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BlogSanderson Farms Preview and Picks

Sanderson Farms Championship

September 19th – 22nd, 2019

Country Club of Jackson

Jackson, MS

Par: 72 / Yardage: 7,440

Purse: $6.6 million

with $1,188,000 to the winner

Defending Champion:
Cameron Champ

by Sal Johnson

Founder, Chief Data Officer, GOLFstats

E-mail me at:
sal@golfstats.com

This week’s field includes:

The field includes 16 players from the top-100 in the latest Official World Rankings, but only 4 from the top-50.  They are: #41 Brandt Snedeker, #45 Cameron Smith, #48 Byeong Hun An, #50 Joaquin Niemann, #54 Sungjae Im, #61 Lucas Glover, #65 Emiliano Grillo, #67 Kyle Stanley, #68 Siwoo Kim, #71 JT Poston, #73 Corey Conners, #81 Aaron Wise, #84 Scottie Scheffler, #90 Brian Harman, #92 Luke List and #100 Dylan Frittelli.

Last year there was only one top-100 player in the field so this year’s field, even though for a full field event is weak is great compared to the field at the Sanderson Farms last year.

The field includes just two players from the Top-25 on last year’s FedEx Cup list #19 ranked Sungjae Im and Brandt Snedeker.

The field includes 8 past champions: Cameron Champ (2019), Ryan Armour (2018), Peter Malnati (2016), Nick Taylor (2015), Scott Stallings (2012), Bill Haas (2010), Chad Campbell (2007) and D.J. Trahan (2006).

A perfect way for fantasy golfers to check on the past performance of all the players in the Sanderson Farms field is our performance chart listed by the average finish.  One last way to check who is the best is through a special formula worked out in Golfstats that gives us the best average performances at Sanderson Farms in the last five years or check out our brand new and sortable 8-year glance at the Sanderson Farms

A good cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmakers in England.

Another cheat sheet is this list of odds from the top bookmaker in Las Vegas.

Time to look at our who’s hot and who isn’t:

Who’s Hot in the field for the Sanderson Farms Championship

Player Greenbrier Korn Ferry Tour Champ. Tour Champ. Boise Open BMW Champ. Nationwide Children’s Northern Trust Portland Open Wyndham Champ. Ellie Mae Classic Barracuda Champ. WGC FedEx St. Jude Barbasol Champ.
Scottie Scheffler
(217.33 pts)
T7
(55)
T7
(55)
DNP T11
(26)
DNP Win
(88)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Joaquin Niemann
(183.33 pts)
Win
(132)
DNP DNP DNP T31
(19)
DNP T30
(20)
DNP T13
(12.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Tom Hoge
(181.33 pts)
2
(100)
DNP DNP T20
(20)
DNP T7
(36.67)
DNP DNP 77
(0)
DNP 6
(20)
DNP T36
(4.67)
Brandt Snedeker
(171.17 pts)
DNP DNP T24
(26)
DNP T5
(70)
DNP T6
(60)
DNP T39
(3.67)
DNP DNP T27
(11.5)
DNP
Richy Werenski
(162.33 pts)
T3
(90)
T7
(55)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T37
(8.67)
DNP DNP T39
(3.67)
DNP T41
(3)
DNP T24
(8.67)
Kramer Hickok
(149.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
3
(90)
DNP T5
(46.67)
DNP T19
(20.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T24
(8.67)
Fabian Gomez
(147 pts)
CUT
(-10)
2
(100)
DNP T51
(0)
DNP T45
(3.33)
DNP T7
(36.67)
T13
(12.33)
DNP DNP DNP T36
(4.67)
Harris English
(142 pts)
T3
(90)
T26
(24)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T14
(24)
DNP DNP T39
(3.67)
DNP T67
(0)
DNP T29
(7)
Scott Harrington
(134.33 pts)
T24
(26)
DNP DNP T43
(4.67)
DNP T14
(24)
DNP 2
(66.67)
DNP T11
(13)
DNP DNP DNP
Sungjae Im
(133 pts)
T19
(31)
DNP T19
(31)
DNP T11
(39)
DNP T38
(12)
DNP T6
(20)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Mark Hubbard
(130 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP DNP 4
(53.33)
DNP T45
(3.33)
DNP T18
(21.33)
DNP T14
(12)
DNP DNP DNP
Corey Conners
(128.83 pts)
DNP DNP T26
(24)
DNP T7
(55)
DNP T21
(29)
DNP T22
(9.33)
DNP DNP T27
(11.5)
DNP
Bronson Burgoon
(118.33 pts)
T19
(31)
DNP DNP T5
(46.67)
DNP T19
(20.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP 5
(23.33)
DNP DNP
Rob Oppenheim
(115.33 pts)
T24
(26)
T33
(17)
DNP T9
(30)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP 6
(40)
DNP T23
(9)
DNP DNP DNP
Grayson Murray
(113 pts)
T36
(14)
T7
(55)
DNP T11
(26)
DNP T23
(18)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Brian Harman
(110 pts)
T3
(90)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T52
(0)
DNP T6
(20)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Brandon Hagy
(103.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T2
(66.67)
DNP T5
(46.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Bo Hoag
(101 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T39
(11)
DNP DNP DNP T64
(0)
DNP Win
(88)
DNP T14
(12)
DNP DNP DNP
Joseph Bramlett
(97 pts)
T14
(36)
T26
(24)
DNP T25
(16.67)
DNP T23
(18)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T23
(9)
DNP DNP DNP
Lanto Griffin
(94 pts)
13
(37)
T7
(55)
DNP DNP DNP T37
(8.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
D.J. Trahan
(94 pts)
T36
(14)
T7
(55)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T37
(8.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T41
(3)
DNP T6
(20)
David Hearn
(93.67 pts)
T57
(0)
T4
(80)
DNP T61
(0)
DNP T32
(12)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T54
(0)
DNP T45
(1.67)
Sebastian Munoz
(90.67 pts)
T7
(55)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T43
(7)
DNP T48
(0.67)
DNP 11
(13)
DNP T9
(15)
Robby Shelton
(85.33 pts)
T7
(55)
T39
(11)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T11
(26)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Brendon Todd
(85 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T67
(0)
DNP T20
(20)
DNP T2
(66.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T25
(8.33)
DNP T53
(0)
J.T. Poston
(85 pts)
DNP DNP DNP DNP T16
(34)
DNP T59
(0)
DNP Win
(44)
DNP DNP DNP T29
(7)
Zac Blair
(84.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T9
(30)
DNP T45
(3.33)
DNP T24
(17.33)
DNP Win
(44)
DNP DNP DNP
Tyler Duncan
(83.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T4
(80)
DNP T30
(13.33)
DNP T71
(0)
DNP DNP T39
(3.67)
DNP 64
(0)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Matt Jones
(83.33 pts)
T10
(40)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T30
(20)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP T4
(26.67)
Robert Streb
(83.33 pts)
66
(0)
DNP DNP T30
(13.33)
DNP T5
(46.67)
DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP T3
(30)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Lucas Glover
(83 pts)
DNP DNP T29
(21)
DNP T7
(55)
DNP T43
(7)
DNP T72
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Matthew NeSmith
(81.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP Win
(88)
DNP T45
(3.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T8
(16.67)
DNP DNP DNP
Ryan Brehm
(79.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T46
(4)
DNP T5
(46.67)
DNP T19
(20.67)
DNP T18
(21.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP
Anirban Lahiri
(73.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T5
(46.67)
DNP T7
(36.67)
DNP DNP T53
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Chris Baker
(69 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T4
(80)
DNP T37
(8.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T39
(3.67)
DNP DNP DNP

How Player Rankings are Computed

Who’s Not Hot in the field for the Sanderson Farms Championship

Player Greenbrier Korn Ferry Tour Champ. Tour Champ. Boise Open BMW Champ. Nationwide Children’s Northern Trust Portland Open Wyndham Champ. Ellie Mae Classic Barracuda Champ. WGC FedEx St. Jude Barbasol Champ.
Freddie Jacobson
(-33.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP T70
(0)
Sebastian Cappelen
(-30 pts)
T64
(0)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Tim Wilkinson
(-26.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP
Jamie Lovemark
(-26.67 pts)
CUT
(-10)
T67
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP
Michael Gellerman
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP T61
(0)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Nelson Ledesma
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP T45
(3.33)
DNP T58
(0)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP
Kevin Streelman
(-23.33 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP DNP
Boo Weekley
(-20 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP WD
(-3.33)
DNP CUT
(-6.67)
DNP DNP T69
(0)
DNP DNP DNP 69
(0)
J.J. Henry
(-20 pts)
CUT
(-10)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
Peter Malnati
(-18.33 pts)
WD
(-5)
DNP DNP DNP DNP DNP CUT
(-10)
DNP CUT
(-3.33)
DNP DNP DNP T73
(0)

How Player Rankings are Computed

The Buzz:

So the Sanderson Farms is no longer an opposite-field event.  For the last few years, it was played opposite the WGC-HSBC in China and frankly didn’t get much love.  But now the Sanderson Farms is a full-field event, the biggest perk is the winner will get a Masters invite.

For the privilege, the event is paying more money.  For that the premise is they would get a better field.  That has been achieved, last year they only had one top-100 player while this year they have 16 players.  The only problem the highest-ranked is 41st Brandt Snedeker, but it is a great start.

Could 2020 be different?

Last week we saw the future of the PGA Tour.  With the likes of Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, Brooks Koepka and even Rory McIlroy we have seen younger players do more wonderful things while they were young.  Last year we saw players like Cameron Champ win early, but after the fall Champ never made it back to the top-ten.  But a weird trend started when 20-year-old Matthew Wolf won the 3M Open.  Players under 25 were in the running, a couple of weeks later22-year-oldd Collin Morikawa won the Barracuda.  Players like 21-year-old Viktor Hovland was in the running and it seemed that the PGA Tour has gotten very young.  At the beginning of the new year, 20-year-old Joaquin Niemann won the Military Tribute at The Greenbrier and it’s now time to wonder, could we see a lot of young winners on the PGA Tour in 2020?  We saw what happened on the LPGA Tour win 15 year-old Lydia Ko won the 2012 Canadian Women’s Open and Lexi Thompson at 16 winning the 2011 Navistar. You rarely see anyone in their 30s win on the LPGA Tour today, I don’t think the PGA Tour will get that way.  But the question still begs an answer on how many under 25s will win in 2020.  We saw it big time with McIlroy and Spieth, but now we have a different generation of players, those that really don’t value a college diploma but feel they are not only ready to play on the PGA Tour but to win.  When you see the top-ten of the Greenbrier scoreboard it’s interesting to note that six of the 12 in the top-ten (Niemann, Werenski, Scheffler, Shelton, Munoz and Hovland) were under 27.  To be frank we only have one to judge from and if you look last year Cameron Champ won Sanderson, was T-10th at the Mayakoba Classic and 6th at the RSM Classic and never saw the top-ten again.  He was T-11th at the Sentry T of C but after that he didn’t have a top-20.  But have to say that players like Viktor Hovland, Joapquin Niemann, Matthew Wolf and Collin Morikawa did have better pedigrees than Cameron Champ had.  All I am saying is that it should be an interesting couple of weeks to see if the tour sees more younger players getting trophies.

Here are some tournament and course information:
  • This event has been played in Mississippi since 1968.  In the beginning, it was an unofficial event and became an official event on the PGA Tour in 1986.  In it’s first year and until 1993, it played opposite to the Masters.  It was called the Deposit Guaranty and was played at Hattisburg C.C. in Hattiesburg, Miss.  Not only did the date change to July and opposite the British Open, in 1994 the event moved to Madison, Miss and the Annandale Country Club.  It again was moved in the schedule in 1999 when it was opposite the Tour Championship, the Ryder Cup and the Presidents Cup.  In 2011 it switched back to July and the same week as the British Open with Sanderson Farms taking over in 2013.  Not only did the date change but the course was different for the first time in 20 years as it moved to The Country Club of Jackson.
  • The course wasn’t the whole reason for the change, Unlike Annandale, the country club offers more than 120,000 square feet of roofed infrastructure which means more money will be donated to charity.  The course is also terrific and has gone through a lot of changes since the summer.  The biggest change is the fairways have been narrowed and a second cut added with the rough being allowed to grow in.
  • The course is a John Fought design that features “Golden Age” architectural features with pushed up greens and closely mown run off areas. If the course stays dry, the greens will be treacherous and could make things interesting.
  • The site had an interesting history because it was better know in Mississippi not for golf but were in 1966 it was the site of a famous raid that caused liquor to be legalization in the state.  So the Country Club of Jackson will this week be remembered as the site that changed the last dry state in the United States instead of for the Sanderson Farms Championship.

Here are some of the secrets of what it takes to play well at the Sanderson Farms Championship:

  • With a new course, it’s always up for grabs, nobody has any history and it will take a few years before we see who gains an advantage playing here.  But we learned a lot the last five years it’s been played there, first that hitting greens is important. C.C. of Jackson ranked 29th hardest last year as the course is getting tougher to hit greens.  In 2018 it was 24th hardest while it was 37th hardest of the 50 courses in 2017, 46th in 2016 and 38th in 2015 so players tended to hit lot’s of greens. Of the 34 that finished in the top-ten the first three years, 19 of them were in the top-ten in greens hit with last years winner Cameron Champ finishing T-9th.  In 2018 Ryan Armour ranked 3rd while 2017 winner Cody Gribble finishing T-29th in Greens hit.  But in 2016, winner Peter Malnati finished T-4th in greens hit while runner-up William McGirt finished T-4th and in 2015 winner Nick Taylor finished T-3rd while runnerup Jason Bohn finished T-1st. So the point is, you have to hit lot’s of greens.
  • On the face of it, we’re looking at a pretty long golf course, with the par-five fifth hole able to stretch to 612 yards before the difficult-looking sixth at close to 500 (482). Holes 14 and 15 would look to offer up birdie opportunities before a tough closing stretch, on the Dick Wilson design course in which the finishing hole is a 505 yard, par 4.  Oh, for the record there is no let-up on the par-4s, only one the 16th is under 400 yards so maybe a power hitter is the player to look for.  The par 5s played tough last year as they were the 12th hardest par 5s on the PGA Tour with a 4.71 scoring average.
  • This is also one of those courses that you have to hit it long and straight.  Last year it ranked 12th in driving distance but in 2016 it was 1st and in 2015 it was 10th.  But in looking at our five winners at C.C. of Jackson most of them were short hitters, so this is not a bombers course.
  • The weather is going to be nice for the players this week with highs in the lows 80s every day with very little chance of rain.  Things will start changing on Saturday as winds pick up to 10 mph and on Sunday winds will increase to 13 mph with a chance of scattered Thunderstorms.

DraftKings tips

*Here are the guys that cost the most on DraftKings this week:

  • Joaquin Niemann – $11,300
  • Brandt Snedeker – $10,700
  • Sungjae Im – $10,500
  • Lucas Glover – $10,200
  • Byeong Hun An – $10,000
  • Scottie Scheffler – $9,900
  • Cameron Smith – $9,800
  • Brian Harman – $9,700
  • Corey Conners – $9,600
  • J.T. Poston – $9,500
  • Emiliano Grillo – $9,400
  • Vaughn Taylor – $9,300
  • Dylan Frittelli – $9,200
  • Russell Henley – $9,100
  • Austin Cook – $9,000

Just like last week because of the nature of the field, it will be very hard to pick a winner.  Joaquin Niemann normally would be a great pick but at $11,300 its hard to justify.  The same with Brandt Snedeker at $10,700, he is a good pick but that price I find it hard to pick him.  Sungjae Im at $10,500 is a fair price, the kid is playing well.  A bit concern that he missed the cut last year but he is a different player today.  Lucas Glover at $10,200 is hard to grasp, he he was T-5th in this event in 2017 and T-14th last year.  So I say he is a toss-up.  Byeong Hun An at $10,000 is hard to grasp, he is playing for the first time at the Sanderson Farms and finished T-47th last week.  Again a toss-up.  Now Scottie Scheffler at $9,900 is doable, yes he played ok last week and was T-45th last year in Mississippi.  Cameron Smith at $9,800 could be a good choice, was T-17th the last time he played the event in 2017.  Brian Harman at $9,700 is also playing well and is a good choice.  On paper, Corey Conners at $9,600 seems good pick and should be ok considering that he was 2nd in this event last year.  Sorry but J.T. Poston at $9,500 doesn’t show much much, yes he won at Wyndham but that is over a month ago.  Emiliano Grillo at $9,400 is playing for the first time, take a pass on him.  Same with Vaughn Taylor at $9,300.  But I do like Dylan Frittelli at $9,200 and Russell Henley at $9,100, both are playing well.  Last but not least is Austin Cook at $9,000, I say not to pick him.

Honestly, in looking at the prices of these folks, I won’t be playing in these games and put my efforts into the BMW PGA Championship which has a better field and is more pickable.

*Players in that $7,600 to $8,900 price range, which ones are worth the money?:

Si Woo Kim at $8,700 is a good choice even though he missed the cut twice in this event.  Sebastian Munoz at $7,900 and Harris English at $7,800 played great last week and both could do well this week.  Also, watch Harris English at $7,800 he played well at Greenbrier and could be good again. Richy Werenski at $7,600 is one of those young guys that we will follow in the coming weeks, he is well overdue.

Some of the “bargains” this week at Southern Farms

The first guy to look at is Bill Haas at $7,500.  I can see a new and different player as he tries to regain his lost game from a couple of years ago.  Robert Streb, Tom Hodge and Roberto Castro at $7,400 all have good reasons to do well this week.  For Hoge, he played well last week finsihing 2nd as for Hoge and Castro they have gone low at Sanderson Farms.  The best picks for this week is Robby Shelton at $7,200 he played well last week.  Also, like Sepp Straka at $7,200 and Patrick Rodgers at $7,100

 

Who to watch for at the Sanderson Farms Championship

Best Bets:

Sungjae Im

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
CUT

He is the next young player ready to win, look for him to contend.

Joaquin Niemann

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
First time playing in this event

Hard to win two times in a row, but he could make PGA Tour history and become the first this week.

Best of the rest:

Brandt Snedeker

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
First time playing in this event

He is long overdue, hard to believe he is playing in this event for the first time.

Byeong Hun An

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
First time playing in this event

Another rookie winner, the course is perfect for his game and he could win.

Bill Haas

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T14 Win T4 T3

Another guy that plays well in this event, just have to wonder if he will be able to regain his old game after a year of playing bad.

Russell Henley

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T14

Played well last week until a final round 73, looking to bounce back from that round.

Harris English

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T39 CUT

Another of those players looking to regain their game.

Solid contenders

Robby Shelton

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T70

Watch him, this could be a very good course for him.

Lucas Glover

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T14 T5 T39 T22

Has played well for the last year, only a matter of time when everything comes together and he has a great week and wins.

Brian Harman

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T40

Another veteran that is playing well and could find the winners circle again.

Cameron Smith

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T11 CUT

He is the type of guy that will post good numbers and win.

Long shots that could come through:

Tom Hoge

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
CUT CUT CUT T70 T35

Did well last week finishing 2nd at Greenbrier, could he be a slot better this week?

Dylan Frittelli

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T54

Don’t be surprised to see him winning again.

Scottie Scheffler

2019 ’18 ’17 ’16 ’15 ’14 ’13 ’12 ’11 ’10 ’09 ’08 ’07
T45

Another young stud that could win at any time.

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