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BlogMayakoba Preview and Picks

Mayakoba Golf Classic

November 8th – 11th, 2018

El Camaleon G.C.

Playa Del Carmen,, Mexico

Par: 71 / Yardage: 6,987

Purse: $7.2 Million

with $1,296,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Patton Kizzire

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 10 players from the top 50 in the latest Official World Rankings, with the highest rank player being #9 Rickie Fowler.  There is a total of 29 top-100 players in the field, after Fowler its #14 Jordan Spieth, #15 Tony Finau, #31 Gary Woodland, #32 Kevin Kisner, #35 Billy Horschel, #40 Matt Kuchar, #45 Brian Harman, #46 Charley Hoffman, #50 Emiliano Grillo, #52 Aaron Wise, #55 Siwoo Kim, #56 Luke List, #57 Pat Perez, #59 Zach Johnson, #60 Chez Reavie, #61 Adam Hadwin, #63 Kevin Chappell, #69 Ryan Moore, #77 Russell Henley, #81 Charles Howell III, #82 Beau Hossler, #88 J.B. Holmes, #92 Andrew Landry, #94 Sungjae Im, #95 Jason Dufner, #97 Patton Kizzire, #98 Abraham Ancer and #100 Cameron Davis.

Last year there was just 7 top-50 players and a total of 18 players in the top-100.

The field includes 4 of the Top 25 on the FedEx point standings for 2018.  Those players are #5 Billy Horschel, #6 Tony Finau, #17 Rickie Fowler and #24 Aaron Wise.

The field includes 4 of the Top 25 on the FedEx point standings for 2019.  Those players are #6 Gary Woodland, #8 Cameron Champ, #9 Tony Finau, #10 Sam Ryder, #13 Emiliano Grillo, #15 Ryan Palmer, #17 Bronson Burgoon, #18 Abraham Ancer, #19 Scott Piercy, #22 J.B. Holmes, #23 Corey Conners and #24 Sungjae Im.

The field includes all 7 of the 11 past champions: Patton Kizzire (2018), Pat Perez (2017), Graeme McDowell (2016), Charley Hoffman (2015), Harris English (2014), John Huh (2012) and Brian Gay (2008).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the OHL Classic at Mayakoba field is our performance chart listed by the average finish. Another way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at the  OHL Classic at Mayakoba in the last five years or check out our sortable 8-year glance at the  OHL Classic at Mayakoba.

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

 

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the OHL Classic at Mayakoba

Player Shriners Hospitals WGC-HSBC Champions Sanderson Farms Nine Bridges CIMB Classic Safeway Open Tour Champ. Web.com Tour Championship BMW Champ. Dell Tech. Northern Trust Wyndham Champ.
Tony Finau
(246.5 pts)
T36
(14)
2
(100)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T15
(17.5)
DNP T8
(25)
T4
(40)
2
(50)
DNP
Gary Woodland
(239.17 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP DNP 2
(100)
T5
(46.67)
DNP T11
(19.5)
DNP T12
(19)
T24
(13)
T48
(1)
DNP
Billy Horschel
(200.83 pts)
DNP T11
(39)
DNP T67
(0)
T33
(11.33)
DNP 2
(50)
DNP T3
(45)
WD
(-2.5)
T3
(45)
T11
(13)
Cameron Champ
(167.33 pts)
T28
(22)
DNP Win
(132)
DNP DNP T25
(16.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Sam Ryder
(160.67 pts)
3
(90)
DNP DNP DNP T43
(4.67)
T4
(53.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T28
(11)
T45
(1.67)
Abraham Ancer
(157.83 pts)
T4
(80)
DNP DNP T73
(0)
T5
(46.67)
DNP DNP DNP T51
(0)
T7
(27.5)
CUT
(-5)
T24
(8.67)
C.T. Pan
(147.67 pts)
DNP T22
(28)
DNP T23
(27)
T30
(13.33)
DNP DNP DNP T38
(6)
T4
(40)
T60
(0)
T2
(33.33)
Emiliano Grillo
(137.17 pts)
DNP T14
(36)
DNP T55
(0)
T2
(66.67)
T41
(6)
DNP DNP T61
(0)
T7
(27.5)
T48
(1)
DNP
Rickie Fowler
(132.5 pts)
T4
(80)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T7
(27.5)
DNP T8
(25)
DNP DNP DNP
Denny McCarthy
(132 pts)
T15
(35)
DNP T7
(55)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP Win
(44)
DNP DNP DNP T36
(4.67)
Scott Piercy
(121.33 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP DNP T5
(70)
T27
(15.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T45
(2.5)
DQ
(-2.5)
T48
(1)
T45
(1.67)
Aaron Wise
(104.5 pts)
T15
(35)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T15
(17.5)
DNP T16
(17)
T69
(0)
T5
(35)
DNP
Adam Hadwin
(102.83 pts)
DNP T30
(20)
DNP T10
(40)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T19
(15.5)
T21
(14.5)
T11
(19.5)
DNP
Chez Reavie
(102 pts)
DNP T35
(15)
DNP T7
(55)
T43
(4.67)
T33
(11.33)
DNP DNP T38
(6)
CUT
(-5)
T20
(15)
DNP
Si Woo Kim
(97.33 pts)
T15
(35)
DNP DNP T23
(27)
T10
(26.67)
DNP DNP DNP T41
(4.5)
T35
(7.5)
T76
(0)
CUT
(-3.33)
Ryan Moore
(95.67 pts)
T36
(14)
DNP DNP T61
(0)
T66
(0)
T2
(66.67)
DNP DNP DNP T71
(0)
CUT
(-5)
T6
(20)
Robert Streb
(94 pts)
T4
(80)
DNP T26
(24)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T54
(0)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Anders Albertson
(91.67 pts)
T28
(22)
DNP T5
(70)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T31
(6.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Sungjae Im
(87.33 pts)
T15
(35)
DNP CUT
(-10)
T41
(9)
DNP T4
(53.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
J.J. Spaun
(83.5 pts)
T15
(35)
DNP DNP T10
(40)
T72
(0)
T41
(6)
DNP DNP T45
(2.5)
T66
(0)
T60
(0)
DNP
Adam Schenk
(82.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T7
(55)
DNP DNP T14
(24)
DNP T8
(16.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Corey Conners
(81.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP 2
(100)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP T45
(1.67)
Beau Hossler
(81.67 pts)
T23
(27)
DNP DNP T18
(32)
T30
(13.33)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T33
(8.5)
T35
(7.5)
T60
(0)
DNP
Martin Laird
(81.33 pts)
T28
(22)
DNP T7
(55)
DNP DNP T46
(2.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T73
(0)
T45
(1.67)
Carlos Ortiz
(80 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T3
(90)
DNP DNP T53
(0)
DNP T57
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
J.B. Holmes
(77.17 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T23
(27)
T13
(24.67)
9
(30)
DNP DNP DNP T49
(0.5)
CUT
(-5)
DNP
Sam Burns
(73.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP T3
(90)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Bronson Burgoon
(72.83 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP T2
(66.67)
T53
(0)
DNP DNP DNP T58
(0)
T11
(19.5)
CUT
(-3.33)
Pat Perez
(70.5 pts)
DNP T37
(13)
DNP T7
(55)
T63
(0)
DNP DNP DNP T55
(0)
WD
(-2.5)
T40
(5)
DNP
Patrick Rodgers
(70.33 pts)
T41
(9)
DNP T14
(36)
DNP DNP T25
(16.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T24
(8.67)
Keith Mitchell
(70.17 pts)
DNP DNP DNP T14
(36)
T22
(18.67)
DNP DNP DNP T45
(2.5)
20
(15)
CUT
(-5)
T41
(3)
Bill Haas
(64.33 pts)
DNP DNP T14
(36)
DNP DNP T10
(26.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T45
(1.67)
Danny Lee
(64.17 pts)
T41
(9)
DNP DNP DNP T33
(11.33)
T10
(26.67)
DNP DNP DNP T49
(0.5)
T34
(8)
T24
(8.67)
Cameron Davis
(64 pts)
T28
(22)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T17
(22)
DNP T3
(30)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Joaquin Niemann
(59.67 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP DNP T36
(14)
DNP T83
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T33
(5.67)

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the OHL Classic at Mayakoba

Player Shriners Hospitals WGC-HSBC Champions Sanderson Farms Nine Bridges CIMB Classic Safeway Open Tour Champ. Web.com Tour Championship BMW Champ. Dell Tech. Northern Trust Wyndham Champ.
John Huh
(-35 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-3.33)
Wesley Bryan
(-30 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Cody Gribble
(-30 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Tyler Duncan
(-28.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T69
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-3.33)
Russell Henley
(-25 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP T58
(0)
CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-3.33)
Max Homa
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T60
(0)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Jason Dufner
(-22 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T55
(0)
T43
(4.67)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
CUT
(-5)
T66
(0)
Anirban Lahiri
(-21.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP T63
(0)
CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
T71
(0)
DNP
Martin Trainer
(-21.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T60
(0)
DNP DQ
(-1.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Scott Brown
(-21.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-5)
T57
(0)

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

Can you believe it, we have had six events in 2019 and only two first time winner, Devin Tway at Safeway and Cameron Champ at Sanderson Farms.  At this time in 2016, there were five first time PGA Tour winners.  Just goes to show that anything can happen on the PGA Tour.

Talking about 2016, last year at this time going into the Mayakoba Kevin Tway was 173 in the Official World Golf Rankings, Bryson DeChambeau was 96th and Cameron Champ was still an amateur and 1,052 in the rankings.

So who to watch at Mayakoba?

Unfortunately, last week’s winner Bryson DeChambeau is not in the field, also missing from the field is WGC-HSBC champion Xander Schauffele and Nine Bridges champion Brooks Koepka.  Still, there are a lot of marquee names between Jordan Spieth, Rickie Fowler, and Tony Finau, but as we have seen long ball hitters and marquee players seem to have a tough time in this event.  Another player that is hot and probably won’t win this week is Gary Woodland, who has been in the top-12 in his last five starts.  Cameron Champ is also another hot player, winning the Sanderson Farms and playing ok in his other two PGA Tour starts.  Emiliano Grillo has also played well and he could be a player to reckon with, he was T-2nd at the CIMB Classic.  One person to watch will be Sam Ryder, who was T-4th at Safeway and 3rd last week in Las Vegas.

Course information:
  • El Camaleon was built by Greg Norman and opened in 2004. The course wines through three distinct landscapes tropical jungle, dense mangroves, and sand-lined oceanfront. The design even incorporates a cenote – an underground cavern common to the area – into the heart of the first fairway. The PGA Tour made its first stop in 2007, spending six years opposite the World Golf Championships-Accenture Match Play Championship until getting its own fall date this year.
  • Located 45 minutes south of Cancun, in the heart of the Riviera Maya, Camaleon is aptly named for its diverse layout and ever-changing landscape, always in total harmony with the region’s natural beauty.
  • For those that think that this is a resort course and is a pushover, that’s not the case.  The last time the Tour played there last year the course played to a 70.32 average and was the 32nd hardest course in 2018.  In 2017 it played under par at 69.61 and was ranked 41st.  In 2016 it played 70.02 and was ranked 35th.  In 2015 the course played to a 69.95 average and was ranked 38th while in 2014 it played to a 70.019 and ranked 39th toughest.  Now that is quite a drop and shows what happens when the wind blows in off the Gulf of Mexico.  Last year the winds were up and that is the reason for the high scoring.  In February of 2012 the course played over par at 71.65 and ranked 17th toughest, so it’s not a pushover.
  • So what will the field be challenged by?  Conditions of wind on holes that get close to the sea, the par 3 7th and 15th are on the beach.  Course water hazards come into play on six of the holes and there are 36 bunkers to avoid.  The greens average 7,000 square feet with the grass being a special blend called Sea Isle 1 Paspalum which is unique because you can use a seawater blend in irrigating the fairways, tees and greens.  The course has a rating of 73.8 from the back tees with a slope of 137.
  • In looking at long range forecasts the weather is supposed to be ok with partly cloudy skies every day and winds coming out of the east at 7 mph.  Temperatures will be good averaging around 85 each day.  There is a good chance of thunderstorms on Sunday, other than that it should be ok.

Let’s take a look at vital stats that are important for those playing at El Camaleon

This is based on the most vital stats from El Camaleon based on data from last year’s OHL Classic at Mayakoba and using data from all the players in the field with stats from 2019.
This is the 12th year that the OHL Classic at Mayakoba is being played at El Camaleon. With it played in Mexico, we don’t have true Shotlink stats to work with, so we are stuck with the old-fashion stats of fairways hit, driving distance, greens hit, scrambling, the number of putts, birdies, and eagles made. The one thing to understand about this week, last year El Camaleon played to a 70.32 average with was three-quarters of a shot under par as it ranked the 32nd hardest course on the PGA Tour. Because of high winds, it was three-quarters of a shot harder than in 2017 when it played to a 69.61 average which goes to show that wind is a very important element to the way the event plays.
So the course did play tougher, it ranked 32nd in fairways hit while in 2017 it ranked 42nd. In driving distance it ranked 4th compared to 9th in 2017, meaning that players don’t hit it very long on this course, last year it averaged 283.1, probably again due to winds. Maybe that is the reason that short hitter tends to do very well on this course as Charley Hoffman in 2015 was the only long hitter. Last year Patton Kizzire won and he ranked 61st on tour in driving distance for 2018. The point is that this event doesn’t see bombers doing well, you need a lot of other things to win, so you can’t call El Camaleon a bombers delight.

So what can we look at historically to help us find players that should do well this week? Looking at the field from last year, all of them hit six and a half out of ten fairways, a very high percentage. They also hit lot’s of greens, just under 7 of 10. Of the greens that they missed, they got it up and down just under 6 out of every 10 tries and averaged 29.15 putts per round. So it’s easy to see how each of the players in the field averaged 3.80 birdies per round and either made birdie or eagle on a quarter of the holes that they played. So frankly for the average pro, El Camaleon is a layup.

In looking at the 27 players that have finished 5th or better in the last five Mayakoba’s, the trend is that driving the ball is not important. Of the 27 players, only seven players finished the week in the top-ten in fairways hit and on six players finished in the top ten in driving distance. In 2018 only one player in the top ten finished in the top-ten in fairways hit. Now of those same 27 players, 12 of them were in the top-ten of greens hit, with two players leading that stat. Of the 27 players, 13 of the players finished in the top-ten in putts per round. Also looking at the 27 players, they averaged playing the par 3s in 4 under, the par 4s in 6 under and the par 5s in 8 under. The 27 players average making 23 birdies so you can see it’s very important to play the par 5s well and make lots of birdies.
In looking at last year’s winner Patton Kizzire, he was 21st in driving distance and T-52nd in fairways hit so that holds up with our thoughts that driving is meaningless at El Camaleon. Now he was T-7th in greens hit, 13th in scrambling and T-5th in putts per round. Going a step further, Kizzire didn’t have any 3-putts and was T-6th in one-putts, showing that around the greens and on the greens was important in his win. On the par 3s, he played them in 4 under, the best of the week was Martin Piller at 6 under. Were Kizzire excel on was the par 4s and par 5s. He was 7 under on the par 4s, (he was best in the field) and he was also best in the field on the par 5s at 8 under. Kizzire made 25 birdies, again best in the field.

So in looking at our four categories, we are going to bring a premium on putting and hitting greens. Normally we would pick strokes gained-putting, but since we are using 2019 stats and only three of the six events have that stat, we are picking putting average as our first category, last year El Camaleon ranked T-31st in this stat. Our next important stat is greens hit, again that is a stat that is important for El Camaleon, on tour it was 34th. Our third important stat is par breakers, again making lot’s of eagles and birdies is important, last year it ranked 33rd best. Last we are going to look at Par 4 leaders since this was an important stat for those on top of the leaderboard, on tour El Camaleon ranked T-15th.

One last thing to watch for is players that did well last year and be sure not to forget about Web.Com tour players. Yes, Cameron Champ who won the Sanderson and should be watched for the rest of the years. Another key, is looking for winners for this course the odds on picking a winner is slim because most of the past winners weren’t very high up on peoples list. So expect the unexpected for this week.

*Putting Average: A look at who has the least amount of putts per round.

*Greens in Regulation: Who hits the most greens during the week.

*Par Breakers: A combination of eagles and birdies made during the week to see who has the most.

*Par 4 leaders: A look at who plays the par 4s the most for the week.

116 of the 132 Players from this year’s field with stats from 2019

Click any column title in the table header to sort columns.

Here is the link to the other 106 players

DraftKings tips

*Here are the guys that cost the most on DraftKings this week:
  • Rickie Fowler – $11,500
  • Jordan Spieth – $11,300
  • Tony Finau – $11,100
  • Gary Woodland – $10,700
  • Billy Horschel – $10,200
  • Aaron Wise – $9,900
  • Emiliano Grillo – $9,700
  • Charles Howell III – $9,500
  • Beau Hossler – $9,400
  • Zach Johnson – $9,300
  • Si Woo Kim- $9,200
  • Cameron Champ $9,100
  • Luke List – $9,000

Just remember in picking that marquee names, or in this game players with high price tags don’t seem to win.  So fantasy golf wisdom states you don’t take any of the top players.  Frankly, have to say that Rickie Fowler at $11,500 is a high price but worth it when you consider how well he played last week in Vegas and how well he played last year in Mexico.  But for Jordan Spieth at $11,300 I have to say no way, he just is struggling too much now.  Tony Finau at $11,100 is a toss-up, he is playing well and could be the except to the rule for this week, I would say yes on Tony.  As for Gary Woodland at $10,700 I say no.  He burned me last week and just isn’t playing well.  The big question about Billy Horschel at $10,200 is that he was hot but has cooled down.  Could he regain some of that magic, possibly but for now I say he is a big no.  Same with Aaron Wise at $9,900 he just hasn’t shown he is ready to play great golf, still he makes a lot of birdies and eagles.  The price for Emiliano Grillo at $9,700 is high and other than a runner-up at the CIMB he hasn’t proven that he is worth the gamble.  The same with Charles Howell III at $9,500, he has once good finish but that isn’t enough to change my mind and saying no to him.  Yes, I know that Howell was T-4th last year at the Mayakoba.  Beau Hossler at $9,400 is high but he has all of the right numbers in his stats for 2019, so in my mind, he is a toss-up.  Zach Johnson at $9,300 is high when you consider he hasn’t played since the first week in September and he doesn’t have a good record in this event, so take a pass on him.  Si Woo Kim at $9,200 has the numbers in making birdies and eagles plus he has three top-25 finishes for 2019.  Still, it’s a lot of money for a guy that will finish T-15th or so.  Now I like Cameron Champ at $9,100, he has the numbers to do well if he can only make sure he can keep it in the fairway.  Last is Luke List at $9,000, his putting has been poor of late but everything else points him in a yes direction, he finished T-7th in 2017 and was great at Safeway.

*Players in that $7,500 to $8,900 price range, which ones are worth the money?:

Like J.B. Holmes at $8,900, good stats for the year including making a lot of birdies and eagles along with playing the par 4s well, he is a guy to pick.  Same with Joaquin Niemann at $8,800, I have picked him each week and he has let me down but I have a feeling this could be a great week for him.  Sam Ryder at $8,700 is also a good pick, good numbers and is the game has been coming around.  I also like Ryan Moore at $8,600, plays well at Mayakoba and the fact that I think he will have a great week.  Abraham Ancer is high at $8,400 but with his good results he is worth the money and should have a good week.  Sungjae Im at $7,800 is a person that is worth the gamble, playing well right now the course could be good for him.  Pat Perez at $7,700 is also a good pick, yes he hasn’t been on fire in the fall like he has been the last two years, but he could pick up and this is a good course for him.  Keith Mitchell at $7,600 is also a person to think about, he has great stats and shot a final round 65 at Mayakoba last week.

*Some of the “bargains” this week at the Mayakoba Golf Classic

Martin Laird at $7,400 could be a good pick, has done well in the fall and he is the type of guy that wins at Mayakoba.  Hard to believe that you can get the defender Patton Kizzire at $7,300, I say he is one of these guys that are cheap enough that it’s worth the gamble.  Another person worth the gamble is Harold Varner III at $7,300, he has played ok this fall and could surprise many.  Graham McDowell at $7,200 is another person that could help you, only problem is he won’t make many birdies and eagles, but he has played well in this event.  Watch Robert Streb at $7,000 he was T-4th last week in Las Vegas and could be a big surprise this week.  Jhonattan Vegas at $7,000 is also a good bargain, he had a great first two rounds in Vegas but was terrible over the weekend, maybe he can turn that around and play well for 72 holes.  Danny Lee at $6,900 is also worth the gamble, he has had some good rounds this fall.  I also like him on this type of course.  Brian Gay at $6,900 is also a good buy, he seems to make cuts and may not be a big point gainer but is very consistent and you can count on him for 72 holes.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the Mayakoba Golf Classic:

Key stat for the winner:

In a tournament that has a history of younger players participating, older more experienced players have done well.  One historic oddity is the fact that nine of the eleven past winners were over 30 with all the average winners just a month short of being 35.  Last year’s winner Patton Kizzire was 32 years old. The first winner Fred Funk was 2 months short of his 51st birthday and 2017 winner Pat Perez was 40 years old. So old may be something to look for this week.

Here are some more key stats to look to for this week:

The tournament has had limited stats, in 2012 John Huh led the greens hit category missing only 13 of the 72 greens. while 2014 winner Harris English was T-10th hitting 55 of 72 greens.  In 2015 Charley Hoffman hit 56 of 72 greens and ranked 4th while in 2016 Graeme McDowell hit 51 of 72 greens, was ranked T-30th and in 2017 Pat Perez hit 55 of 72 greens and ranked T-11th.  Last year Patton Kizzire hit 35 fairways which ranked T-52nd and hit 54 greens which ranked T-7th  So I would say players and winners tend to hit lot’s of greens at El Camaleon.  One other oddity that I noticed of the winners, they did very well on the par 3s, In 2014 English played them in 9 under, Hoffman played them in 3 under, in 2016 McDowell played them in 5 under while Pat Perez was 9 under on them in 2017 and Kizzire was -4 last year.

Who to watch for at the OHL Classic at Mayakoba

Best Bets:

Rickie Fowler

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
2

I know that marquee guys like Rickie don’t win this event, but he is playing well and done well on this course and he will contend, hopefully, he can begin his year by finishing up and winning a tournament.

Tony Finau

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
CUT T7

In the last year he has become one of the players that you can figure will contend week in and week out, look for another good week from Finau.

Ryan Moore

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T6 T23

Fits the mode of a player in his 30s that usually wins at Mayakoba. Guy has the game and he wouldn’t surprise me in contending.

Best of the rest:

Cameron Champ

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
CUT

Guy is a winner and he is the most interesting player in the Fall Series, is playing well and think he will contend that trend.

J.B. Holmes

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
CUT

Another of those older players that could surprise all this week.

Si Woo Kim

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
3 WD T17

Has had a good year and could contend on this course.

Graeme McDowell

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T34 T24 Win T63

Has won on this course, could be a big surprise.

Solid contenders

Beau Hossler

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T34

This is his type of course and someone that could surprise us this week.

Matt Kuchar

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T68 T3 T18

Another older player who fits the mold of past winners at the Mayakoba.

Gary Woodland

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T34 2 T28

Guy has the game to play well at Mayakoba.

Joaquin Niemann

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
First time playing in this event

You just know that he will pop out at any time and be a major focus in a tournament, could be this week.

Danny Lee

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T25 WD T3 CUT WD

has had some good rounds this fall.

Long shots that could come through:

Luke List

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
CUT T7 CUT

If he can get his putter going, he could surprise us and contend.

Sam Ryder

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
CUT

Has been good in the fall and will play well this week.

Abraham Ancer

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T9 T55 CUT

Has played well of late.

Keith Mitchell

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
T68

Makes lot’s of birdies and someone that could do well.

Sorry not this week:

Jordan Spieth

2018 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07 ’06
First time playing in this event

Sorry but still feel his game is not ready to contend, is showing flashes of good play but can’t do it for 72 holes.

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