, and so much more, just CLICK HERE to SIGN UP for GOLFstats!

BlogCanadian Open Preview and Picks

RBC Canadian Open

July 26th – 29th, 2018

Glen Abbey G.C.

Oakville, Ontario, Canada

Par: 72 / Yardage: 7,253

Purse: $6.2 million

with $1,116,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Jhonattan Vegas

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 26 of the top 100 players and 11 of the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with just one of the top-ten in the field: #1 Dustin Johnson.  Here are the other top 50 players in the field: #4 Brooks Koepka, #11 Tommy Fleetwood, #14 Bubba Watson, #20 Sergio Garcia, #25 Kevin Kisner, #26 Matt Kuchar, #28 Tony Finau, #32 Ian Poulter, #34 Charley Hoffman and #43 Gary Woodland.

Last year there were 6 players from the top 50 in the field

The field includes 4 of the Top 25 on this year’s FedEx Cup point list:  Those players include #1 Dustin Johnson, #10 Tony Finau, #13 Brooks Koepka and #18 Chesson Hadley.

The field includes 6 past champions: Jhonattan Vegas (2016 & ’17), Brandt Snedeker (2013), Scott Piercy (2012), Sean O’Hair (2011), Chez Reavie (2008) and Jim Furyk (2006 & ’07)

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the RBC Canadian Open field is our performance chart listed by the average finish. One last way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at RBC Canadian Open in the last five years or check out our brand new and sortable 8-year glance at the RBC Canadian Open.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the RBC Canadian Open

Player British Open Barbasol John Deere Scottish Open Greenbrier Irish Open Quicken Loans French Open Travelers BMW Intern. U.S. Open FedEx St. Jude
Brooks Koepka
(225.33 pts)
T39
(22)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T19
(20.67)
DNP Win
(176)
T30
(6.67)
Joel Dahmen
(213 pts)
DNP T15
(35)
T2
(100)
DNP T5
(70)
DNP T23
(18)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Tony Finau
(209 pts)
T9
(90)
DNP DNP DNP T21
(29)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP 5
(93.33)
CUT
(-3.33)
Tommy Fleetwood
(202.67 pts)
T12
(76)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T59
(0)
2
(133.33)
DNP
Kevin Kisner
(186.67 pts)
T2
(200)
DNP DNP DNP 55
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP
Troy Merritt
(167 pts)
DNP Win
(132)
T43
(7)
DNP DNP DNP T17
(22)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T12
(12.67)
Stewart Cink
(163.33 pts)
T24
(52)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T23
(18)
DNP T2
(66.67)
DNP DNP T4
(26.67)
Charley Hoffman
(160.33 pts)
T17
(66)
DNP DNP T19
(31)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T15
(23.33)
DNP T20
(40)
DNP
Sam Ryder
(159 pts)
DNP T7
(55)
T2
(100)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T48
(1.33)
DNP T26
(16)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Dustin Johnson
(144 pts)
CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP 3
(120)
Win
(44)
Bronson Burgoon
(130 pts)
CUT
(-20)
DNP T2
(100)
DNP T30
(20)
DNP T6
(40)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Harold Varner III
(116 pts)
DNP DNP 6
(60)
DNP T5
(70)
DNP T41
(6)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-13.33)
T51
(0)
Joaquin Niemann
(115.67 pts)
DNP DNP T23
(27)
DNP T5
(70)
DNP T17
(22)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Billy Horschel
(115.33 pts)
DNP T2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T17
(22)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T51
(0)
J.T. Poston
(100.33 pts)
DNP 5
(70)
T65
(0)
DNP T39
(11)
DNP T27
(15.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T18
(10.67)
Fabian Gomez
(96.33 pts)
DNP T15
(35)
T23
(27)
DNP T56
(0)
DNP T32
(12)
DNP T19
(20.67)
DNP DNP T45
(1.67)
David Lingmerth
(92.67 pts)
DNP T15
(35)
T72
(0)
DNP T11
(39)
DNP T48
(1.33)
DNP T19
(20.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Bubba Watson
(91.67 pts)
CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP DNP T13
(37)
DNP DNP DNP Win
(88)
DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP
Tom Lovelady
(87.67 pts)
DNP T2
(100)
T50
(1)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T64
(0)
DNP T61
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Brandt Snedeker
(86 pts)
CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP DNP T3
(90)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T48
(2.67)
T6
(20)
J.B. Holmes
(80 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T2
(66.67)
DNP DNP 3
(30)
Ryan Armour
(75.67 pts)
CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP DNP T21
(29)
DNP 2
(66.67)
DNP T56
(0)
DNP DNP DNP
Kelly Kraft
(75.33 pts)
CUT
(-20)
DNP T63
(0)
DNP 2
(100)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T47
(2)
DNP DNP 66
(0)
J.J. Henry
(75.33 pts)
DNP T15
(35)
T34
(16)
DNP T21
(29)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T42
(5.33)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Steve Wheatcroft
(74.67 pts)
DNP T10
(40)
T12
(38)
DNP T65
(0)
DNP DNP DNP T61
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Keith Mitchell
(72.67 pts)
DNP DNP T7
(55)
DNP T30
(20)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T56
(0)
DNP DNP T37
(4.33)
Tyler Duncan
(71.67 pts)
DNP T49
(1)
T12
(38)
DNP T39
(11)
DNP T41
(6)
DNP T33
(11.33)
DNP T56
(0)
T37
(4.33)
Blayne Barber
(68.67 pts)
DNP T12
(38)
T43
(7)
DNP T39
(11)
DNP T53
(0)
DNP T26
(16)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Hunter Mahan
(67.67 pts)
DNP T7
(55)
T34
(16)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T56
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Matt Kuchar
(66.67 pts)
T9
(90)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-13.33)
DNP
Scott Brown
(65.67 pts)
DNP T21
(29)
T12
(38)
DNP T56
(0)
DNP T60
(0)
DNP T47
(2)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Cameron Percy
(65 pts)
DNP T7
(55)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T56
(0)
DNP T32
(12)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T26
(8)
Dylan Meyer
(62.33 pts)
DNP DNP T43
(7)
DNP DNP DNP T17
(22)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T20
(40)
DNP
Sam Saunders
(62 pts)
DNP DNP T60
(0)
DNP T5
(70)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T47
(2)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Seamus Power
(62 pts)
DNP T34
(16)
T16
(34)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T53
(0)
DNP T36
(9.33)
DNP DNP T12
(12.67)

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the RBC Canadian Open

Player British Open Barbasol John Deere Scottish Open Greenbrier Irish Open Quicken Loans French Open Travelers BMW Intern. U.S. Open FedEx St. Jude
Jonas Blixt
(-46.67 pts)
CUT
(-20)
DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T53
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP
Andrew Yun
(-46.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Harris English
(-46.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Martin Piller
(-36.67 pts)
DNP T53
(0)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Matt Every
(-36.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
WD
(-5)
DNP DQ
(-5)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Tyrone Van Aswegen
(-36.67 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP 77
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Adam Schenk
(-34 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP T41
(6)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Cameron Tringale
(-33.33 pts)
DNP CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP T69
(0)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Marty Dou Zecheng
(-31.67 pts)
DNP WD
(-5)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T56
(0)
Daniel Summerhays
(-30 pts)
DNP T53
(0)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

Another great British Open, on a scale of 1 to 100 it had to be a 95.  A bit disappointed to see Tiger not able to win, same for Justin Rose and Rory McIlroy.  But have to say this Francesco Molinari is a really good player who at 35 years old has finally hit his stride.  People don’t realize that he has been a mainstay on the European Tour since 2005 and going into this year had won five times on the European Tour.  Now he has really gone crazy.  Since winning the BMW PGA Championship in May he has played in six events and won three of them, was runner-up twice and was T-25th at the U.S. Open.  He is 78 under par (that includes 2 majors) and has earned $5,574,436 (or about $101,353 a day).  I would have to say that based on his season Molinari is your player of the year.

It’s amazing how each year the British Open seems to create a lot of buzz and excitement.  I can’t put my finger on a real reason other than the course and the importance that both NBC and Sky Sports puts into it.  People don’t realize how really tough Carnoustie is and for the winning score to only be 8 under is remarkable.  If this was St. Andrews the winning score would have been closure to 25 under and there would have been dozens of scores under 65 and it’s reasonable to say that a sub 60 score could have been possible

Now my one big disappointment was the play of Dustin Johnson.  Sorry, but he has no business shooting 76-72 he is that good of a player.  Matter of fact I am pretty tired of the play of the top-ten of the world rankings in the majors.  Below is a chart on how last week’s top-tens have played so far in the three major championships.

Player                                Masters    U.S. Open    British Open

  • 1. Dustin Johnson       T-10                    3                         Cut
  • 2. Justin Thomas        T-17                  T-25                      Cut
  • 3. Justin Rose              T-12                  T-10                      T-2
  • 4. Brooks Koepka         DNP                Win                      T-39
  • 5. Jon Rahm                   4                      Cut                       Cut
  • 6. Jordan Spieth            3                      Cut                        T-9
  • 7. Rickie Fowler             2                     T-20                     T-28
  • 8. Rory McIlroy            T-5                    Cut                       T-2
  • 9. Jason Day                 T-20                  Cut                       T-17
  • 10. Tommy Fleetwood T-17                    2                         T-12

Sorry but I just can’t fathom both Dustin Johnson and Justin Thomas missing the cut.  They were both heavenly favorite and better than to miss the cut.  No rhyme or reason other than just not working hard enough on their games.

As for Rory McIlroy, he was very impressive, especially from tee to green. He still missed a lot of putts and if he could make his fair share of putts between 5 and 20 feet would be awesome.  I just have a feeling after watching him on Sunday that he is ready to break out and I will say this, I think he will win between now and the Ryder Cup.

Have to say the same thing about Tiger Woods.  He is putting the pieces together and it’s only a matter of time that he wins.  Tiger realizes that he isn’t the same player he was 15 years ago, but at the same time, he is doing things to reduce problems that lead to bogeys and doubles.  He has been very patient and all of this will pay off.  Oh have to say this, he will be playing in the Ryder Cup, no issues over this.

RBC Canadian Open

First played in 1904, only the British Open, U.S. Open, and BMW (old Western Open) are older.  To think that 108 have been played and for the treatment, it gets on the PGA Tour is cruel.  It has always been saddled with a tough date and this week has to be the worst.  With the British Open last week, the WGC-Bridgestone next week and then the following week the PGA Championship it means a four-week commitment for the top players to attend this week.  This is why of the marquee players in golf we only see Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Tommy Fleetwood, Sergio Garcia, Matt Kuchar and Bubba Watson playing this week.  Making things harder for Golf Canada, the tournament’s governing body is the future.  They made a commitment to take the tournament all-around Canada to other clubs in other parts of the country, but at the end of the day, Glen Abbey is the course best suited to hold the tournament.  So for the 4th year in a row and for the 5th time in five years, it returns to Glen Abbey the favorite venue of the modern-day Canadian Open.

But things will be drastically different after this year.  The good news is a change of date, next year the Canadian Open will be the week before the U.S. Open and even though it will be on the east coast while the U.S. Open is in California, they will get the best field they have ever gotten.  Now that is the good news, the bad news is that for the 30th time Glen Abbey will hold the Canadian Open and there is a good chance this could be the last time it ever holds it.

The company that owns it ClubLink is trying to develop on the property and replace Glen Abbey with about 3,000 homes.  The community has been fighting them tooth and nail, but it’s only a matter of time.  Will Glen Abbey ever hold another Canadian Open, nobody at this juncture really knows.

Let’s take a look at vital stats that are important for those playing at Glen Abbey

This is based on the most vital stats from Glen Abbey, based on data from last year’s RBC Canadian Open and using data from all the players in the field with stats from 2018.

Even though this event tries to move around to different courses in Canada, Glen Abbey has been used 10 times since 1998, and with the course possibly being torn apart for houses, there is a good chance this could be the last Canadian Open to be played on it. Right now Hamilton Golf and Country Club has been named the host of the 2019 championship.

The course is Jack Nicklaus first effort by himself. It’s very well loved by PGA Tour players who find the course challenging off the tee, but easy to score. Last year the course played to a 70.37 average, almost three-quarters of a shot under par. It ranked 42nd hardest on tour. One thing that sticks out is that players have to drive it straight and the course can’t be overpowered. It has a very unusual finish as three of the final 6 holes are par 5, so scoring tends to come late. Even though four of the last six holes are the easiest on the course, the par 4, 14th was the hardest hole on the course and the 58th hardest hole on tour at 4.233 while the par 4, 17th hole which is usually really tough was under par for the first time in years at 3.942 showing that the finish isn’t a complete layup.

One thing that the players will have to worry about is the weather. In looking at the forecast for Glen Abbey every day will have a chance of rain except for Sunday which will be nice. Temperatures start off warm, it will be 80 on Thursday but as the tournament goes on more pleasant temperatures are in store as of Sunday it will only be 75 with low humidity and low winds. So the scores will probably be low.

The question is if every phase of the game will be examined at Glen Abbey? Not really, yes it’s tough off the tee but then pretty easy with greens that are true and not that tough. It’s a course that anybody that plays it will have a chance to win.

So in looking at our four categories, our first is Fairway Accuracy. It’s what makes this course tough and last year Glen Abbey ranked 13th hardest on tour, so you have to be straight to play well. Next up is Greens in Regulation, Glen Abbey ranked 27th, and you better be good with your irons to the greens. Our third stat is Strokes Gained-Putting, we chose that because Glen Abbey was relaxed in all putting stats including putting average were it ranked T-47th. So look for the good putter to do well. Last is birdie average, lot’s of birdies are made with the average being 4.31 per player which ranked 47th on tour in 2017.

Jhonattan Vegas seems to own the course He has won the last two years and in that time is 33 under par. So how did he do the last two years he won the event? In fairway accuracy, Vegas was wild compared to the others in the field, ranking T-55th in 2016 and T-53rd previous year. He did so much better in Greens hit, ranking T-3rd in 2016 and T-7th last year. In strokes gained-putting, he was 29th in 2016 and 11th last year while in birdie average he was 1st in 2016 and last year.

So I know the field isn’t the best, but this tournament has a lot of history and is played on a great course, so we will have a great finish.

*Fairway Accuracy: The percentage of time a tee shot comes to rest in the fairway

*Greens in Regulation: The percent of time a player was able to hit the green in regulation

*Strokes Gained-Putting: The number of putts a player takes from a specific distance is measured against a statistical baseline to determine the player’s strokes gained or lost on a hole.

*Birdie Average: Average number of birdies made during a round.

Here are the 125 of the 156 players from this year’s field with stats from 2018:

Click any column title in the table header to sort columns.

Here is a link to the other 115 players.

DraftKings tips

*Here are the guys that cost the most on DraftKings this week:

  • Dustin Johnson – $11,700
  • Brooks Koepka – $10,800
  • Tommy Fleetwood – $10,500
  • Sergio Garcia – $9,900
  • Tony Finau – $9,800
  • Bubba Watson – $9,600
  • Matt Kuchar – $9,500
  • Joaquin Niemann – $9,400
  • Jimmy Walker – $9.300
  • Gary Woodland – $9,200
  • Ian Poulter – $9,100
  • Kevin Kisner – $9,000

I can tell you off the bat that I don’t like Dustin Johnson at $11,700, Brooks Koepka at $10,800, Sergio Garcia at $9,900, Bubba Watson at $9,600 and Matt Kuchar at $9,500.  As for Johnson he lost a bunch of style points for not playing well at Carnoustie, sorry but the course was deemed up for him.  I do like Tommy Fleetwood at $10,500, he has played well and should do OK this week.  Same with Tony Finau at $9,800 I think he will do just fine.  Joaquin Niemann at $9,400 is also high on my list, the course is right up his alley.  As for Jimmy Walker at $9,300 and Gary Woodland at $9,200 I like both of them and fell they will produce big time for you.  Ian Poulter at $9,100 is very high but still see him playing well.  I also didn’t like what I saw of Kevin Kisner at Carnoustie, many will take him but at $9,000 think he is too long.

*Players in that $7,500 to $8,900 price range, which ones are worth the money?:

Steve Stricker is back at $8,800 and I say take him.  He has played way too good on the PGA Tour in 2018 and should do ok this week.  Also like Charley Hoffman at $8,700, he is good on the course.  Brandt Snedeker at $8,500 is good, he plays well on the course.  Billy Horschel at $8,000 is a good buy do to his great numbers in driving and making birdies.  Jamie Lovemark at $7,800 is another great buy and should be ok.

*Some of the “bargains” this week at the RBC Canadian Open

Have to like past champion Chez Reavie at $7,300.  Same with last week’s winner Troy Merritt at $7,200 he should do better than the way Draft Kings has his numbers at.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the RBC Canadian Open:

Key stat for the winner:

Those that have played the course before will have a slight edge but the key to the course will be for those to manage the par 4s.  With the 16th playing as a par 4 in 2004 instead of a par 5, it was the 11th toughest hole on the PGA Tour in 2004.  In 2009 as a par 5 it was the 896th rank hole that year on the PGA Tour (out of 918) showing how much easier it is as a par  In 2015 it was the 920th hardest hole on tour (out of 936) playing to a 4.457 average.  Last year it was the 884th hardest hole with a 4.3434 average.  On the other hand, the 14th hole was the 10th hardest hole on the PGA Tour in 2004 and the 48th hardest in 2009 as it played to a 4.276 average.  In 2015 it was the 47th hardest hole on Tour at 4.282 while last year it was the 58th hardest on tour with a 4.433 average. Both holes will be important for the winner to master.  Both of these holes will hold the key to a winners score.  In 2015 Jason Day played the 14th hole in 1 over and the 16th hole in 3 under.  The real key for Day winning, he played 16, 17 and 18 in 10 under par.  The same for last year and 2016 winner Jhonattan Vegas.  In 2016 he played the 14th hole in 2 over and the 16th in 3 under.  For the week Vegas played 15, 16, 17 and 18 in 4 under par.  Last year Vegas played the 14th hole in 1 over and 15, 16, 17 and 18 in 6 under, again big key in winning.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

Over the years Glen Abbey got a reputation as a long hitters kind of course, but if you look at all of the champions since 1990 all but Jason Day, Greg Norman, Tiger Woods and Vijay Singh were short hitters.  But you can add Jhonattan Vegas to the list of long drivers to win at Glen Abbey.  Another thing, most of the winners at Glen Abbey fade the ball, that makes sense since five of the six holes that bend go to the right, a Jack Nicklaus design trait.

Greens are contoured and well bunkered which means that those that scramble will do very well.

Putting seems to be the key to success at Glen Abbey.  Those that have put well tend to get the nod over players that hit lots of greens.  So a good putter and scrambler will prevail this week.

With the last hole being a par 5, it has produced some wild finishes over the years. Final hole birdies were made by Greg Norman in 1992 to get into a playoff, and by David Frost (’93) and Nick Price (’94) to win by one.  ’98 was the most bizarre finish with Andrade winning the playoff with a par, while in  ’99 Hal Sutton birdied the hole three times and made par it in the final round.  2000 will always be tops on the highlight reel for Tiger Woods hitting the prettiest shot from a fairway bunker over the lake to made birdie and nip Grath Waite by a shot while in 2004 Vijay Singh made a birdie, Mike Weir didn’t which forced a playoff which Singh won.  In 2008 Chez Reavie played the hole in three under, including a birdie in the final round, an accomplishment that most of the winners achieve in the final round.  In 2015 Jason Day birdied the final hole to win by a shot over Bubba Watson.  The 18th hole proved to be kind to Day as he made three birdies and an eagle on the hole.  Now in 2016, Jhonattan Vegas pulled off a miracle finish of making birdies on 16, 17 and 18 for a one-shot win over Jon Rahm, Dustin Johnson and Martin Laird.  Last year Vegas was able to play the last two holes with two pars to win.

 

With a field that isn’t loaded with marquee names, I would say a first-time winner is very probable.  The last three winners Jhonattan Vegas, Jason Day and Brandt Sneaker weren’t first-time winners but the past has been loaded with them. Nathan Green was a first-time winner in 2009 when the Canadian Open was held at Glen Abbey.  Chez Reavie was also a first time PGA Tour winner in 2008. The last time a first-time winner prevailed at the Canadian Open was in 2002 and previous to that was in 1996 when Dudley Hart won and before that, it was in 1981 when Peter Oosterhuis won.  So the RBC Canadian Open at Glen Abbey has favored non-winners, a trend that could continue this year.

 

Now we tend to forget that this is the national open of Canada but it’s been a while since a Canadian has one it.  You have to go back to 1954 when Pat Fletcher won it.  Mike Weir came close to winning in 2004, only to give up a lead on the final holes and then lose a playoff to Vijay Singh.  Other than that it’s been a bit bare as Dave Barr finished T4th in 1988, while David Morland IV finished T5th in 2001.   Now Weir has always been the sentimental choice of this event and wasn’t in the field last year due to his elbow problems.  He is back this year but the odds on him just making the cut isn’t very high.  So who could be the Canadian with the best chance of winning?  Of those in the field, Adam Hadwin is the highest ranked, being 55th in the Official World Rankings.  Next, best is Graham Delaet at 218 followed by Mackenzie Hughes at 254th.   What do I think of a Canadian winner?  I don’t see it happening this year because none of the Canadians are playing well right now, but you never know.

Who to watch for at the RBC Canadian Open

Best Bets:

Tommy Fleetwood

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
First time playing in this event

I like him a lot and think he will take this event by storm. He now see’s he isn’t top dog in Europe with Molinari winning of late, so he would love to take that title back, a win this week will help.

Charley Hoffman

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
2 T29 T7 CUT T16 CUT T4 T28

Likes the course and has done well in the past, including runner-up last year.

Brandt Snedeker

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T5 T25 Win T34 CUT T5 T7

Yes I like him a lot because he loves Glen Abbey and has played it well.

Best of the rest:

Joaquin Niemann

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
First time playing in this event

This guy is dangerous in any event he plays in.

Gary Woodland

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
4 T61 CUT

Another of those boys who’s game favors Glen Abbey thanks to his driver play.

Steve Stricker

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T63 10

This is a guy that always does well and has gotten better with age. On this course he can win.

Tony Finau

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T5 T70 T22

He is ready to win any week now, good with the driver and will play well.

Matt Kuchar

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T32 T9 T7 T4 T2 T34 CUT T4 CUT

He is good at Glen Abbey, look for him to be in the top-ten.

Solid contenders

Brooks Koepka

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T18

Another of those guys that can get the best out of Glen Abbey.

Chez Reavie

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T23 T14 T41 T31 T37 T13 CUT Win

The guy has missed his last four cuts, but I think that streak ends here in a big way.

Jhonattan Vegas

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
Win Win T48 CUT T28

Can’t count him out since he is the defenders, defenders.

Keegan Bradley

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T14 T22

Another guy whose game is coming around and could do well here.

Long shots that could come through:

Ian Poulter

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
3

Looking to play well, wants to make the Ryder Cup team.

Jamie Lovemark

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T12 T46

Has played the course a lot and does well on it.

Stewart Cink

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T62 CUT T5 T34 T11

Always plays steady, good for DraftKings players.

Worst Bets:

Dustin Johnson

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T8 T2 CUT T2 WD

He would much rather be at a beach than playing golf this week. His game is not very sharp, honestly he probably should have taken the week off but he has a contract to do work for the sponsor so he has to come. If he makes the cut it will be a good week for him.

Speak Your Mind

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.